Tuya Inc. (TUYA) AI Stock Analysis
TUYA AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchTuya Inc. (TUYA) is an Internet of Things cloud platform provider that generated $340.8M in trailing twelve-month revenue with a profit margin of 20.2%. The company turned profitable in FY2024 and grew net income to $58.0M in FY2025 while delivering $73.9M in free cash flow. Supported by $970.6M in net cash as of June 30, 2026, Tuya trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 15.0x.
- Market cap
- $1.01B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $340.8M
- P/E
- 15.0x
- 1Y return
- -27.0% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $3.17 92.0% vs last close
Bull case
- Tuya holds $970.6M in net cash as of June 30, 2026, representing almost all of its $1.01B market capitalization.
- Quarterly earnings increased 50.0% year-over-year in the period ended June 30, 2026, alongside 16.0% revenue growth.
- The company's enterprise value-to-EBITDA ratio of 1.8x sits well below the US-listed Technology peer median of 16.6x.
Bear case
- Tuya shares declined 27.0% over the trailing 12 months and trade 19.1% below their 200-day moving average.
- Consensus estimates expect earnings per share for the current fiscal year to decline 7.7% to $0.12.
- The company exceeded consensus earnings per share estimates in only 1 of the last 4 reported quarters.
What Tuya does
Tuya Inc. develops Internet of Things (IoT) solutions through its IoT cloud platform. Established in 2014 and headquartered in Hangzhou, China, the company provides IoT Platform-as-a-Service (PaaS) to help brands, original equipment manufacturers, and developers launch, manage, and monetize connected smart devices. Tuya also delivers industry-specific Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) solutions across smart homes, business operations, healthcare, education, agriculture, and outdoor environments. In addition to cloud-based value-added services, Tuya sells ready-to-deploy smart devices across multiple consumer categories equipped with its IoT connectivity software.
Growth and profitability
Tuya achieved a 5-year revenue compound annual growth rate of 12.4% from FY2020 to FY2025. After revenue fell 31.1% in FY2022 to $208.2M, it recovered to $230.0M in FY2023, $298.6M in FY2024, and $322.6M in FY2025. Gross margin increased from 42.3% in FY2021 to 48.2% in FY2025. After net losses of -$175.4M in FY2021 and -$146.2M in FY2022, net income reached positive $5.0M in FY2024 and $58.0M in FY2025. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 16.0% year-over-year and quarterly earnings grew 50.0% year-over-year, contributing to trailing twelve-month earnings per share of $0.11.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Tuya held $979.9M in cash and short-term investments and $9.3M in total debt, leaving $970.6M in net cash. Total assets stood at $1.17B against $1.03B in shareholders' equity, resulting in a current ratio of 8.74 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.01. During FY2025, operating cash flow was $81.0M and free cash flow was $73.9M. Cash deployment in FY2025 included $7.1M for capital expenditures, $24,000 for share buybacks, and $69.8M for dividends paid.
Valuation and performance
At $1.65 per share, Tuya has a market capitalization of $1.01B and an enterprise value of $50.3M. The stock trades at a trailing price-to-earnings multiple of 15.0x, below the 28.1x median of its US-listed Technology peers. Its enterprise value-to-EBITDA stands at 1.8x compared to the peer median of 16.6x, while its price-to-sales multiple of 3.0x sits near the peer median of 2.8x. Over the past year, Tuya shares fell 27.0%, underperforming the 16.8% return of the S&P 500 benchmark ETF.
TUYA dividend
Tuya has paid dividends for 3 consecutive years, with its latest ex-dividend date on March 18, 2026. The stock has a forward annual dividend of $0.11 per share, equating to a dividend yield of 6.94%. In FY2025, total dividends paid were $69.8M, and the trailing twelve months payout ratio is 50.8%.
What analysts expect
Wall Street analyst coverage on Tuya includes 3 Strong Buy ratings, 1 Buy rating, and zero Hold, Sell, or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $3.17, representing 92.0% upside above the October 16, 2026 close of $1.65. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $362.3M and earnings per share of $0.12. For the subsequent fiscal year, 4 analysts estimate revenue of $404.1M and earnings per share of $0.14. Tuya beat earnings per share estimates in 1 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 23, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Longer-term share performance has been negative, with a 5-year return of -78.3% compared to an 83.0% gain for the S&P 500.
- Full-year revenue growth moderated from 29.8% in FY2024 to 8.0% in FY2025.
- Full-year operating margin in FY2025 was thin at 0.4%, leaving little cushion against rising operating expenses.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this TUYA AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Tuya Inc. (TUYA). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: TUYA income statement, TUYA balance sheet, TUYA key metrics, TUYA analyst forecast, TUYA chart. See the TUYA stock overview for the latest quote and news.
TUYA AI stock analysis FAQ
What is Tuya's net cash balance?
As of June 30, 2026, Tuya held $979.9M in cash and short-term investments against $9.3M in total debt, creating a net cash position of $970.6M.
Does Tuya pay a dividend?
Yes, Tuya has paid dividends for 3 consecutive years. It carries an annual forward dividend of $0.11 per share, giving it a 6.94% dividend yield and a 50.8% payout ratio.
What is the consensus price target for Tuya stock?
The mean analyst price target is $3.17, representing 92.0% upside versus the last closing price of $1.65. Coverage consists of 3 Strong Buy ratings and 1 Buy rating.
How did Tuya perform in its latest reported quarter?
For the quarter ended June 30, 2026, Tuya posted year-over-year revenue growth of 16.0% and year-over-year earnings growth of 50.0%.