First Busey Corporation (BUSE) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: BUSEAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

BUSE AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

First Busey Corporation is a regional bank holding company offering banking, wealth management, and payment technology solutions. In FY2025, revenue reached $1.04B with net income of $135.3M. Trailing twelve-month operating margin stands at 47.1% with a net cash position of $201.2M.

Market cap
$2.43B
Revenue (TTM)
$782.9M
P/E
12.2x
fwd 10.4x
1Y return
38.0%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$32.43
10.2% vs last close

Bull case

  • Operating cash flow reached $192.6M in FY2025, supporting $173.8M in free cash flow and a net cash balance of $201.2M.
  • The company maintained a 32-year dividend payment track record with a 3.54% yield and a sustainable 38.8% payout ratio.
  • First Busey beat analyst earnings expectations in all 4 of the last 4 quarters, with quarterly earnings up 32.7% year-over-year in the latest quarter.

Bear case

  • Quarterly revenue fell 0.9% year-over-year in the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, trailing the US-listed Financial Services peer median revenue growth of 10.1%.
  • Annual operating margin compressed from 36.3% in FY2021 to 17.9% in FY2025.
  • Share count expanded by 58.0% over the last 5 years, diluting existing equity holders.

What First Busey does

First Busey Corporation operates as the bank holding company for Busey Bank, serving retail, commercial, institutional, and governmental clients across the United States. Founded in 1868 and based in Champaign, Illinois, the company operates across three segments: Banking, FirsTech, and Wealth Management. Its services range from traditional banking to advanced payment technology platforms. First Busey has also ventured into cryptocurrency to incorporate digital assets into its services, aiming to improve payment technology solutions, optimize transaction efficiency, expand accessibility, and use blockchain technology to improve transaction security and transparency.

Growth and profitability

First Busey generated revenue of $1.04B in FY2025, rising 57.6% from $662.5M in FY2024 and $50.8M in FY2023. Over the five years from FY2020 to FY2025, revenue achieved a compound annual growth rate of 18.6%. Operating margin was 17.9% in FY2025, down from 23.1% in FY2024 and 36.3% in FY2021. Net income reached $135.3M in FY2025 with EPS of $2.52. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $782.9M with a net profit margin of 29.5%. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue fell 0.9% year-over-year while quarterly earnings grew 32.7%.

BUSE income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, First Busey held $665.4M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $464.2M, resulting in a net cash position of $201.2M. Total assets stood at $18.19B and shareholders' equity was $2.38B. The company recorded a current ratio of 3.78 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.19. In FY2025, operating cash flow was $192.6M and free cash flow was $173.8M. Cash deployment during FY2025 included $19.6M for capital expenditures, $69.9M for share buybacks, and $91.0M for dividends paid.

BUSE balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

BUSE shares trade at a trailing P/E of 12.2x and a forward P/E of 10.4x, compared to medians of 12.1x and 10.8x for US-listed Financial Services peers. The stock's price-to-sales ratio is 3.1x against the peer median of 3.2x, while price-to-book stands at 1.0x. Over the past year, First Busey delivered a 38.0% return compared to 16.8% for the S&P 500 (SPY). Over a 5-year period, the stock gained 40.8% while the S&P 500 gained 83.0%.

BUSE key metrics →

BUSE dividend

First Busey pays a forward annual dividend of $1.04 per share, providing a 3.54% yield with a payout ratio of 38.8%. Dividends are distributed quarterly and have been paid for 32 consecutive years. The dividend has recorded an annualized 5-year growth rate of 2.6%, with the last ex-dividend date on October 23, 2026.

BUSE dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage includes 1 Strong Buy, 2 Buys, and 4 Holds, with no Sell ratings. The mean price target is $32.43, representing a 10.2% premium over the last close of $29.43. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project EPS of $2.69 on revenue of $785.4M. For FY2027, 7 analysts project EPS of $2.74 and revenue of $801.8M. First Busey beat EPS estimates in all 4 of the last 4 quarters, with the next earnings date scheduled for October 27, 2026.

BUSE forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Revenue history exhibits substantial volatility, dropping to $50.8M in FY2023 before rebounding to $1.04B in FY2025.
  • Short interest represents 6.2% of the float as of October 16, 2026.
  • Projected revenue growth slows to 2.1% in the next fiscal year, reaching $801.8M.
  • Trailing ROE stands at 9.6% with return on assets at 1.2% as of the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this BUSE AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of First Busey Corporation (BUSE). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: BUSE income statement, BUSE balance sheet, BUSE key metrics, BUSE analyst forecast, BUSE chart. See the BUSE stock overview for the latest quote and news.

BUSE AI stock analysis FAQ

What dividend does First Busey Corporation pay?

First Busey pays an annual forward dividend of $1.04 per share, resulting in a dividend yield of 3.54%. The company pays dividends quarterly, has maintained payments for 32 consecutive years, and has a payout ratio of 38.8%.

What are analysts forecasting for BUSE stock?

Analysts have an average price target of $32.43, which is 10.2% above the October 16, 2026 closing price of $29.43. Consensuses include 1 Strong Buy, 2 Buys, and 4 Holds, projecting FY2026 EPS of $2.69.

How leveraged is First Busey Corporation's balance sheet?

As of June 30, 2026, First Busey has $665.4M in cash and short-term investments against $464.2M in total debt, giving it a net cash position of $201.2M and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.19.

When does First Busey report earnings next?

The company's next earnings report date is scheduled for October 27, 2026.

More Financial Services AI stock analysis