StoneCo Ltd. (STNE) AI Stock Analysis
STNE AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchStoneCo Ltd. is a financial technology provider offering payment processing and software solutions to approximately 1,766,100 clients across Brazil. In FY2025, revenue grew 11.1% to $14.15B while net income reached $2.32B, though free cash flow was -$28.4M. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 4.4x with an enterprise value of $3.46B as of October 16, 2026.
- Market cap
- $2.60B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $13.59B
- P/E
- 4.4x fwd 10.8x
- 1Y return
- -22.7% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $15.20 34.7% vs last close
Bull case
- StoneCo expanded its operating margin from 20.2% in FY2021 to 51.4% in FY2025.
- The company's mean analyst price target of $15.20 represents a 34.7% upside potential over the last close of $11.28.
- StoneCo trades at an EV to EBITDA multiple of 3.1x, well below the 16.6x median of its US-listed Technology peers.
Bear case
- Free cash flow remained negative in FY2025 at -$28.4M following free cash flow of -$4.89B in FY2024.
- In the quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly earnings fell 16.6% year-over-year while revenue growth slowed to 1.6%.
- The company carries total debt of $16.24B and net debt of $8.06B, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.81.
What StoneCo does
StoneCo Ltd. specializes in delivering financial technology solutions tailored for merchants and integrated partners across Brazil. The company facilitates electronic commerce transactions across in-store, online, and mobile channels. It operates through proprietary Stone Hubs to provide localized sales and support services, alongside dedicated sales teams, technical personnel, and software vendors. StoneCo serves approximately 1,766,100 clients, predominantly small-and-medium-sized businesses such as marketplaces, e-commerce platforms, and integrated software vendors. Headquartered in George Town, the Cayman Islands, the company focuses on payment processing and operational efficiencies to empower digital and brick-and-mortar merchants.
Growth and profitability
StoneCo delivered a 5-year revenue CAGR of 34.9% from FY2020 to FY2025. Annual revenue rose from $4.58B in FY2021 to $9.02B in FY2022, $11.36B in FY2023, $12.74B in FY2024, and $14.15B in FY2025. Gross margin expanded from 62.6% in FY2021 to 76.2% in FY2025, while operating margin rose from 20.2% to 51.4%. Net income was -$1.36B in FY2021, -$519.4M in FY2022, $1.59B in FY2023, -$1.52B in FY2024, and $2.32B in FY2025. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 1.6% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings declined 16.6%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, StoneCo held $8.18B in cash and short-term investments against $16.24B in total debt, resulting in net debt of $8.06B. The company recorded total assets of $57.78B, shareholders' equity of $8.98B, a current ratio of 1.26, and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.81. In FY2025, operating cash flow stood at $663.3M while free cash flow was -$28.4M. Capital expenditures totaled $691.7M, and the company allocated $2.93B to share buybacks, reducing its share count by 20.6% over 5 years.
Valuation and performance
StoneCo trades at a trailing P/E of 4.4x and a forward P/E of 10.8x, compared to medians of 28.1x and 18.8x for its US-listed Technology peers. Its enterprise value to EBITDA ratio is 3.1x, below the peer group median of 16.6x, and its price-to-sales ratio is 0.2x compared to 2.8x for peers. Over the past year, STNE shares fell 22.7% while the S&P 500 gained 16.8%. Over a 5-year period, the stock declined 63.4%, trailing the 83.0% return of the S&P 500.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage consists of 7 Strong Buy, 2 Buy, 7 Hold, 0 Sell, and 1 Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target of $15.20 implies 34.7% upside relative to the last close of $11.28. StoneCo beat earnings estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project EPS of $10.38 and revenue of $14.91B. The next earnings date is scheduled for November 12, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- StoneCo's net debt reached $8.06B as of June 30, 2026, requiring ongoing cash generation to service liabilities.
- The stock carries a beta of 1.54, reflecting substantially higher volatility than the broader equity market.
- Quarterly revenue growth decelerated to 1.6% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026, down from the 5-year revenue CAGR of 34.9%.
- Net income has shown sharp annual fluctuations, shifting from $1.59B in FY2023 to -$1.52B in FY2024 before rebounding to $2.32B in FY2025.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this STNE AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of StoneCo Ltd. (STNE). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: STNE income statement, STNE balance sheet, STNE key metrics, STNE analyst forecast, STNE chart. See the STNE stock overview for the latest quote and news.
STNE AI stock analysis FAQ
What does StoneCo Ltd. do?
StoneCo Ltd. is a Cayman Islands-headquartered financial technology company providing in-store, online, and mobile payment processing and software solutions to approximately 1,766,100 clients across Brazil.
Does StoneCo pay a dividend?
StoneCo does not currently pay a dividend based on the provided data, but it allocated $2.93B to share buybacks in FY2025.
What is StoneCo's valuation compared to peers?
StoneCo trades at a trailing P/E of 4.4x and an EV to EBITDA ratio of 3.1x, compared to medians of 28.1x and 16.6x, respectively, for its US-listed Technology peers.
What are analysts forecasting for StoneCo's earnings and revenue?
For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $10.38 and revenue of $14.91B, followed by EPS of $11.94 and revenue of $15.66B for the next fiscal year.
When does StoneCo report its next earnings?
StoneCo is scheduled to report its next earnings on November 12, 2026.