CAVA Group, Inc. (CAVA) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: CAVAAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

CAVA AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

CAVA Group, Inc. operates a fast-growing Mediterranean restaurant chain and distributes packaged foods through retail grocery channels. In FY2025, revenue expanded 22.4% to $1.18B, though net income fell to $63.7M from $130.3M in FY2024. The stock trades at a premium trailing P/E of 104.1x while holding $435.6M in cash and short-term investments.

Market cap
$6.69B
Revenue (TTM)
$1.37B
P/E
104.1x
fwd 70.4x
1Y return
-9.6%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$83.67
46.1% vs last close

Bull case

  • Quarterly revenue grew 31.3% year-over-year in the latest quarter ending June 30, 2026, outperforming the US-listed Consumer Cyclical peer median growth of 4.5%.
  • Consensus analyst expectations call for next fiscal year revenue to expand 20.9% to $1.82B alongside a 36.1% increase in EPS to $0.74.
  • CAVA generated positive operating cash flow of $184.8M and free cash flow of $26.1M in FY2025 while retaining $435.6M in cash and short-term investments.

Bear case

  • CAVA trades at an elevated valuation with a trailing P/E of 104.1x, significantly higher than the peer median of 18.0x.
  • Annual net income dropped from $130.3M in FY2024 to $63.7M in FY2025 as gross margin fell from 25.1% to 18.4%.
  • The stock has lagged broader markets, falling 9.6% over the past year while the S&P 500 gained 16.8%.

What CAVA does

CAVA Group, Inc. manages a network of Mediterranean restaurants specializing in salads, dips, spreads, toppings, and dressings. Founded in 2006 and based in Washington, D.C., the company serves diners through both physical restaurant locations and online food ordering services. Additionally, CAVA extends its reach into grocery retail by distributing its signature packaged products through Whole Foods Markets and other retail stores. Employing 13,480 people, the company focuses on fresh ingredients, authentic culinary offerings, and continuous footprint expansion across the food industry.

Growth and profitability

CAVA increased annual revenue from $500.1M in FY2021 to $1.18B in FY2025, reflecting a 5-year revenue CAGR of 4.8%. After net losses of -$37.4M in FY2021 and -$59.0M in FY2022, the company turned profitable with net income of $13.3M in FY2023 and $130.3M in FY2024. Net income dropped to $63.7M in FY2025 as gross margin contracted from 25.1% to 18.4%, while operating margin reached 6.7%. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $1.37B with a profit margin of 4.8%. In the latest quarter, quarterly revenue grew 31.3% year-over-year and quarterly earnings rose 19.8%.

CAVA income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, CAVA held $435.6M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $520.7M, resulting in net debt of $85.1M. The company maintains solid liquidity with a current ratio of 2.48 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.62 on shareholders' equity of $841.3M. In FY2025, operating cash flow reached $184.8M and free cash flow totaled $26.1M, after accounting for $158.7M in capital expenditures. Five-year share count increased 11939.0% following its 2023 initial public offering.

CAVA balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At $57.25 per share, CAVA has a market capitalization of $6.69B and an enterprise value of $6.29B. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 104.1x and a forward P/E of 70.4x, well above the median of its US-listed Consumer Cyclical peers at 18.0x and 14.1x, respectively. It also trades at an EV/EBITDA of 34.3x compared to the peer median of 11.1x. Over the past year, CAVA shares declined 9.6%, trailing the S&P 500 benchmark return of 16.8%.

CAVA key metrics →

What analysts expect

Wall Street analysts cover CAVA with 16 Strong Buy, 3 Buy, 8 Hold, 0 Sell, and 1 Strong Sell recommendations. The consensus mean price target is $83.67, representing a 46.1% upside over the last close of $57.25. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $0.55 on revenue of $1.50B. For the following year, 27 analysts project EPS of $0.74 on revenue of $1.82B. CAVA beat EPS consensus estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings report scheduled for November 4, 2026.

CAVA forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • A high beta of 1.81 and a 14.4% short interest of float expose the stock to heightened market volatility.
  • Total debt of $520.7M exceeds cash reserves, resulting in net debt of $85.1M as of June 30, 2026.
  • Substantial capital expenditures of $158.7M in FY2025 limited free cash flow generation to $26.1M despite strong top-line gains.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this CAVA AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of CAVA Group, Inc. (CAVA). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: CAVA income statement, CAVA balance sheet, CAVA key metrics, CAVA analyst forecast, CAVA chart. See the CAVA stock overview for the latest quote and news.

CAVA AI stock analysis FAQ

Does CAVA pay a dividend?

No, CAVA does not pay a dividend. The company reinvests its capital into store openings, operational growth, and retail channel expansion.

What is CAVA's earnings growth outlook?

For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts project EPS of $0.55, up 1.3%. For the next fiscal year, analysts expect EPS to rise 36.1% to $0.74 on revenue of $1.82B.

How does CAVA's valuation compare to its industry peers?

CAVA trades at a forward P/E of 70.4x and EV/EBITDA of 34.3x. Both multiples represent a premium relative to the median of its US-listed Consumer Cyclical peers, which stand at 14.1x and 11.1x, respectively.

When is CAVA's next earnings announcement?

CAVA is scheduled to release its next quarterly financial results on November 4, 2026.

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