First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. (FGBI) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: FGBIAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

FGBI AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. (FGBI) is a regional bank holding company operating across Louisiana and Texas through First Guaranty Bank. In FY2025, the company posted a net loss of -$56.0M on revenue of $196.0M, down 19.9% year-over-year. However, for the quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 176.8% year-over-year, supported by a net cash position of $1.81B.

Market cap
$136.0M
Revenue (TTM)
$37.7M
P/E
—
fwd 11.7x
1Y return
4.9%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$9.00
9.5% vs last close

Bull case

  • Quarterly revenue for the period ended June 30, 2026 surged 176.8% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings grew 255.4%.
  • The balance sheet reflects liquidity strength with $1.99B in cash and short-term investments against $186.3M in total debt as of June 30, 2026.
  • Consensus estimates project EPS to recover to $0.40 in FY2026, representing a growth rate of 111.8%.

Bear case

  • In FY2025, net income dropped sharply to -$56.0M with an operating margin of -35.0%.
  • Free cash flow turned negative to -$10.0M in FY2025 alongside -$8.3M in operating cash flow.
  • The bank's 5-year annualized dividend growth declined 41.5%, accompanied by a 5-year share count expansion of 52.3%.

What First Guaranty Bancshares does

First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. serves as the holding company for First Guaranty Bank, delivering commercial banking services across Louisiana and Texas. Established in 1934 and based in Hammond, Louisiana, the bank operates 36 banking facilities across regions including Hammond, Baton Rouge, Lafayette, and Shreveport-Bossier City. It provides deposit products such as checking, savings, money market, demand, and time deposits to consumers, small businesses, and municipalities. Its lending operations include commercial real estate, commercial and industrial, residential mortgages, construction, agricultural, and consumer loans, alongside credit cards, mobile deposit capture, and online banking services.

Growth and profitability

Revenue delivered a 5-year CAGR of 9.7% from FY2020 to FY2025, rising from $120.9M in FY2021 to a peak of $244.8M in FY2024 before falling 19.9% to $196.0M in FY2025. Profitability contracted sharply in FY2025, with gross margin sinking to -6.2%, operating margin dropping to -35.0%, and net income declining to -$56.0M, or -$3.32 per share. Cash flow also deteriorated, as operating cash flow turned to -$8.3M and free cash flow reached -$10.0M in FY2025. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue was $37.7M with an EPS of -$2.42. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue rebounded 176.8% and quarterly earnings increased 255.4% year-over-year.

FGBI income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, First Guaranty Bancshares held $1.99B in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $186.3M, leaving net cash of $1.81B. Total assets stood at $3.90B and shareholders' equity was $227.3M, yielding a current ratio of 277.69 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.82. During FY2025, the company allocated $1.7M to capital expenditures and paid $2.9M in dividends. In addition, its share count expanded by 52.3% over the past five years.

FGBI balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At $8.22 per share, First Guaranty Bancshares has a market capitalization of $136.0M and an enterprise value of -$426.4M. Its forward P/E ratio is 11.7x, compared to the median of 10.8x for its US-listed Financial Services peers. The stock trades at a price-to-sales multiple of 3.6x, above the peer median of 3.2x, while its price-to-book ratio is 0.7x. Over the past year, the stock returned 4.9%, underperforming the S&P 500 return of 16.8%. Over a five-year span, the stock fell 49.4% compared to an 83.0% gain for the S&P 500.

FGBI key metrics →

FGBI dividend

The company pays a quarterly dividend with an annual forward dividend of $0.04 per share, representing a dividend yield of 0.49%. The payout ratio stands at 200.0%. First Guaranty Bancshares has maintained consecutive annual dividend payments for 23 years, though its 5-year annualized dividend growth contracted by 41.5%. Its most recent ex-dividend date was September 25, 2026.

FGBI dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage consists of 1 analyst holding a Hold rating. The mean price target is $9.00, representing a potential upside of 9.5% from the last close of $8.22. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, the consensus EPS estimate is $0.40, reflecting projected earnings growth of 111.8%, while the estimate for the following fiscal year is $0.65. The company beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 16, 2026.

FGBI forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Trailing twelve-month profitability remains pressured, evidenced by a net profit margin of -96.5% and ROE of -14.8%.
  • The dividend payout ratio is elevated at 200.0%, which may strain ongoing distribution sustainability given FY2025 net losses of -$56.0M.
  • Long-term share dilution is substantial, with the total share count increasing 52.3% over the prior five years.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this FGBI AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. (FGBI). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: FGBI income statement, FGBI balance sheet, FGBI key metrics, FGBI analyst forecast, FGBI chart. See the FGBI stock overview for the latest quote and news.

FGBI AI stock analysis FAQ

What is the current dividend yield for FGBI?

First Guaranty Bancshares offers a dividend yield of 0.49% based on an annual forward dividend of $0.04 per share. It has paid dividends consecutively for 23 years, with the latest ex-dividend date on September 25, 2026.

When is the next earnings release for First Guaranty Bancshares?

The company's next earnings report is scheduled for November 16, 2026. Analysts project an EPS of $0.40 for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026.

How has FGBI stock performed compared to the S&P 500?

Over the trailing 1-year period, FGBI gained 4.9% compared to a 16.8% return for the S&P 500. Over a 5-year span, the stock fell 49.4% while the S&P 500 gained 83.0%.

What was First Guaranty Bancshares' financial performance in FY2025?

In FY2025, revenue declined 19.9% to $196.0M, resulting in a net loss of -$56.0M and diluted EPS of -$3.32. Operating cash flow for the year fell to -$8.3M.

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