Chevron Corporation (CVX) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: CVXAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

CVX AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Chevron Corporation (CVX) is a global integrated energy and chemicals enterprise operating through Upstream and Downstream segments. Over the trailing twelve months, the company generated $209.38B in revenue with a net profit margin of 9.8%. Shares closed at $224.99 on October 16, 2026, delivering a 1-year return of 54.1%.

Market cap
$441.34B
Revenue (TTM)
$209.38B
P/E
21.2x
fwd 15.2x
1Y return
54.1%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$227.92
1.3% vs last close

Bull case

  • Quarterly earnings expanded 321.9% year-over-year in the period ended June 30, 2026.
  • Free cash flow reached $16.59B in FY2025, backing $12.08B in buybacks and $12.75B in dividends.
  • Chevron beat analyst EPS estimates in all 4 of its last 4 quarters.

Bear case

  • Annual revenue fell for three straight fiscal years from $246.25B in FY2022 to $184.43B in FY2025.
  • Analyst consensus expects next fiscal year EPS to fall 12.1% to $15.19.
  • Chevron trades at a trailing P/E of 21.2x, higher than the S&P 500 Energy median of 17.8x.

What Chevron does

Chevron Corporation operates globally in integrated energy and chemicals sectors through its Upstream and Downstream segments. The Upstream segment conducts exploration, development, production, and transportation of crude oil and natural gas, alongside liquefied natural gas operations, gas-to-liquids facilities, and pipeline networks. The Downstream segment focuses on refining crude oil into petroleum products and marketing them worldwide. It also produces and markets renewable fuels, transports commodities via pipelines, vessels, trucks, and railcars, and manufactures petrochemicals for industrial applications. Furthermore, the company engages in commodity trading, insurance, real estate ventures, and technology initiatives.

Growth and profitability

Between FY2021 and FY2025, Chevron's 5-year revenue CAGR was 14.3%. Annual revenue peaked at $246.25B in FY2022 before moderating to $196.91B in FY2023, $193.41B in FY2024, and $184.43B in FY2025. Net income was $12.30B in FY2025, down from $35.47B in FY2022, with FY2025 net margin at 6.7% and EPS at $7.32. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 53.5% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings surged 321.9% year-over-year. TTM operating margin stood at 21.9%, and TTM EPS reached $10.60.

CVX income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Chevron held $8.53B in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $37.08B, resulting in net debt of $28.55B. Shareholders' equity was $189.88B and total assets were $330.13B, reflecting a current ratio of 1.25 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.20. In FY2025, the company produced $33.94B in operating cash flow and $16.59B in free cash flow. Capital expenditures totaled $17.35B, while Chevron returned cash to investors through $12.08B in share buybacks and $12.75B in dividends paid.

CVX balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At $224.99 per share, Chevron's market capitalization is $441.34B and enterprise value is $431.67B. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 21.2x and a forward P/E of 15.2x, compared to medians of 17.8x and 13.4x for its S&P 500 Energy peers. Its EV/EBITDA of 7.7x sits below the peer median of 8.4x, while price-to-sales of 2.1x is slightly below the peer median of 2.3x. Chevron's 1-year return of 54.1% outperformed the SPY return of 16.8%, and its 5-year return of 150.8% exceeded the benchmark's 83.0%.

CVX key metrics →

CVX dividend

Chevron pays a quarterly dividend with an annual forward payout of $7.12, yielding 3.16% as of October 16, 2026. The payout ratio stands at 65.0%. Chevron has paid dividends for 43 consecutive years and posted a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 5.8%. Its last ex-dividend date was August 19, 2026.

CVX dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage consists of 14 Strong Buy, 6 Buy, 4 Hold, 0 Sell, and 1 Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target of $227.92 sits 1.3% above the October 16, 2026 closing price of $224.99. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $17.29 and revenue of $239.51B. For the following fiscal year, 25 analysts project EPS of $15.19 on revenue of $224.99B. Chevron beat EPS estimates in all 4 of its last 4 quarters, with the next earnings release scheduled for October 30, 2026.

CVX forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Net income declined from $35.47B in FY2022 to $12.30B in FY2025, reflecting broader commodity volatility.
  • Total debt of $37.08B as of June 30, 2026 requires continuous cash generation to service alongside dividends and capex.
  • The company's projected revenue for next fiscal year is expected to decline 6.1% to $224.99B.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this CVX AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Chevron Corporation (CVX). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: CVX income statement, CVX balance sheet, CVX key metrics, CVX analyst forecast, CVX chart. See the CVX stock overview for the latest quote and news.

CVX AI stock analysis FAQ

What is Chevron's dividend yield and payout history?

Chevron pays an annual forward dividend of $7.12, representing a 3.16% yield with a 65.0% payout ratio. The company has paid consecutive dividends for 43 years, with a 5-year annualized growth rate of 5.8%.

How did Chevron perform in its latest reported quarter?

In the quarter ended June 30, 2026, Chevron recorded year-over-year revenue growth of 53.5% and quarterly earnings growth of 321.9%.

What do analysts project for Chevron's earnings?

Analysts expect EPS of $17.29 on revenue of $239.51B for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, followed by EPS of $15.19 on revenue of $224.99B next fiscal year.

What is Chevron's net debt position?

As of June 30, 2026, Chevron held $8.53B in cash and short-term investments and $37.08B in total debt, giving it net debt of $28.55B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.20.

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