UMB Financial Corporation (UMBF) AI Stock Analysis
UMBF AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchUMB Financial Corporation (UMBF) is a Kansas City-based bank holding company providing commercial, institutional, and personal banking services. Across the trailing twelve months, the company generated $2.81B in revenue with a net profit margin of 33.5% and diluted earnings per share of $12.02. Trading at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 10.9x, the bank returned 23.8% over the past year.
- Market cap
- $9.96B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $2.81B
- P/E
- 10.9x fwd 9.6x
- 1Y return
- 23.8% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $164.00 25.1% vs last close
Bull case
- Trailing twelve-month operating margin reached 51.1%, significantly higher than the 37.7% median of its US-listed Financial Services peers.
- Analysts maintain a mean price target of $164.00, offering 25.1% upside over the last closing price of $131.10.
- The bank has beaten earnings estimates in all 4 of the last quarters while maintaining a low dividend payout ratio of 14.4%.
Bear case
- Annual net margin narrowed from 28.4% in FY2021 to 15.8% in FY2025.
- The company's 5-year share count increased by 56.4%, diluting per-share metrics over time.
- The balance sheet features $3.56B in total debt and a low current ratio of 0.25 as of June 30, 2026.
What UMB Financial does
UMB Financial Corporation serves as a bank holding company for UMB Bank, operating across three primary segments: Commercial Banking, Institutional Banking, and Personal Banking. The Commercial Banking segment delivers commercial loans, credit cards, commercial real estate financing, asset-based lending, mezzanine debt, minority equity investments, and comprehensive treasury management solutions. Institutional Banking focuses on fund administration, investor services, custody, alternative investment solutions, and healthcare payment systems, including health savings accounts and debit cards. The Personal Banking segment provides retail deposit accounts, retail credit cards, private banking, and installment loans.
Growth and profitability
Between FY2021 and FY2025, UMB Financial delivered a 5-year revenue compound annual growth rate of 28.0%. Annual revenue grew from $1.24B in FY2021 to $4.44B in FY2025, driven by a 68.5% surge in FY2025. Annual net income reached $702.4M in FY2025 with diluted earnings per share of $9.61, up from $353.0M and $7.28 in FY2021. However, annual net margin compressed from 28.4% in FY2021 to 15.8% in FY2025. In the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue was $2.81B with an operating margin of 51.1%. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 12.2% year-over-year, and quarterly earnings expanded 26.2%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, UMB Financial held $779.9M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $3.56B, resulting in net debt of $2.78B. Total assets stood at $72.26B and shareholders' equity reached $8.03B, yielding a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.44 and a current ratio of 0.25. In FY2025, the bank generated $1.03B in operating cash flow and $978.1M in free cash flow. Capital allocation in FY2025 included $48.6M in capital expenditures, $132.6M in share buybacks, and $135.6M in dividends paid.
Valuation and performance
UMB Financial trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 10.9x and a forward P/E of 9.6x, compared to the median of its US-listed Financial Services peers of 12.1x trailing and 10.8x forward. Its price-to-sales ratio of 3.5x stands slightly above the peer median of 3.2x, while price-to-book is 1.3x. Over the past 12 months, the stock returned 23.8%, outpacing the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%. Over a 5-year period, UMBF gained 42.8%, lagging the S&P 500 return of 83.0%.
UMBF dividend
UMB Financial pays a quarterly dividend totaling an annualized $2.00 per share, representing a 1.53% dividend yield. The payout ratio is 14.4%. The company has paid consecutive dividends for 43 years, with a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 5.5%. The last ex-dividend date was September 10, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage consists of 6 Strong Buy, 7 Buy, and 3 Hold ratings, with zero Sell or Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target is $164.00, implying 25.1% upside compared to the last close of $131.10. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $3.00B and EPS of $13.26, representing 16.8% earnings growth. UMB Financial has beaten EPS estimates in each of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is October 27, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- The PEG ratio of 2.54 suggests a premium valuation relative to medium-term earnings growth expectations.
- Total debt of $3.56B exceeds cash and short-term investments of $779.9M, leaving net debt at $2.78B.
- Short interest stands at 6.1% of float, indicating lingering skepticism among market participants.
- Projected EPS growth moderates from 16.8% in FY2026 to 5.1% in FY2027 based on consensus estimates.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this UMBF AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of UMB Financial Corporation (UMBF). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: UMBF income statement, UMBF balance sheet, UMBF key metrics, UMBF analyst forecast, UMBF chart. See the UMBF stock overview for the latest quote and news.
UMBF AI stock analysis FAQ
What is UMB Financial's dividend yield and track record?
UMB Financial offers a forward dividend yield of 1.53% with an annual payout of $2.00 per share. It has paid dividends for 43 consecutive years with a 5-year annualized growth rate of 5.5%.
What are analysts' price targets for UMBF stock?
The 16 analysts following the stock have a mean price target of $164.00, which is 25.1% above its last closing price of $131.10 on October 16, 2026.
How fast is UMB Financial growing?
UMB Financial generated a 5-year revenue CAGR of 28.0% through FY2025. In the quarter ended June 30, 2026, revenue increased 12.2% year-over-year and earnings expanded 26.2%.
When does UMB Financial report its next earnings?
The company is scheduled to report its next quarterly financial results on October 27, 2026.