Tilly's, Inc. (TLYS) AI Stock Analysis
TLYS AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchTilly's, Inc. (TLYS) is a specialty retailer of casual apparel, footwear, and accessories targeting youth demographics. After four consecutive fiscal years of revenue contractions and net losses between FY2024 and FY2026, the company posted a trailing twelve months revenue of $582.9M and returned to positive EPS of $0.06. Driven by a 200.7% 1-year share price return, Tilly's trades at an elevated trailing P/E of 76.7x against a forward P/E of 18.8x.
- Market cap
- $140.7M
- Revenue (TTM)
- $582.9M
- P/E
- 76.7x fwd 18.8x
- 1Y return
- 200.7% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $5.50 19.6% vs last close
Bull case
- Quarterly revenue grew 8.1% year-over-year in the latest quarter ending August 31, 2026, while quarterly earnings surged 170.0%.
- Tilly's beat EPS expectations in each of the trailing 4 quarters and is projected to deliver $0.22 in EPS for the current fiscal year.
- Shares trade at a price-to-sales ratio of 0.2x, below the US-listed Consumer Cyclical sector peer median of 0.7x.
Bear case
- Annual revenue fell for four consecutive years, dropping from $775.7M in FY2022 to $553.6M in FY2026.
- The company remains burdened by $169.4M in total debt against $62.2M in cash, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.95.
- Next fiscal year estimates model a 1.5% drop in revenue to $588.6M alongside a 36.4% contraction in EPS to $0.14.
What Tilly's does
Tilly's, Inc. is an Irvine, California-based specialty retailer founded in 1982 that caters to young men, women, boys, and girls across the United States. The company provides casual apparel, footwear, accessories, and hardgoods. Its clothing assortment includes tops, outerwear, bottoms, and dresses, supplemented by accessories such as backpacks, hats, sunglasses, watches, jewelry, and small electronics. Tilly's also retails hardgoods, including skateboards, longboards, bicycles, roller-skates, and surf and snowboard gear. Operating 241 stores as of March 14, 2022, alongside its e-commerce platform tillys.com, Tilly's combines proprietary branded products with a curated assortment of third-party goods.
Growth and profitability
Revenue fell from $775.7M in FY2022 to $553.6M in FY2026, reflecting four straight years of declines, including an 8.6% drop in FY2025 and a 2.8% drop in FY2026. Tilly's recorded net losses of -$34.5M in FY2024, -$46.2M in FY2025, and -$17.5M in FY2026, with an operating margin of -3.5% in FY2026. However, performance improved in the latest quarter ending August 31, 2026, where quarterly revenue grew 8.1% year-over-year and quarterly earnings rose 170.0%. Trailing twelve months revenue reached $582.9M, generating a net profit margin of 0.3% and an EPS of $0.06.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of August 31, 2026, Tilly's held $62.2M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $169.4M, resulting in net debt of $107.2M. Shareholders' equity stood at $86.9M, giving the company a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.95 and a current ratio of 1.16. Operating cash flow turned positive to $4.1M in FY2026 after falling to -$42.0M in FY2025. Free cash flow remained slightly negative at -$589,000 in FY2026, while capital expenditures were $4.7M. Over five years, the company's share count was reduced by 0.6%.
Valuation and performance
Tilly's carries a market capitalization of $140.7M and an enterprise value of $233.5M. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 76.7x and an EV/EBITDA of 23.0x, both well above the US-listed Consumer Cyclical sector peer median of 18.0x and 11.1x, respectively. Its forward P/E of 18.8x also exceeds the peer median of 14.1x, while its price-to-sales multiple of 0.2x sits below the peer median of 0.7x. Over the past year, Tilly's gained 200.7%, outpacing the S&P 500's 16.8% return, though its 5-year return of -64.5% trails the index's 83.0% gain.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage tracked shows 1 analyst with a Hold rating and no Buy or Sell ratings. The mean price target is $5.50, implying an upside of 19.6% from the last close of $4.60. For the fiscal year ending January 31, 2027, consensus estimates project revenue of $597.8M and an EPS of $0.22, reflecting 137.9% EPS growth. For the following fiscal year, 1 analyst expects revenue to contract 1.5% to $588.6M with EPS declining 36.4% to $0.14. Tilly's has beat EPS estimates in each of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings scheduled for December 2, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- The stock has an elevated trailing P/E multiple of 76.7x compared to the sector peer median of 18.0x, leaving little room for operational missteps.
- Liquidity could become constrained if operating cash flow falters, given a current ratio of 1.16 and net debt of $107.2M.
- Long-term shareholder returns remain deeply negative, with a 5-year return of -64.5% compared to an 83.0% gain for the S&P 500.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this TLYS AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Tilly's, Inc. (TLYS). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: TLYS income statement, TLYS balance sheet, TLYS key metrics, TLYS analyst forecast, TLYS chart. See the TLYS stock overview for the latest quote and news.
TLYS AI stock analysis FAQ
Does Tilly's pay a dividend?
No, Tilly's does not currently pay a dividend.
What was Tilly's recent financial performance?
For the trailing twelve months ending August 31, 2026, Tilly's generated $582.9M in revenue and $0.06 in EPS. In the latest quarter, revenue grew 8.1% and earnings rose 170.0% year-over-year.
How does Tilly's valuation compare to its peers?
Tilly's trades at a trailing P/E of 76.7x and an EV/EBITDA of 23.0x, higher than the US-listed Consumer Cyclical sector peer medians of 18.0x and 11.1x. Conversely, its price-to-sales multiple of 0.2x is lower than the peer median of 0.7x.
When does Tilly's report its next quarterly earnings?
The company's next earnings report date is scheduled for December 2, 2026.