Burlington Stores, Inc. (BURL) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: BURLAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

BURL AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Burlington Stores, Inc. (BURL) is a US off-price apparel and home product retailer with a market capitalization of $16.50B. Trailing twelve months revenue reached $12.21B, supported by quarterly revenue growth of 11.0% in the quarter ended July 31, 2026. The company maintains a net debt position of $5.20B while generating $1.23B in operating cash flow in FY2026.

Market cap
$16.50B
Revenue (TTM)
$12.21B
P/E
23.6x
fwd 21.5x
1Y return
-4.3%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$365.38
39.1% vs last close

Bull case

  • Quarterly earnings grew 95.9% year-over-year in the quarter ended July 31, 2026, alongside quarterly revenue growth of 11.0%.
  • Operating cash flow reached $1.23B in FY2026, up from $863.4M in FY2025.
  • Analysts maintain a mean price target of $365.38, indicating 39.1% potential upside from the last closing price of $262.66.

Bear case

  • Total debt of $5.91B significantly exceeds cash and short-term investments of $703.7M, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.95.
  • The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 23.6x, representing a premium over the US-listed Consumer Cyclical peer median of 18.0x.
  • Longer-term share performance has lagged the broader market, with a 5-year return of -2.3% versus 83.0% for the S&P 500.

What Burlington Stores does

Burlington Stores, Inc. functions as a prominent retailer specializing in branded apparel across the United States. The company's network of stores offers merchandise including women's ready-to-wear apparel, menswear, youth clothing, baby essentials, beauty products, footwear, accessories, home decor, toys, gifts, and outerwear. As of October 29, 2022, Burlington Stores operated 893 stores across 46 states and Puerto Rico under the Burlington Stores banner. Founded in 1972 and based in Burlington, New Jersey, the retailer focuses on value-driven shopping experiences with competitive pricing on apparel and household goods.

Growth and profitability

Burlington's revenue increased from $9.32B in FY2022 to $11.57B in FY2026, delivering a 5-year revenue CAGR of 14.9% from FY2021 to FY2026. Net income recovered from $230.1M in FY2023 to $610.2M in FY2026, with net margin improving from 2.6% to 5.3% over that period. Operating margin expanded to 7.3% in FY2026 from 4.4% in FY2023. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue totaled $12.21B with diluted EPS of $11.13 and an operating margin of 6.7%. In the latest quarter ended July 31, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 11.0% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings growth reached 95.9%.

BURL income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of July 31, 2026, Burlington held $703.7M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $5.91B, resulting in net debt of $5.20B. Shareholders' equity stood at $2.00B, creating a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.95 and a current ratio of 1.17. In FY2026, operating cash flow was $1.23B, while capital expenditures were $1.06B, leaving free cash flow of $171.6M. The company directed $278.4M toward share buybacks in FY2026, reducing its share count by 6.3% over five years.

BURL balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Burlington trades at a trailing P/E of 23.6x and a forward P/E of 21.5x, compared to the median of its US-listed Consumer Cyclical peers at 18.0x and 14.1x, respectively. Its enterprise value to EBITDA ratio is 14.6x, above the peer median of 11.1x, while price-to-sales of 1.4x exceeds the peer median of 0.7x. Over the past year, the stock returned -4.3% compared to a 16.8% return for the S&P 500 (SPY). Over five years, the stock returned -2.3%, trailing the S&P 500 return of 83.0%.

BURL key metrics →

What analysts expect

Wall Street analysts cover Burlington with 10 Strong Buy, 3 Buy, and 6 Hold ratings, with no Sell or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $365.38, which is 39.1% above the last close of $262.66. Consensus estimates project FY2027 revenue of $12.83B and EPS of $11.80, representing 20.9% EPS growth. For FY2028, 18 analysts project revenue of $13.98B and EPS of $13.68. Burlington beat EPS expectations in each of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 24, 2026.

BURL forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Net debt stands at $5.20B as of July 31, 2026, posing balance sheet leverage risks.
  • Capital expenditures of $1.06B in FY2026 constrained annual free cash flow to $171.6M.
  • Short interest is elevated, with short percent of float at 9.4%.
  • The stock trades 15.4% below its 200-day moving average and carries a beta of 1.43, indicating higher price volatility.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this BURL AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Burlington Stores, Inc. (BURL). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: BURL income statement, BURL balance sheet, BURL key metrics, BURL analyst forecast, BURL chart. See the BURL stock overview for the latest quote and news.

BURL AI stock analysis FAQ

Does Burlington Stores pay a dividend?

Burlington Stores does not currently pay a dividend. Capital allocation is focused on store investments, including $1.06B in capital expenditures and $278.4M in share buybacks in FY2026.

What are analysts forecasting for Burlington's upcoming fiscal year?

For the fiscal year ending January 31, 2027, analysts estimate revenue of $12.83B and EPS of $11.80, which represents 20.9% EPS growth.

How leveraged is Burlington Stores' balance sheet?

As of July 31, 2026, Burlington held $5.91B in total debt against $703.7M in cash, resulting in net debt of $5.20B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.95.

When does Burlington Stores report earnings next?

Burlington Stores is scheduled to report earnings next on November 24, 2026. The company has beaten EPS estimates in each of its last 4 quarters.

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