Home Bancshares, Inc. (Conway, AR) (HOMB) AI Stock Analysis
HOMB AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchHome Bancshares, Inc. (Conway, AR) is the bank holding company for Centennial Bank, operating 160 branch locations across four states and New York City. The company produced $1.12B in trailing twelve-month revenue with a net profit margin of 43.5%. It maintains a strong balance sheet with $4.03B in net cash and provides an annual dividend yield of 2.95%.
- Market cap
- $5.84B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $1.12B
- P/E
- 12.0x fwd 11.0x
- 1Y return
- 13.5% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $32.75 12.2% vs last close
Bull case
- Net cash stood at $4.03B as of September 30, 2026, with cash and short-term investments of $4.72B against $691.1M in total debt.
- Trailing twelve-month operating margin reached 57.8% and net profit margin reached 43.5%.
- Shareholder distributions are supported by a 2.95% dividend yield, 21 consecutive years of payouts, and a modest 27.7% payout ratio.
Bear case
- Annual revenue decreased 5.3% in FY2025 to $1.37B and trailing twelve-month revenue registered at $1.12B.
- The stock's 5-year gain of 41.0% significantly lagged the S&P 500 return of 83.0%.
- Its price-to-sales multiple of 5.2x trades at a premium to the US-listed Financial Services peer group median of 3.2x.
What Home Bancshares does
Home Bancshares, Inc. (Conway, AR) operates as the bank holding company for Centennial Bank, delivering commercial and retail banking along with associated financial solutions. Serving businesses, real estate developers, investors, individuals, and municipalities, its deposit products include checking, savings, money market accounts, and certificates of deposit. The bank's lending portfolio spans non-farm/non-residential real estate, construction, residential mortgages, consumer, agricultural, and commercial and industrial loans. Across 160 branch locations in Arkansas, Florida, Alabama, and New York City, it also provides cash management, online and mobile banking, and commercial and personal insurance lines covering property, casualty, life, health, and employee benefits.
Growth and profitability
Home Bancshares expanded annual revenue from $752.0M in FY2021 to $1.45B in FY2024 before revenue declined 5.3% to $1.37B in FY2025, recording a 5-year revenue CAGR of 12.1%. Despite the FY2025 top-line contraction, net income rose to $475.4M and EPS reached $2.35, supported by an operating margin of 43.8% and a net margin of 34.6%. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue totaled $1.12B alongside an operating margin of 57.8% and net profit margin of 43.5%. In the latest quarter ended September 30, 2026, quarterly revenue increased 5.8% year-over-year while quarterly earnings grew 3.3%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of September 30, 2026, Home Bancshares held $4.72B in cash and short-term investments against $691.1M in total debt, resulting in net cash of $4.03B. Shareholders' equity totaled $4.53B with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.15 and a current ratio of 0.26. During FY2025, the bank generated $399.3M in operating cash flow and $377.0M in free cash flow. Capital allocation in FY2025 included $22.3M for capital expenditures, $82.2M for share buybacks, and $158.9M in dividends paid.
Valuation and performance
Home Bancshares trades at a trailing P/E of 12.0x, slightly below the 12.1x median of its US-listed Financial Services peers. Its forward P/E of 11.0x stands slightly above the peer median of 10.8x, while its price-to-sales multiple of 5.2x exceeds the peer median of 3.2x. The stock carries a price-to-book ratio of 1.3x and an enterprise value of $5.65B. Over the past year, the stock returned 13.5% compared to 16.8% for the S&P 500, and its 5-year return of 41.0% compares to 83.0% for the index.
HOMB dividend
Home Bancshares pays an annualized forward dividend of $0.86 per share, representing a 2.95% dividend yield with a payout ratio of 27.7%. The bank has paid dividends for 21 consecutive years and achieved a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 8.7%. Its most recent ex-dividend date was August 12, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage consists of 3 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, and 6 Hold recommendations, with no Sell ratings. The mean 12-month price target is $32.75, representing a 12.2% upside from the closing price of $29.20 on October 16, 2026. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates anticipate revenue of $1.15B and EPS of $2.53, reflecting 7.8% EPS growth. The bank beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters.
Key risks and what to watch
- Consensus EPS growth is projected to moderate from 7.8% in FY2026 to 2.8% in the following fiscal year.
- The current ratio stood at 0.26 as of September 30, 2026, requiring continued management of short-term liquidity.
- The bank's share count increased 20.3% over a 5-year period, representing potential per-share dilution.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this HOMB AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Home Bancshares, Inc. (Conway, AR) (HOMB). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: HOMB income statement, HOMB balance sheet, HOMB key metrics, HOMB analyst forecast, HOMB chart. See the HOMB stock overview for the latest quote and news.
HOMB AI stock analysis FAQ
What dividend does Home Bancshares pay?
Home Bancshares pays a forward annual dividend of $0.86 per share, yielding 2.95%. The bank has paid dividends for 21 consecutive years with a 27.7% payout ratio.
What is the consensus analyst target for HOMB stock?
The mean analyst price target is $32.75, which is 12.2% above its October 16, 2026 close of $29.20. The 10 analyst ratings comprise 3 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, and 6 Hold recommendations.
How did Home Bancshares perform financially in FY2025?
In FY2025, revenue was $1.37B, declining 5.3% from FY2024, while net income increased to $475.4M with an EPS of $2.35. The bank generated $377.0M in free cash flow during the year.
What is Home Bancshares' balance sheet structure?
As of September 30, 2026, Home Bancshares held $4.72B in cash and short-term investments alongside $691.1M in total debt, creating a net cash balance of $4.03B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.15.