Boot Barn Holdings, Inc. (BOOT) AI Stock Analysis
BOOT AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchBoot Barn Holdings, Inc. is an apparel retail chain specializing in western and work-related clothing, footwear, and accessories. In FY2026, the company generated $2.25B in revenue with net income of $225.9M. While trailing twelve months EPS reached $7.90, the stock experienced a 1-year decline of 34.9%.
- Market cap
- $3.69B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $2.34B
- P/E
- 15.4x fwd 14.4x
- 1Y return
- -34.9% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $210.87 73.2% vs last close
Bull case
- Revenue expanded at a 20.3% CAGR from FY2021 to FY2026, reaching $2.25B in FY2026.
- Quarterly earnings increased 31.6% year-over-year for the period ending June 30, 2026, lifting trailing twelve months EPS to $7.90.
- The consensus analyst mean price target of $210.87 implies 73.2% upside over the last closing price of $121.72.
Bear case
- The stock declined 34.9% over the past year, significantly underperforming the S&P 500 return of 16.8%.
- Short interest stands at 10.2% of float, accompanied by a volatile beta of 1.76.
- Boot Barn holds $806.0M in total debt against $139.3M in cash and short-term investments as of June 30, 2026.
What Boot Barn does
Boot Barn Holdings, Inc. operates a lifestyle retail chain across the United States, specializing in western and work-related apparel, footwear, and accessories. Founded in 1978 and headquartered in Irvine, California, the company had expanded to 322 stores across 40 states as of October 26, 2022. Its merchandise includes boots, shirts, jackets, hats, belts, denim, and protective workwear such as flame-resistant and high-visibility garments, alongside gifts and home items. Physical retail operations are supported by e-commerce websites including bootbarn.com, sheplers.com, and countryoutfitter.com.
Growth and profitability
Boot Barn grew its revenue from $1.49B in FY2022 to $2.25B in FY2026, delivering a 5-year revenue CAGR of 20.3% from FY2021 to FY2026. For FY2026, revenue increased 17.9%, gross margin reached 38.1%, and operating margin was 13.3%. Net income rose to $225.9M in FY2026 with diluted EPS of $7.13, up from $180.9M and $5.64 in FY2025. In the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue totaled $2.34B with a profit margin of 10.3% and EPS of $7.90. For the quarter ended June 30, 2026, revenue grew 17.7% and earnings grew 31.6% year-over-year.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Boot Barn held $139.3M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $806.0M, resulting in net debt of $666.8M. Total assets were $2.57B and shareholders' equity stood at $1.36B, yielding a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.59 and a current ratio of 2.53. In FY2026, operating cash flow was $304.9M and free cash flow was $126.3M. The company deployed $178.6M to capital expenditures and $57.3M to share buybacks during the year.
Valuation and performance
Boot Barn trades at a trailing P/E of 15.4x and a forward P/E of 14.4x, compared to medians of 18.0x and 14.1x for its US-listed Consumer Cyclical peers. Its EV/EBITDA of 10.9x is slightly below the peer median of 11.1x, while its price-to-sales multiple of 1.6x is above the peer median of 0.7x. Over the past year, the stock fell 34.9%, trailing the 16.8% return of the S&P 500 (SPY). Over five years, the stock returned 26.2% compared to 83.0% for the index.
What analysts expect
Wall Street analyst coverage includes 13 Strong Buy, 2 Buy, and 1 Hold ratings, with no Sell or Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target is $210.87, representing an implied upside of 73.2% from the last close of $121.72. For the fiscal year ending March 31, 2027, consensus estimates project revenue of $2.61B and EPS of $9.02, reflecting expected EPS growth of 22.7%. Boot Barn beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 4, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Free cash flow has been inconsistent across recent fiscal years, dipping to -$35.6M in FY2023 and -$753,000 in FY2025.
- The stock closed 24.8% below its 200-day moving average and remains well below its 52-week high of $210.25.
- Capital expenditures totaled $178.6M in FY2026, representing a substantial ongoing cash commitment.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this BOOT AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Boot Barn Holdings, Inc. (BOOT). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: BOOT income statement, BOOT balance sheet, BOOT key metrics, BOOT analyst forecast, BOOT chart. See the BOOT stock overview for the latest quote and news.
BOOT AI stock analysis FAQ
Does Boot Barn pay a dividend?
No, Boot Barn does not pay a dividend. Capital is directed toward operations, capital expenditures of $178.6M in FY2026, and share buybacks of $57.3M.
What are analysts forecasting for Boot Barn's current fiscal year?
For the fiscal year ending March 31, 2027, analysts project revenue of $2.61B and EPS of $9.02, which represents 22.7% annual EPS growth.
What is Boot Barn's debt level?
As of June 30, 2026, Boot Barn had total debt of $806.0M and cash and short-term investments of $139.3M, leaving net debt at $666.8M with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.59.
When does Boot Barn report its next quarterly earnings?
Boot Barn is scheduled to report earnings next on November 4, 2026.