Farmers & Merchants Bancorp, Inc. (FMAO) AI Stock Analysis
FMAO AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchFarmers & Merchants Bancorp, Inc. (FMAO) operates as the bank holding company for The Farmers & Merchants State Bank, offering retail and commercial banking across northwest Ohio and northeast Indiana. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, the company generated quarterly revenue growth of 17.5% and quarterly earnings growth of 53.0%. For FY2025, revenue reached $189.1M with net income of $33.3M and diluted EPS of $2.42.
- Market cap
- $486.5M
- Revenue (TTM)
- $129.0M
- P/E
- 12.2x fwd 15.9x
- 1Y return
- 57.8% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $36.00 1.9% vs last close
Bull case
- In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly earnings grew 53.0% year-over-year alongside 17.5% quarterly revenue growth.
- The company delivered a 5-year revenue CAGR of 17.3%, growing annual revenue from $92.2M in FY2021 to $189.1M in FY2025.
- The bank has maintained 23 consecutive years of dividend payments with a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 6.4%.
Bear case
- Net margin compressed from 25.5% in FY2021 to 17.6% in FY2025, while gross margin declined from 88.3% to 62.3% over the same timeframe.
- The stock trades at a forward P/E of 15.9x, representing a premium compared to the US-listed Financial Services peer median of 10.8x.
- The consensus revenue estimate of $115.2M for FY2026 reflects a lower level of revenue compared to the $189.1M reported in FY2025.
What Farmers & Merchants Bancorp does
Farmers & Merchants Bancorp, Inc. serves as the holding company for The Farmers & Merchants State Bank, providing banking services to individuals and small businesses across northwest Ohio and northeast Indiana. Founded in 1897 and based in Archbold, Ohio, the bank provides checking, savings, certificates of deposit, and custodial accounts. Its lending solutions include commercial loans, agricultural loans, residential mortgages, consumer loans, and credit cards, alongside specialized financing for farmland, farm equipment, livestock, home improvements, and vehicles. Customers also have access to ATMs, ITMs, online and mobile banking, merchant credit card processing, wire transfers, and ACH origination.
Growth and profitability
Between FY2021 and FY2025, Farmers & Merchants Bancorp expanded revenue from $92.2M to $189.1M, generating a 5-year revenue CAGR of 17.3%. Annual revenue grew 8.1% in FY2021, 23.3% in FY2022, 33.8% in FY2023, 16.1% in FY2024, and 7.1% in FY2025. Over the same period, net income moved from $23.5M in FY2021 to a peak of $33.3M in FY2025, while net margin contracted from 25.5% in FY2021 to 17.6% in FY2025. Operating margin was 22.5% in FY2025, recovering from 18.4% in FY2024. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue growth reached 17.5% year-over-year, and quarterly earnings grew 53.0%, supporting trailing twelve-month revenue of $129.0M and EPS of $2.89.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Farmers & Merchants Bancorp held $155.9M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $218.2M, resulting in net debt of $62.3M. Total assets stood at $3.50B, with shareholders' equity of $384.7M, a current ratio of 11.41, and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.57. In FY2025, the company generated $36.4M in operating cash flow and $34.6M in free cash flow. Capital allocation in FY2025 included $1.8M in capital expenditures, $362,000 in share buybacks, and $12.1M in dividends paid.
Valuation and performance
Farmers & Merchants Bancorp trades at a trailing P/E of 12.2x, closely aligned with the 12.1x median of its US-listed Financial Services peers. Its forward P/E of 15.9x trades at a premium to the peer median of 10.8x, and its price-to-sales multiple of 3.8x exceeds the peer median of 3.2x. The stock trades at a price-to-book ratio of 1.2x and an EV-to-revenue ratio of 5.4x. Over the past year, the stock returned 57.8%, outperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%, while its 5-year return of 75.1% trails the S&P 500 return of 83.0%.
FMAO dividend
Farmers & Merchants Bancorp pays a forward annual dividend of $0.96 per share, representing a dividend yield of 2.73% with a payout ratio of 32.1%. The bank distributes dividends on a quarterly schedule and has paid consecutive dividends for 23 years. Over the past 5 years, the annualized dividend growth rate was 6.4%, with the last ex-dividend date recorded on October 9, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage consists of 3 Hold ratings, with 0 Strong Buy, Buy, Sell, or Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target of $36.00 represents 1.9% upside compared to the last close of $35.32. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project EPS of $3.17, reflecting 30.6% growth, on revenue of $115.2M. Over the last 4 quarters, the bank achieved 4 EPS beats. The next earnings report is scheduled for October 26, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- The company carries total debt of $218.2M and net debt of $62.3M as of June 30, 2026.
- Gross margin fell from 88.3% in FY2021 to 55.9% in FY2024 before settling at 62.3% in FY2025, indicating potential volatility in funding or interest margins.
- Analyst sentiment is neutral with 3 Hold ratings and a mean price target of $36.00, implying limited upside of 1.9% over the last close of $35.32.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this FMAO AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Farmers & Merchants Bancorp, Inc. (FMAO). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: FMAO income statement, FMAO balance sheet, FMAO key metrics, FMAO analyst forecast, FMAO chart. See the FMAO stock overview for the latest quote and news.
FMAO AI stock analysis FAQ
What is Farmers & Merchants Bancorp's dividend yield and payout schedule?
FMAO pays a forward annual dividend of $0.96 per share, yielding 2.73% on a quarterly schedule. The company has paid dividends for 23 consecutive years with a payout ratio of 32.1%.
How did Farmers & Merchants Bancorp perform in its latest quarter?
For the quarter ended June 30, 2026, the bank achieved year-over-year revenue growth of 17.5% and quarterly earnings growth of 53.0%. TTM diluted EPS reached $2.89 on TTM revenue of $129.0M.
What are analysts forecasting for FMAO's earnings in FY2026?
Analysts forecast FY2026 EPS of $3.17, representing 30.6% annual earnings growth, alongside projected revenue of $115.2M. The bank has beaten EPS estimates in each of the last 4 quarters.
How does FMAO's valuation compare to sector peers?
FMAO trades at a trailing P/E of 12.2x and a forward P/E of 15.9x, compared to US-listed Financial Services peer medians of 12.1x and 10.8x, respectively. Its price-to-sales multiple is 3.8x versus the peer median of 3.2x.