Genesco Inc. (GCO) AI Stock Analysis
GCO AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchGenesco Inc. (GCO) is a footwear and apparel retailer operating chains such as Journeys, Schuh, and Johnston & Murphy. In FY2026, the company generated $2.44B in revenue and returned to positive net income of $13.3M, though its trailing twelve-month operating margin stands at -3.1%. The stock has climbed 49.8% year-to-date and trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 9.6x.
- Market cap
- $401.4M
- Revenue (TTM)
- $2.43B
- P/E
- 9.6x fwd 14.6x
- 1Y return
- 28.2% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $39.67 6.9% vs last close
Bull case
- Genesco produced $83.7M in free cash flow in FY2026, supporting $12.6M in share repurchases and long-term capital investments.
- Trailing valuation metrics remain discounted, with a price-to-sales ratio of 0.2x compared to the US-listed Consumer Cyclical peer median of 0.7x.
- Analysts estimate FY2027 EPS will expand by 62.9% to reach $2.36 after the company posted 41.6% quarterly earnings growth in the quarter ended July 31, 2026.
Bear case
- Trailing twelve-month operating margin is negative at -3.1%, lagging well behind the peer median of 8.8%.
- Net debt stood at $526.8M as of July 31, 2026, with total debt of $583.9M exceeding cash of $57.1M.
- Quarterly revenue fell 3.0% year-over-year in the latest quarter, and FY2027 revenue is estimated to decline to $2.38B.
What Genesco does
Genesco Inc. retails and wholesales footwear, apparel, and accessories across four primary segments: Journeys Group, Schuh Group, Johnston & Murphy Group, and Licensed Brands. The Journeys Group operates Journeys, Journeys Kidz, and Little Burgundy retail stores, catering to young men, women, and children alongside e-commerce and catalog channels. The Schuh Group operates retail footwear shops in the UK and Ireland, offering casual and athletic shoes. The Johnston & Murphy Group sells men's and women's footwear, clothing, and accessories via retail, wholesale, and digital channels. The Licensed Brands segment markets footwear under names including Levi's, Dockers, and G.H. Bass, and designs footwear for STARTER and ETONIC.
Growth and profitability
Over the five-year period from FY2021 to FY2026, Genesco achieved a revenue compound annual growth rate of 6.4%. In FY2026, revenue reached $2.44B, up 4.8% from $2.33B in FY2025, while gross margin narrowed to 46.3% from 47.2%. The company recorded FY2026 net income of $13.3M with an operating margin of 1.0%, reversing losses of -$16.8M in FY2024 and -$18.9M in FY2025. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue stands at $2.43B with a net profit margin of 1.7% and an operating margin of -3.1%. For the latest quarter ended July 31, 2026, quarterly revenue fell 3.0% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings grew 41.6%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of July 31, 2026, Genesco held $57.1M in cash and short-term investments alongside total debt of $583.9M, leaving net debt at $526.8M. Total assets were $1.50B and shareholders' equity was $557.0M, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.05 and a current ratio of 1.58. In FY2026, the company generated operating cash flow of $145.8M and free cash flow of $83.7M. Genesco deployed $62.1M toward capital expenditures and $12.6M into share buybacks, contributing to a 28.3% reduction in its share count over five years.
Valuation and performance
At $37.10, Genesco has a market capitalization of $401.4M and an enterprise value of $907.2M. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 9.6x and an EV-to-EBITDA of 9.1x, below the median of its US-listed Consumer Cyclical peers, which carry a trailing P/E of 18.0x and EV-to-EBITDA of 11.1x. Its price-to-sales ratio is 0.2x against the peer median of 0.7x, while its forward P/E of 14.6x compares to the peer median of 14.1x. Over the past year, GCO gained 28.2%, outperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%, but its five-year return of -37.9% trails the S&P 500 return of 83.0%.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage includes 1 Strong Buy and 3 Hold ratings, with no Buy, Sell, or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $39.67, representing a 6.9% premium over the last close of $37.10. For the fiscal year ending January 31, 2027, consensus estimates project revenue of $2.38B and EPS of $2.36, representing 62.9% EPS growth. Four analysts project FY2028 revenue of $2.44B and EPS of $2.95. Genesco exceeded EPS expectations in 3 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings release is scheduled for December 3, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- The stock has a beta of 1.81, indicating price volatility significantly above the broader equity market.
- A debt-to-equity ratio of 1.05 and net debt of $526.8M expose the company to balance sheet pressure if retail cash flows decline.
- Short interest stands at 12.8% of float, reflecting substantial negative positioning among market participants.
- Operating performance remains inconsistent after net income fluctuated between $114.8M in FY2022 and -$18.9M in FY2025.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this GCO AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Genesco Inc. (GCO). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: GCO income statement, GCO balance sheet, GCO key metrics, GCO analyst forecast, GCO chart. See the GCO stock overview for the latest quote and news.
GCO AI stock analysis FAQ
What is Genesco's current valuation compared to its retail peers?
Genesco trades at a trailing P/E of 9.6x, an EV-to-EBITDA of 9.1x, and a price-to-sales ratio of 0.2x. These multiples compare to median values of 18.0x, 11.1x, and 0.7x, respectively, for the median of its US-listed Consumer Cyclical peers.
Does Genesco pay a dividend?
Genesco does not currently have reported dividend payments. Capital allocation has instead focused on capital expenditures of $62.1M and share buybacks of $12.6M in FY2026.
How much debt does Genesco carry?
As of July 31, 2026, Genesco had $583.9M in total debt and $57.1M in cash and short-term investments, leaving net debt at $526.8M. Its debt-to-equity ratio is 1.05.
What are analysts forecasting for Genesco's earnings?
Analysts estimate EPS of $2.36 on revenue of $2.38B for the fiscal year ending January 31, 2027. For the following fiscal year, four analysts forecast EPS of $2.95 on revenue of $2.44B.