Nucor Corporation (NUE) AI Stock Analysis
NUE AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchNucor Corporation is a leading North American steel manufacturer and distributor operating across Steel Mills, Steel Products, and Raw Materials segments. Over the trailing twelve months, the company generated $36.10B in revenue with a profit margin of 8.0%, showing a strong earnings recovery as quarterly net income surged 93.8% year-over-year. The stock has gained 95.5% over the past year, supported by an annualized return on equity of 14.5% and low leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.32.
- Market cap
- $58.15B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $36.10B
- P/E
- 20.4x fwd 11.4x
- 1Y return
- 95.5% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $284.31 10.9% vs last close
Bull case
- Quarterly earnings jumped 93.8% year-over-year in the latest quarter ending June 30, 2026, while quarterly revenue advanced 23.0%.
- Forward valuation multiples remain low, with a forward P/E of 11.4x compared to the S&P 500 Basic Materials peer median of 15.3x.
- Analysts forecast FY2026 earnings per share to jump 152.8% to $19.49 alongside projected revenue of $40.52B.
Bear case
- Free cash flow turned negative at -$188.0M in FY2025 as capital expenditures rose to $3.42B against operating cash flow of $3.23B.
- Trailing operating margin of 15.7% remains below the S&P 500 Basic Materials peer median of 19.6%.
- Net income contracted consecutively from $7.61B in FY2022 to $4.52B in FY2023, $2.03B in FY2024, and $1.74B in FY2025.
What Nucor does
Nucor Corporation is a manufacturer and distributor of steel and steel products operating across three core segments. The Steel Mills segment manufactures hot-rolled, cold-rolled, and galvanized sheets, plate steel, beams, and bar steel, alongside steel trading and rebar distribution operations serving the United States, Canada, and Mexico. The Steel Products segment produces construction materials such as steel tubing, electrical conduits, steel racking, fabricated reinforcing steel, metal building systems, and wire products for nonresidential construction. The Raw Materials segment produces direct reduced iron and processes ferrous and nonferrous scrap metal to support steelmaking operations and external industrial clients.
Growth and profitability
Nucor's revenue grew at a 5-year CAGR of 10.0% from FY2020 through FY2025. After peaking at $41.51B in FY2022, annual revenue dropped to $34.71B in FY2023 and $30.73B in FY2024 before increasing 5.7% to $32.49B in FY2025. Net income narrowed from $7.61B in FY2022 to $1.74B in FY2025, leaving FY2025 net margin at 5.4% and EPS at $7.78. Performance accelerated sharply in the latest quarter ending June 30, 2026, where quarterly revenue grew 23.0% year-over-year and quarterly earnings grew 93.8%. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $36.10B with an operating margin of 15.7% and EPS of $12.54.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Nucor held $2.69B in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $7.10B, yielding net debt of $4.41B. The balance sheet carries a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.32 and a current ratio of 2.51, supported by $22.11B in shareholders' equity. In FY2025, operating cash flow stood at $3.23B while capital expenditures totaled $3.42B, resulting in free cash flow of -$188.0M. Capital allocation in FY2025 included $700.0M for share buybacks and $512.0M for dividends paid, following an 18.7% reduction in share count over five years.
Valuation and performance
Nucor trades at a trailing P/E of 20.4x and a forward P/E of 11.4x, lower than the median of its S&P 500 Basic Materials peers at 32.2x and 15.3x, respectively. Its enterprise value stands at $60.44B, representing an EV-to-EBITDA of 10.5x, which compares to the peer median of 14.9x. The company's price-to-sales of 1.6x also sits below the peer median of 2.5x. Over the past year, Nucor shares gained 95.5%, outperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%, and its 5-year return of 170.8% outpaced SPY's 83.0%.
NUE dividend
Nucor has paid consecutive dividends for 44 years. The stock offers a forward annual dividend of $2.24 per share, resulting in a dividend yield of 0.87% and a payout ratio of 18.0%. Over the past five years, dividend growth compounded at an annualized rate of 6.5%. The last ex-dividend date was September 30, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage includes 10 Strong Buy, 3 Buy, 3 Hold, and 1 Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target of $284.31 represents 10.9% upside compared to the last close of $256.29. Analysts project full-year EPS of $19.49 on revenue of $40.52B for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, implying 152.8% EPS growth. Nucor has exceeded quarterly EPS expectations in 3 of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings release scheduled for October 26, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- A beta of 1.85 indicates that the stock experiences substantially higher price volatility than the broader equity market.
- Annual free cash flow deteriorated from $8.12B in FY2022 to -$188.0M in FY2025 as capital expenditure commitments expanded.
- Consensus estimates project revenue growth to decelerate from $40.52B in FY2026 to 2.6% growth at $41.59B in FY2027.
- Total debt reached $7.10B against $2.69B in cash and short-term investments as of June 30, 2026, creating $4.41B in net debt.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this NUE AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Nucor Corporation (NUE). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: NUE income statement, NUE balance sheet, NUE key metrics, NUE analyst forecast, NUE chart. See the NUE stock overview for the latest quote and news.
NUE AI stock analysis FAQ
What is Nucor's dividend yield and dividend record?
Nucor pays a forward annual dividend of $2.24 per share, which equals a dividend yield of 0.87%. The company has paid consecutive dividends for 44 years with a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 6.5% and a payout ratio of 18.0%.
How does Nucor's valuation compare to other basic materials companies?
Nucor trades at a trailing P/E of 20.4x and an EV-to-EBITDA of 10.5x. Both figures sit below the S&P 500 Basic Materials peer medians of 32.2x trailing P/E and 14.9x EV-to-EBITDA.
What are analysts predicting for Nucor's earnings?
Analysts expect EPS of $19.49 on revenue of $40.52B for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026. For the following fiscal year, 11 analysts estimate EPS will reach $20.95 with revenue of $41.59B.
How much debt does Nucor carry on its balance sheet?
As of June 30, 2026, Nucor had $7.10B in total debt and $2.69B in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net debt of $4.41B. Its debt-to-equity ratio stood at 0.32 alongside a current ratio of 2.51.