Gerdau S.A. (GGB) AI Stock Analysis
GGB AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchGerdau S.A. (NYSE: GGB) is a major steel producer across the Americas with operations in Brazil, North America, and South America. Over the trailing twelve months, the company generated $69.54B in revenue with an operating margin of 12.8% and net profit margin of 3.2%. Trading at a forward P/E of 6.2x, the stock carries a 3.59% dividend yield and delivered a 60.3% one-year return as of October 16, 2026.
- Market cap
- $9.85B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $69.54B
- P/E
- 22.8x fwd 6.2x
- 1Y return
- 60.3% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $5.79 15.4% vs last close
Bull case
- Quarterly earnings increased 73.5% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026.
- Forward valuation is modest at a forward P/E of 6.2x compared to the 13.4x median of its US-listed Basic Materials peers.
- The company maintains a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.28 and a strong current ratio of 2.87 as of June 30, 2026.
Bear case
- Net income declined from $15.49B in FY2021 to $1.39B in FY2025 as net margin fell from 19.8% to 2.0%.
- Free cash flow dropped significantly from $9.32B in FY2021 to $1.13B in FY2025.
- Gerdau recorded 0 EPS beats over the trailing four quarters.
What Gerdau does
Established in 1901 and headquartered in Sao Paulo, Brazil, Gerdau S.A. operates as a steel producer across the Americas. Its business is organized into four main divisions: Brazil Business, North America Business, South America Business, and Special Steel Business. The company provides a broad range of steel products for industries including construction, automotive, manufacturing, oil and gas, wind energy, mining, and rail. Offerings include semi-finished products such as billets and slabs, common long rolled products, drawn products, and specialized steel. Gerdau also operates three iron ore mines in the Brazilian state of Minas Gerais and distributes products via independent distributors, direct mill sales, and a dedicated retail network.
Growth and profitability
Gerdau's annual revenue rose from $78.35B in FY2021 to $82.41B in FY2022, before dropping 16.4% to $68.92B in FY2023 and 2.7% to $67.03B in FY2024. In FY2025, revenue increased 4.2% to $69.86B, reflecting a 5-year revenue CAGR of 9.8% from FY2020 to FY2025. Operating margin contracted from 25.6% in FY2021 to 8.0% in FY2025, while net income fell from $15.49B to $1.39B over the same period. For the trailing twelve months ending June 30, 2026, revenue was $69.54B with diluted EPS of $0.22. In the quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 2.0% year-over-year while quarterly earnings increased 73.5%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Gerdau held $5.44B in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $15.17B, resulting in net debt of $9.73B. Total assets stood at $81.97B and shareholders' equity reached $53.54B, supported by a current ratio of 2.87 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.28. In FY2025, the company generated $7.99B in operating cash flow and $1.13B in free cash flow. Capital expenditures were $6.85B, while cash returns to shareholders included $1.17B in share buybacks and $1.29B in dividends paid.
Valuation and performance
At $5.02 per share, Gerdau trades at an enterprise value of $11.19B and a market cap of $9.85B. Its trailing P/E of 22.8x is above the 19.7x median of its US-listed Basic Materials peers, but its forward P/E of 6.2x trades at a discount to the peer median of 13.4x. Its price-to-sales of 0.1x and EV/EBITDA of 6.4x are also below peer medians of 1.8x and 10.5x, respectively. The stock's one-year return of 60.3% outperformed the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%, while its five-year return of 77.4% trailed the index's 83.0%.
GGB dividend
Gerdau pays a quarterly dividend with an annualized forward payout of $0.18 per share, representing a 3.59% dividend yield. The payout ratio stands at 9.7%, and the company has paid dividends for 28 consecutive years. Its 5-year annualized dividend growth rate is 17.7%, and its most recent ex-dividend date was August 21, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage includes 1 Strong Buy, 2 Buy, and 2 Hold ratings, with no Sell or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target of $5.79 implies a 15.4% upside over the October 16, 2026 close of $5.02. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project EPS of $2.88 on revenue of $70.67B. For FY2027, 3 analysts project EPS of $3.09 on revenue of $73.11B. Over the last four quarters, Gerdau recorded 0 EPS beats. The next earnings date is October 26, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Operating margin has compressed from 25.6% in FY2021 to 8.0% in FY2025.
- Total debt of $15.17B exceeds cash and short-term investments of $5.44B, leaving net debt at $9.73B.
- Quarterly revenue growth of 2.0% year-over-year trails the peer median of 8.3% for US-listed Basic Materials peers.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this GGB AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Gerdau S.A. (GGB). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: GGB income statement, GGB balance sheet, GGB key metrics, GGB analyst forecast, GGB chart. See the GGB stock overview for the latest quote and news.
GGB AI stock analysis FAQ
Does Gerdau S.A. pay a dividend?
Yes, Gerdau pays a quarterly dividend with an annual forward amount of $0.18 per share, yielding 3.59%. It has paid dividends for 28 consecutive years with a payout ratio of 9.7%.
What is Gerdau's net debt position?
As of June 30, 2026, Gerdau held $5.44B in cash and short-term investments and $15.17B in total debt, resulting in net debt of $9.73B.
How do analysts rate GGB stock?
Analysts hold 1 Strong Buy, 2 Buy, and 2 Hold ratings on GGB, with no Sell ratings. The mean price target is $5.79, which is 15.4% above the last close of $5.02.
When is Gerdau's next earnings report?
Gerdau's next earnings release date is scheduled for October 26, 2026.