Oracle Corporation (ORCL) AI Stock Analysis
ORCL AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchOracle Corporation provides enterprise software, cloud infrastructure, and database systems, generating $71.78B in trailing twelve-month revenue. The company grew FY2026 net income to $17.09B, though free cash flow dropped to -$23.69B following $55.66B in capital expenditures. Its stock closed at $128.23, down 58.5% over the past year.
- Market cap
- $388.73B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $71.78B
- P/E
- 20.1x fwd 17.8x
- 1Y return
- -58.5% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $237.36 85.1% vs last close
Bull case
- Quarterly revenue grew 29.6% year-over-year in the latest quarter ended August 31, 2026, while quarterly earnings increased 54.5%.
- Oracle trades at a forward P/E of 17.8x and a PEG ratio of 0.81, below the median forward P/E of 20.9x for its S&P 500 Technology peers.
- A consensus of 39 analysts projects next fiscal year revenue to expand 45.7% to $131.71B alongside 35.0% EPS growth to $10.99.
Bear case
- Annual capital expenditures reached $55.66B in FY2026, driving free cash flow down to -$23.69B.
- Total debt expanded to $155.93B as of August 31, 2026, resulting in net debt of $118.85B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.34.
- The stock declined 58.5% over the past year, trailing the S&P 500's return of 16.8% and closing 19.4% below its 200-day average.
What Oracle does
Oracle Corporation delivers enterprise information technology products and services worldwide. Its offerings include Oracle Cloud, providing software as a service applications such as Oracle Fusion Cloud ERP, enterprise performance management, supply chain management, human capital management, advertising solutions, and NetSuite. Oracle also provides cloud-based industry solutions, application licenses, and support services. The company develops core infrastructure technologies including Oracle Database, Java development language, middleware tools, Oracle Autonomous Database, and MySQL HeatWave, alongside cloud computing, storage, and networking. Additionally, Oracle offers engineered systems, enterprise servers, and storage hardware, complemented by consulting and customer services for enterprise and government clients.
Growth and profitability
Oracle's annual revenue rose from $42.44B in FY2022 to $67.36B in FY2026, reflecting a 5-year revenue CAGR of 10.7%. Over that timeframe, net income grew from $6.72B to $17.09B, expanding net margin from 15.8% to 25.4%, while gross margin contracted from 79.1% to 65.2%. For the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $71.78B with an operating margin of 35.6% and EPS of $6.38. In the latest quarter ended August 31, 2026, Oracle posted year-over-year quarterly revenue growth of 29.6% and quarterly earnings growth of 54.5%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of August 31, 2026, Oracle held $37.08B in cash and short-term investments against $155.93B in total debt, resulting in net debt of $118.85B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.34. The company's current ratio stood at 1.17, with total assets of $303.26B and shareholders' equity of $66.77B. Operating cash flow reached $31.98B in FY2026, but capital expenditures of $55.66B drove free cash flow to -$23.69B. Cash outflows in FY2026 also included $5.79B in dividends paid and $206.0M in share buybacks.
Valuation and performance
Oracle trades at a trailing P/E of 20.1x and a forward P/E of 17.8x, both below the median of its S&P 500 Technology peers of 31.5x and 20.9x, respectively. Its enterprise value of $560.92B represents an EV to EBITDA multiple of 14.9x, compared to the peer median of 19.9x, while its price-to-sales ratio of 5.4x trails the peer median of 6.3x. The stock closed at $128.23, delivering a 1-year return of -58.5% compared to 16.8% for the S&P 500 (SPY), and a 5-year return of 43.9% versus 83.0% for the index.
ORCL dividend
Oracle pays an annual forward dividend of $2.00 per share, which equates to a dividend yield of 1.56% and a payout ratio of 26.8%. The dividend is distributed on a quarterly basis and has been paid for 18 consecutive years, achieving an annualized 5-year dividend growth rate of 14.6%. The company's last ex-dividend date was October 9, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street analysts hold 28 Strong Buy, 7 Buy, 7 Hold, 0 Sell, and 1 Strong Sell recommendations on the stock. The mean price target is $237.36, representing an 85.1% premium over the last close of $128.23. For the fiscal year ending May 31, 2027, consensus estimates project revenue of $90.42B and EPS of $8.14. Oracle beat EPS estimates in each of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is December 9, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Substantial infrastructure spending pushed FY2026 capital expenditures to $55.66B, resulting in free cash flow of -$23.69B compared to -$394.0M in FY2025.
- Oracle carries $155.93B in total debt with a current ratio of 1.17, requiring consistent cash generation to manage obligations.
- Annual gross margin has narrowed from 79.1% in FY2022 to 65.2% in FY2026.
- A beta of 1.77 indicates higher volatility than the broader market, coinciding with a year-to-date share price decline of 33.3%.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this ORCL AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Oracle Corporation (ORCL). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: ORCL income statement, ORCL balance sheet, ORCL key metrics, ORCL analyst forecast, ORCL chart. See the ORCL stock overview for the latest quote and news.
ORCL AI stock analysis FAQ
What is Oracle's dividend payout and yield?
Oracle pays an annual forward dividend of $2.00 per share, yielding 1.56% with a payout ratio of 26.8%.
How fast is Oracle's revenue growing?
In the latest quarter ended August 31, 2026, Oracle posted year-over-year revenue growth of 29.6%, while its 5-year revenue CAGR stands at 10.7%.
What is Oracle's current debt position?
As of August 31, 2026, Oracle held $155.93B in total debt and $37.08B in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net debt of $118.85B.
What do Wall Street analysts expect for Oracle's stock price?
Analysts have an average price target of $237.36, which is 85.1% above the October 16, 2026 closing price of $128.23.
When does Oracle report its next quarterly earnings?
Oracle is scheduled to report its next earnings on December 9, 2026.