Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional (SID) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: SIDAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

SID AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional (SID) is an integrated Brazilian producer operating across steel, mining, logistics, energy, and cement. The company generated trailing twelve months revenue of $45.11B but recorded a net margin of -5.8% and an eps of -$0.37. It also carries a high leverage profile, with total debt of $54.32B against cash and short-term investments of $14.27B as of June 30, 2026.

Market cap
$1.47B
Revenue (TTM)
$45.11B
P/E
—
fwd 43.7x
1Y return
-27.0%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$1.15
3.6% vs last close

Bull case

  • The company's EV/EBITDA multiple of 8.1x trades below the 10.5x median of its US-listed Basic Materials peers.
  • In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly earnings growth surged 3320.6% year-over-year alongside 5.7% revenue growth.
  • Analyst consensus anticipates a turnaround in profitability for the next fiscal year, estimating an EPS of $0.12 with 145.4% EPS growth.

Bear case

  • The company has recorded net losses for three consecutive years, including net income of -$1.96B in FY2025 and an EPS of -$0.37 over the trailing twelve months.
  • Free cash flow was -$6.77B in FY2025 as operating cash flow stood at -$954.1M.
  • The balance sheet carries significant leverage, with net debt of $40.05B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 4.47 as of June 30, 2026.

What Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional does

Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional operates as an integrated steel producer in Brazil and Latin America across five segments: Steel, Mining, Logistics, Energy, and Cement. Its steel portfolio includes high, medium, low carbon, and ultra-low-carbon slabs, hot-rolled and cold-rolled coils and sheets, galvanized products, tin mill products, and profiles. In mining, it explores iron ore reserves at Casa de Pedra and Engenho mines, and extracts limestone and dolomite from the Bocaina mine. The company also operates railway and port facilities, generates thermoelectric and hydroelectric power, and produces and markets cement for construction and infrastructure development.

Growth and profitability

Revenue expanded at a 5-year CAGR of 7.9% from FY2020 to FY2025. In FY2021, revenue reached $47.91B with a net margin of 25.6% and net income of $12.26B. Performance weakened in subsequent years, as revenue shifted to $44.36B in FY2022, $45.44B in FY2023, and $43.69B in FY2024, with net income of -$2.59B. In FY2025, revenue was $43.92B with an operating margin of 10.6% and a net loss of -$1.96B. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue totaled $45.11B with an operating margin of 8.6% and eps of -$0.37. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue growth was 5.7% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings growth was 3320.6%.

SID income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional held $14.27B in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $54.32B, resulting in net debt of $40.05B. Shareholders' equity stood at $12.15B, with total assets of $100.45B, a current ratio of 1.15, and a debt-to-equity ratio of 4.47. In FY2025, the company recorded operating cash flow of -$954.1M and free cash flow of -$6.77B. Capital expenditures were $5.82B, dividends paid were $681.6M, and the 5-year share count change was -1.2%.

SID balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At a last close of $1.11, Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional holds a market cap of $1.47B and an enterprise value of $9.43B. The stock trades at a forward P/E of 43.7x, which is above the 13.4x median of its US-listed Basic Materials peers. Its EV/EBITDA of 8.1x compares to the peer median of 10.5x, while its price-to-book ratio is 0.7x. Over the past year, the stock declined 27.0%, compared to a 16.8% gain for the S&P 500 (SPY). Over five years, the stock dropped 67.4% versus an 83.0% return for the S&P 500.

SID key metrics →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage consists of 2 Hold, 1 Sell, and 1 Strong Sell ratings, with 0 Strong Buy or Buy ratings. The mean price target of $1.15 represents an implied upside of 3.6% from the last close of $1.11. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $44.12B and an EPS of -$0.26. For next fiscal year, projected EPS is $0.12 on revenue of $45.81B. Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional recorded 0 EPS beats over the last 4 quarters. The next earnings date is November 11, 2026.

SID forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • High indebtedness is a key vulnerability, with total debt of $54.32B relative to $14.27B in cash and short-term investments as of June 30, 2026.
  • Operating profitability remains pressured, as trailing twelve months operating margin of 8.6% trails the peer median of 18.5%.
  • Execution risk is highlighted by earnings consistency, as the company achieved 0 EPS beats over the last 4 quarters.
  • Stock volatility is elevated, with a beta of 1.40 and a 5-year price decline of 67.4%.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this SID AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional (SID). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: SID income statement, SID balance sheet, SID key metrics, SID analyst forecast, SID chart. See the SID stock overview for the latest quote and news.

SID AI stock analysis FAQ

What does Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional do?

Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional is an integrated Brazilian producer operating across steel, mining, logistics, energy, and cement segments. It manufactures flat and long steel products, mines iron ore and limestone, and runs supporting rail and port infrastructure.

What are the company's revenue and earnings expectations for FY2026?

For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $44.12B. Expected EPS is -$0.26, representing projected earnings growth of 8.8%.

How much debt does Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional have?

As of June 30, 2026, the company reported total debt of $54.32B and cash and short-term investments of $14.27B, resulting in net debt of $40.05B. Its debt-to-equity ratio stood at 4.47.

What is the analyst price target for SID stock?

The mean analyst price target is $1.15, which is 3.6% above the last close of $1.11. Across four analyst ratings, there are 0 Strong Buy, 0 Buy, 2 Hold, 1 Sell, and 1 Strong Sell.

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