PagSeguro Digital Ltd. (PAGS) AI Stock Analysis
PAGS AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchPagSeguro Digital Ltd. (PAGS) provides financial technology and digital banking solutions across Brazil and internationally. Over the trailing twelve months, the company generated $19.80B in revenue with an operating margin of 36.2%. The stock trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 7.7x and offers a forward dividend yield of 10.18%.
- Market cap
- $3.03B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $19.80B
- P/E
- 7.7x fwd 6.2x
- 1Y return
- 33.6% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $11.59 5.3% vs last close
Bull case
- Annual operating margin increased from 20.6% in FY2021 to 37.5% in FY2025.
- The company offers an annual forward dividend yield of 10.18% backed by a low payout ratio of 13.1%.
- PAGS trades at a forward P/E of 6.2x and an EV/EBITDA of 5.9x, well below its US-listed Technology peer medians of 18.8x and 16.6x.
Bear case
- Total debt stood at $46.61B as of June 30, 2026, resulting in net debt of $45.22B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 3.10.
- In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue fell 0.2% year-over-year.
- The stock has declined 67.2% over a 5-year period, trailing the S&P 500 gain of 83.0%.
What PagSeguro Digital does
PagSeguro Digital Ltd. and its subsidiaries deliver financial technology solutions and services for consumers, individual entrepreneurs, micro-merchants, and small to medium-sized enterprises in Brazil and globally. Its core offering is the PagSeguro Ecosystem, a digital closed-loop platform that lets clients manage fund reception, expenditures, and business growth. The PagBank digital account, accessible via mobile app, centralizes banking services for cash-in and cash-out operations. For medium and larger merchants, its PlugPag solution connects point-of-sale devices with enterprise resource planning systems via Bluetooth. The company also provides online and offline payment tools, cross-border digital solutions, online gaming support, and prepaid, credit, and cash cards.
Growth and profitability
Annual revenue grew from $10.30B in FY2021 to $19.36B in FY2025, reflecting a 5-year revenue CAGR of 23.7%. Operating margin expanded from 20.6% in FY2021 to 37.5% in FY2025, while gross margin was 50.6% in FY2025. Annual net income reached $2.08B in FY2025, up from $1.17B in FY2021, with diluted EPS rising to $7.96. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $19.80B with a profit margin of 10.9%. In the latest quarter, quarterly revenue fell 0.2% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings grew 10.1% year-over-year.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, the company held $1.39B in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $46.61B, resulting in net debt of $45.22B. Shareholders' equity was $15.02B, and total assets reached $75.70B, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 3.10 and a current ratio of 1.55. Operating cash flow was $2.57B in FY2025, supporting free cash flow of $1.55B. Capital allocation in FY2025 included capital expenditures of $1.02B, share buybacks of $1.30B, and dividends paid of $604.9M.
Valuation and performance
PAGS trades at a trailing P/E of 7.7x and a forward P/E of 6.2x, below the median of its US-listed Technology peers at 28.1x and 18.8x, respectively. Its enterprise value stands at $10.46B compared to a market cap of $3.03B, yielding an EV/EBITDA of 5.9x versus the peer median of 16.6x. The price-to-sales ratio is 0.2x against 2.8x for peers. Over the past year, the stock returned 33.6%, outperforming the S&P 500 return of 16.8%, but its 5-year return fell 67.2% compared to an 83.0% gain for the index.
PAGS dividend
PagSeguro pays a quarterly dividend with an annual forward dividend of $1.12 per share, representing a dividend yield of 10.18%. The dividend payout ratio is 13.1%, and the company has paid dividends for 2 consecutive years. The last ex-dividend date was September 16, 2026, following $604.9M in dividends paid during FY2025.
What analysts expect
Wall Street analysts covering PAGS include 6 Strong Buy, 9 Hold, and 1 Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $11.59, representing an upside of 5.3% over the last close of $11.00 on October 16, 2026. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $8.55 on revenue of $21.03B. For the following fiscal year, 8 analysts project EPS of $9.61 and revenue of $22.28B. PAGS has beaten EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings date scheduled for November 11, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- High leverage is evident from $46.61B in total debt compared to $1.39B in cash and short-term investments.
- Quarterly revenue growth slowed to -0.2% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026, trailing the US-listed Technology peer median growth of 11.6%.
- Short interest represents 11.5% of the float, reflecting elevated market skepticism.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this PAGS AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of PagSeguro Digital Ltd. (PAGS). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: PAGS income statement, PAGS balance sheet, PAGS key metrics, PAGS analyst forecast, PAGS chart. See the PAGS stock overview for the latest quote and news.
PAGS AI stock analysis FAQ
What is PagSeguro's dividend yield and payout schedule?
PagSeguro pays a quarterly dividend with an annual forward amount of $1.12 per share, representing a 10.18% dividend yield. The payout ratio is 13.1%, and the company has paid dividends for 2 consecutive years.
When does PagSeguro report its next earnings?
The company is scheduled to report its next earnings on November 11, 2026. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project EPS of $8.55 and revenue of $21.03B.
How much debt does PagSeguro have?
As of June 30, 2026, PagSeguro held $46.61B in total debt and $1.39B in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net debt of $45.22B. Its debt-to-equity ratio is 3.10, and its current ratio is 1.55.
How has PAGS stock performed compared to the S&P 500?
Over the past 1 year, PAGS returned 33.6% compared to 16.8% for the S&P 500. However, over 5 years, the stock fell 67.2% while the S&P 500 gained 83.0%.