BP p.l.c. (BP) AI Stock Analysis
BP AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchBP p.l.c. is a global integrated energy company operating across oil, natural gas, refining, and low-carbon energy solutions. In FY2025, the company generated $189.34B in revenue alongside $11.27B in free cash flow. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, revenue rose 48.2% year over year while earnings grew 138.9%.
- Market cap
- $129.32B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $215.47B
- P/E
- 24.5x fwd 9.8x
- 1Y return
- 61.1% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $52.17 3.9% vs last close
Bull case
- Quarterly earnings rose 138.9% and revenue climbed 48.2% year over year in the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026.
- BP trades at a forward P/E of 9.8x and an EV/EBITDA of 3.7x, both well below the median of its US-listed Energy peers.
- The company returned substantial cash to shareholders, reducing its share count by 21.5% over five years and supporting a 4.02% dividend yield.
Bear case
- Net income narrowed from $15.24B in FY2023 to $381.0M in FY2024 and $55.0M in FY2025.
- Total debt stood at $72.69B as of June 30, 2026, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.24.
- Analysts project next fiscal year EPS to fall 30.1% to $5.50 alongside a 10.9% revenue contraction to $209.16B.
What BP p.l.c. does
BP p.l.c., headquartered in London, United Kingdom, operates worldwide across Gas & Low Carbon Energy, Oil Production & Operations, Customers & Products, and Rosneft segments. The company produces and trades natural gas and crude oil, refines petroleum products, and markets retail fuels, convenience goods, aviation fuels, and Castrol lubricants. Its low-carbon operations encompass onshore and offshore wind, solar power generating facilities, biofuels, hydrogen production, and carbon capture and storage technologies. Additionally, BP operates electric vehicle charging infrastructure and invests in digital transformation, power storage, and advanced mobility initiatives.
Growth and profitability
BP grew revenue at a 5-year CAGR of 12.3% from FY2020 to FY2025. Annual revenue reached $241.39B in FY2022 before declining 13.0% in FY2023 to $210.13B and 10.0% in FY2024 to $189.19B. In FY2025, revenue was essentially flat at $189.34B, with an operating margin of 8.2% and net income of $55.0M, down from $15.24B in FY2023. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $215.47B with a profit margin of 2.5% and an operating margin of 13.2%. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue growth was 48.2% year over year, while quarterly earnings expanded by 138.9%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, BP held $37.23B in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $72.69B, resulting in net debt of $35.47B. Total assets stood at $294.63B and shareholders' equity was $58.43B, yielding a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.24 and a current ratio of 1.27. In FY2025, operating cash flow reached $24.49B, supporting capital expenditures of $13.22B and free cash flow of $11.27B. Capital returns in FY2025 included $5.06B in dividends paid and $4.49B in share buybacks, contributing to a 5-year share count change of -21.5%.
Valuation and performance
BP closed at $50.21 on October 16, 2026, with a market capitalization of $129.32B and an enterprise value of $150.34B. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 24.5x, above the 15.0x median of its US-listed Energy peers. However, its forward P/E of 9.8x and EV/EBITDA of 3.7x trade at discounts to the peer medians of 12.7x and 8.0x, respectively. The price-to-sales ratio is 0.6x compared to the peer median of 1.8x. Over the past year, BP gained 61.1% versus a 16.8% return for the S&P 500, and over five years it returned 115.2% against 83.0% for the index.
BP dividend
BP pays an annualized forward dividend of $2.02 per share, representing a dividend yield of 4.02% and a payout ratio of 41.1%. The dividend is distributed quarterly, and the company has paid dividends for 57 consecutive years. The 5-year annualized dividend growth rate stands at 0.7%, and the most recent ex-dividend date was August 14, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage includes 8 Strong Buy, 3 Buy, 6 Hold, 1 Sell, and 1 Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $52.17, which is 3.9% above the last close of $50.21. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $7.87, representing 173.3% growth, on revenue of $234.88B. For the following fiscal year, 16 analysts project EPS of $5.50 on revenue of $209.16B. BP beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is October 30, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Net debt of $35.47B and an annual capital expenditure budget of $13.22B create ongoing funding demands.
- Annual net margin compressed to 0.0% in FY2025, down from 7.3% in FY2023.
- Consensus estimates project revenue to decline 10.9% to $209.16B in the fiscal year following FY2026.
- Trailing twelve-month operating margin of 13.2% trails the US-listed Energy peer median of 28.5%.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this BP AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of BP p.l.c. (BP). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: BP income statement, BP balance sheet, BP key metrics, BP analyst forecast, BP chart. See the BP stock overview for the latest quote and news.
BP AI stock analysis FAQ
What is BP's dividend yield and payout schedule?
BP pays an annual forward dividend of $2.02 per share, which equates to a 4.02% dividend yield. Dividends are paid on a quarterly schedule, and the payout ratio is 41.1%.
How much debt does BP have?
As of June 30, 2026, BP carried $72.69B in total debt and $37.23B in cash and short-term investments, leaving net debt of $35.47B. Its debt-to-equity ratio was 1.24.
When does BP report earnings next?
BP is scheduled to report its next financial results on October 30, 2026.
What are analysts' price targets for BP stock?
The mean analyst price target for BP is $52.17, which is 3.9% above the last closing price of $50.21. Ratings consist of 8 Strong Buy, 3 Buy, 6 Hold, 1 Sell, and 1 Strong Sell.