Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc. (GPMT) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: GPMTAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

GPMT AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc. (GPMT) is a commercial real estate mortgage REIT focused on floating-rate debt investments. The company carries $894.6M in net debt against $58.5M in cash, while generating trailing twelve-month revenue of -$29.0M and a diluted EPS of -$20.00.

Market cap
$24.5M
Revenue (TTM)
-$29.0M
P/E
—
fwd 47.6x
1Y return
-78.7%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$11.50
126.4% vs last close

Bull case

  • Consensus estimates expect EPS losses to narrow by 54.8% to -$6.89 in the next fiscal year alongside 9.7% revenue growth to $28.3M.
  • The stock offers an annualized forward dividend yield of 7.87% based on a $0.40 annual dividend.
  • Wall Street analysts maintain a mean price target of $11.50, indicating 126.4% upside from the recent close of $5.08.

Bear case

  • The company holds $953.0M in total debt against $58.5M in cash, resulting in a low current ratio of 0.35.
  • Shares fell 78.7% over the past year and trade 63.4% below their 200-day moving average.
  • Annual dividend distributions have contracted at a 5-year annualized rate of -21.0%.

What Granite Point Mortgage does

Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc. is a New York-based real estate investment trust that originates, invests in, and manages senior floating-rate commercial mortgage loans and related debt instruments across the United States. It provides intermediate-term bridge and transitional financing for commercial real estate transactions such as acquisitions, recapitalizations, and refinancings. Its financing supports property business plans including lease-up, renovation, repositioning, and repurposing. As of December 31, 2021, the company's investment portfolio consisted of 105 commercial real estate loan investments.

Growth and profitability

Annual revenue fluctuated significantly from $87.5M in FY2021 to $78.3M in FY2022, -$22.7M in FY2023, -$165.5M in FY2024, and $145.3M in FY2025. Over the five years from FY2020 to FY2025, revenue achieved a compound annual growth rate of 6.7%. Net income remained negative in recent years, standing at -$41.2M in FY2025 with an operating margin of 43.6%. For the trailing twelve months ending June 30, 2026, revenue was -$29.0M and EPS was -$20.00. In the quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 92.8% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings growth dropped 95.8%.

GPMT income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Granite Point Mortgage Trust had $58.5M in cash and short-term investments, $953.0M in total debt, and a current ratio of 0.35. Total assets stood at $1.46B, with shareholders' equity of $480.3M and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.98. In FY2025, operating cash flow and free cash flow were both $2.7M. The company directed capital toward $5.7M in share buybacks and $24.8M in dividends paid during FY2025.

GPMT balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Granite Point Mortgage Trust has a market capitalization of $24.5M and an enterprise value of $919.3M. The stock trades at a forward P/E of 47.6x, compared to the median of 23.5x for its US-listed Real Estate peers. Its price-to-sales multiple is 5.9x versus the peer median of 3.7x, while its EV/EBITDA is 13.5x versus 14.7x for peers. Over the past year, GPMT shares declined 78.7%, while the S&P 500 (SPY) returned 16.8%. Over five years, the stock dropped 93.5% compared to an 83.0% gain for SPY.

GPMT key metrics →

GPMT dividend

Granite Point Mortgage Trust pays a quarterly dividend with an annualized forward rate of $0.40, translating to a dividend yield of 7.87%. The company has paid dividends for 10 consecutive years. However, its dividend growth rate has declined at an annualized rate of -21.0% over the past 5 years. Its most recent ex-dividend date was October 1, 2026.

GPMT dividend history →

What analysts expect

Four analysts follow GPMT, all of whom issue a Hold rating. The mean price target is $11.50, representing 126.4% upside relative to the last closing price of $5.08. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates anticipate revenue of $25.8M and an EPS of -$15.23. For the following fiscal year, analysts project revenue of $28.3M and an EPS of -$6.89. The company beat EPS estimates in 2 of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings release scheduled for November 4, 2026.

GPMT forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • A high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.98 increases sensitivity to capital market disruptions.
  • Liquidity constraints are reflected in a current ratio of 0.35 and net debt of $894.6M.
  • Persistent earnings deficits include a trailing twelve-month EPS of -$20.00 and an estimated -$15.23 EPS for FY2026.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this GPMT AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc. (GPMT). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: GPMT income statement, GPMT balance sheet, GPMT key metrics, GPMT analyst forecast, GPMT chart. See the GPMT stock overview for the latest quote and news.

GPMT AI stock analysis FAQ

What is Granite Point Mortgage Trust's dividend yield?

GPMT provides a forward annual dividend of $0.40 per share, which represents a dividend yield of 7.87%.

When does Granite Point Mortgage Trust report earnings next?

The company's next earnings report is scheduled for November 4, 2026.

What do analysts project for GPMT stock?

All 4 analysts covering the stock rate it as a Hold, with a mean price target of $11.50 compared to its last close of $5.08.

What are the company's debt levels?

As of June 30, 2026, Granite Point Mortgage Trust reported total debt of $953.0M and cash of $58.5M, leaving net debt at $894.6M.

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