Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. (CLF) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: CLFAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

CLF AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. (CLF) is a North American flat-rolled steel producer and iron ore mining company. Over the trailing twelve months, the company generated $19.20B in revenue with a net profit margin of -4.6% and diluted EPS of -$1.61. As of June 30, 2026, Cleveland-Cliffs carries $7.70B in total debt against $70.0M in cash and short-term investments.

Market cap
$6.91B
Revenue (TTM)
$19.20B
P/E
—
fwd 16.0x
1Y return
-10.6%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$12.60
4.0% vs last close

Bull case

  • Revenue from FY2020 to FY2025 achieved a 5-year CAGR of 28.3%.
  • Analysts project EPS to rebound to $0.95 in FY2027, reflecting an estimated EPS growth of 649.4%.
  • The company's price-to-sales ratio of 0.4x trades below the 1.8x median of its US-listed Basic Materials peers.

Bear case

  • Net income contracted from $2.99B in FY2021 to -$1.48B in FY2025, alongside free cash flow of -$1.02B.
  • The balance sheet carries net debt of $7.63B against cash and short-term investments of $70.0M as of June 30, 2026.
  • Over the past year, CLF returned -10.6%, substantially lagging the S&P 500 return of 16.8%.

What Cleveland-Cliffs does

Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. is a leading flat-rolled steel producer in North America. The company produces carbon steel products such as hot-rolled, cold-rolled, electrogalvanized, and advanced high-strength steel, as well as stainless steel, plates, and electrical steel products. It also provides tubular components and tinplate products for automotive, infrastructure, manufacturing, and steel production markets. In addition, Cleveland-Cliffs owns and operates five iron ore mines in Minnesota and Michigan, securing raw materials for its steelmaking operations.

Growth and profitability

Revenue grew from $20.44B in FY2021 to a peak of $22.99B in FY2022, before decreasing to $22.00B in FY2023, $19.18B in FY2024, and $18.61B in FY2025. Across the 5-year period from FY2020 to FY2025, revenue achieved a CAGR of 28.3%. Operating margin deteriorated from 19.6% in FY2021 to -7.3% in FY2025, while net income fell from $2.99B to -$1.48B. Free cash flow decreased from $2.08B in FY2021 to -$1.02B in FY2025. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $19.20B with an operating margin of 0.3%. In the latest quarter, revenue grew 5.9% year-over-year while quarterly earnings fell 99.4%.

CLF income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Cleveland-Cliffs held $70.0M in cash and short-term investments and $7.70B in total debt, resulting in net debt of $7.63B. Shareholders' equity was $5.60B across total assets of $20.11B, reflecting a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.37 and a current ratio of 1.89. In FY2025, capital expenditures were $561.0M, operating cash flow was -$462.0M, and share issuance totaled $951.0M. Over five years, the company's share count increased by 8.1%.

CLF balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At a last close of $12.12, Cleveland-Cliffs has a market cap of $6.91B and an enterprise value of $14.98B. The stock trades at a forward P/E of 16.0x, higher than the 13.4x median of its US-listed Basic Materials peers. Its EV/EBITDA of 31.0x stands above the peer median of 10.5x, while its price-to-sales multiple of 0.4x is lower than the peer median of 1.8x. Over the past year, CLF delivered a return of -10.6%, trailing the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%. Over five years, the stock returned -43.5% versus 83.0% for the S&P 500.

CLF key metrics →

What analysts expect

Wall Street analysts maintain 2 Strong Buy, 0 Buy, 10 Hold, 1 Sell, and 0 Strong Sell ratings on Cleveland-Cliffs. The mean price target is $12.60, representing a 4.0% premium over the last close of $12.12. For FY2026, consensus estimates project an EPS of -$0.17 on revenue of $21.58B. For FY2027, 8 analysts estimate EPS of $0.95 and revenue of $22.51B, representing expected revenue growth of 4.3%. The company beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is October 19, 2026.

CLF forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Operating cash flow was negative at -$462.0M in FY2025, while capital expenditures reached $561.0M.
  • A beta of 2.09 indicates that the stock experiences more than twice the volatility of the broader market.
  • Short interest accounts for 13.9% of the float, pointing to elevated bearish positioning.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this CLF AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. (CLF). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: CLF income statement, CLF balance sheet, CLF key metrics, CLF analyst forecast, CLF chart. See the CLF stock overview for the latest quote and news.

CLF AI stock analysis FAQ

What was Cleveland-Cliffs' revenue and net income in FY2025?

In FY2025, Cleveland-Cliffs reported revenue of $18.61B and net income of -$1.48B, representing a net margin of -7.9%.

Does Cleveland-Cliffs pay a dividend?

Cleveland-Cliffs does not currently report dividend payments.

How much debt does Cleveland-Cliffs have?

As of June 30, 2026, Cleveland-Cliffs had total debt of $7.70B and cash and short-term investments of $70.0M, resulting in net debt of $7.63B.

What is the consensus analyst price target for CLF?

The mean analyst price target is $12.60, representing a 4.0% premium to the last close of $12.12.

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