Joint Stock Company Kaspi.kz (KSPI) AI Stock Analysis
KSPI AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchJoint Stock Company Kaspi.kz operates payments, marketplace, and fintech platforms in Kazakhstan. In FY2025, revenue grew 56.1% to $3.94T with net income of $1.04T, reflecting a 5-year revenue CAGR of 43.5%. The stock offers a forward dividend yield of 6.16% while trading at a trailing price-to-earnings multiple of 8.9x.
- Market cap
- $17.71B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $3.64T
- P/E
- 8.9x
- 1Y return
- 34.6% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $106.13 13.9% vs last close
Bull case
- Revenue grew 56.1% in FY2025 to $3.94T, following a 5-year revenue CAGR of 43.5% from FY2020 to FY2025.
- The company maintains a strong net cash position of $1.36T and generated $491.10B in free cash flow in FY2025.
- KSPI trades at an EV to EBITDA of 4.3x, well below the 16.6x median of its US-listed Technology peers.
Bear case
- Operating margin decreased steadily from 83.0% in FY2021 to 32.9% in FY2025, and reached 0.0% on a trailing-twelve-month basis.
- Quarterly earnings growth slowed to 0.2% year-over-year in the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026.
- The stock's 5-year return of 7.0% significantly lagged the S&P 500 return of 83.0%.
What Joint Stock Company Kaspi.kz does
Joint Stock Company Kaspi.kz, along with its subsidiaries, operates as a provider of payments, marketplace, and fintech solutions tailored for consumers and merchants in the Republic of Kazakhstan. The company operates through three segments: Payments Platform, Marketplace Platform, and Fintech Platform. The Payments Platform handles shopping transactions, bill payments, peer-to-peer transfers, and merchant analytics. The Marketplace Platform connects online and offline merchants with consumers through mobile commerce, free delivery, and Kaspi Travel services such as flight, holiday, and domestic rail bookings. The Fintech Platform provides consumer financial products including Buy Now, Pay Later, savings accounts, and merchant finance services.
Growth and profitability
Between FY2021 and FY2025, Kaspi.kz achieved a 5-year revenue compound annual growth rate of 43.5%. Annual revenue increased from $885.48B in FY2021 to $1.27T in FY2022, $1.89T in FY2023, $2.52T in FY2024, and $3.94T in FY2025. Over the same period, net income rose from $431.91B in FY2021 to $1.04T in FY2025, while operating margin fell from 83.0% to 32.9% and net margin contracted from 48.8% to 26.4%. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $3.64T with a profit margin of 24.1%. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 13.6% year-over-year while quarterly earnings grew 0.2%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Kaspi.kz held $2.57T in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $1.21T, resulting in net cash of $1.36T. The company reported total assets of $12.06T and shareholders' equity of $2.64T, supporting a current ratio of 2.30 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.46. In FY2025, operating cash flow reached $673.61B and free cash flow was $491.10B. Cash deployment in FY2025 included capital expenditures of $182.51B and share buybacks of $21.91B.
Valuation and performance
At a last close of $93.18, Kaspi.kz has a market cap of $17.71B and an enterprise value of $13.93B. The stock trades at a trailing price-to-earnings multiple of 8.9x and an EV to EBITDA ratio of 4.3x, both below the median of its US-listed Technology peers at 28.1x and 16.6x, respectively. Its price-to-sales ratio of 1.9x also sits below the peer median of 2.8x. Over the past year, KSPI gained 34.6%, outperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%, but its 5-year return of 7.0% trailed SPY's 83.0% return.
KSPI dividend
Kaspi.kz pays a quarterly dividend with an annual forward dividend of $5.74 per share, translating to a dividend yield of 6.16%. The payout ratio is 0.1%, and its most recent ex-dividend date was September 10, 2026.
What analysts expect
Among analysts tracked, Kaspi.kz has 4 Strong Buy ratings, 0 Buy ratings, 3 Hold ratings, and 0 Sell or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $106.13, representing a 13.9% premium over the last close of $93.18. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $4.72T and EPS of $5773.74, reflecting EPS growth of 3.2%. The company beat EPS estimates in 2 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 9, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Trailing-twelve-month operating margin fell to 0.0%, down from annual margins of 50.4% in FY2024 and 32.9% in FY2025.
- Research and development expenses expanded to $208.58B in FY2025 from $109.55B in FY2024, pressuring net margin down to 26.4%.
- Kaspi.kz carries $1.21T in total debt, which represents a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.46 as of June 30, 2026.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this KSPI AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Joint Stock Company Kaspi.kz (KSPI). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: KSPI income statement, KSPI balance sheet, KSPI key metrics, KSPI analyst forecast, KSPI chart. See the KSPI stock overview for the latest quote and news.
KSPI AI stock analysis FAQ
What is Kaspi.kz's dividend yield and payment frequency?
Kaspi.kz pays a quarterly dividend with an annual forward amount of $5.74, providing a dividend yield of 6.16% as of October 16, 2026.
What are Kaspi.kz's key valuation multiples compared to peers?
KSPI trades at a trailing P/E of 8.9x and EV to EBITDA of 4.3x, both below the median of its US-listed Technology peers at 28.1x and 16.6x, respectively.
How much cash and debt does Kaspi.kz have?
As of June 30, 2026, the company held $2.57T in cash and short-term investments and $1.21T in total debt, leaving net cash of $1.36T.
What are analysts forecasting for Kaspi.kz's earnings and price target?
Analysts maintain a mean price target of $106.13, which is 13.9% above the last close of $93.18, and project FY2026 EPS of $5773.74.