Carter's, Inc. (CRI) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: CRIAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

CRI AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Carter's, Inc. (CRI) is a designer and marketer of branded childrenswear operating across retail, wholesale, and international channels. Trailing twelve months revenue stands at $2.98B, with an operating margin of 23.7% and trailing diluted EPS of $5.36. The stock offers a 3.18% dividend yield and trades at a trailing price-to-earnings multiple of 5.9x.

Market cap
$1.15B
Revenue (TTM)
$2.98B
P/E
5.9x
fwd 16.4x
1Y return
6.3%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$40.57
29.0% vs last close

Bull case

  • Trailing twelve months operating margin stands at 23.7%, supported by a trailing P/E ratio of 5.9x.
  • Carter's maintains a 3.18% dividend yield backed by a modest 31.2% payout ratio and 14 consecutive years of payments.
  • The analyst mean price target of $40.57 implies 29.0% upside relative to the $31.45 closing price.

Bear case

  • Net income dropped from $339.7M in FY2021 to $91.8M in FY2025, alongside an overall 5-year revenue CAGR of -0.8%.
  • Short interest is elevated, with short percent of float standing at 25.0%.
  • Current fiscal year EPS is projected to decrease 6.9% to $3.23.

What Carter's does

Carter's, Inc. designs, sources, and markets branded childrenswear globally under labels such as Carter's, OshKosh, Skip Hop, Child of Mine, Just One You, Simple Joys, Carter's My First Love, and little planet. It operates three segments: U.S. Retail, U.S. Wholesale, and International. Products include baby bodysuits, sleepwear, dresses, denim playclothes, outerwear, shoes, toys, and nursery essentials. Skip Hop adds playtime, mealtime, and diaper bags. Carter's distributes products through 18,800 wholesale locations, company-operated stores, and e-commerce websites including carters.com and oshkosh.com.

Growth and profitability

Revenue fell from $3.49B in FY2021 to $2.90B in FY2025, recording a 5-year revenue CAGR of -0.8%. Annual net income declined over the same span from $339.7M to $91.8M, with operating margin compressing from 14.3% in FY2021 to 5.0% in FY2025. Diluted EPS decreased from $7.89 in FY2021 to $3.47 in FY2025. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 5.2% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings growth increased 47146.4%. For the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $2.98B, operating margin was 23.7%, and profit margin was 6.6%.

CRI income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Carter's held $653.6M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $1.18B, leaving net debt at $531.2M. Shareholders' equity stood at $1.03B and total assets totaled $2.73B, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.15 and a current ratio of 2.47. In FY2025, the company generated $122.3M in operating cash flow and $68.6M in free cash flow. Capital allocation in FY2025 included $53.7M in capital expenditures, $56.4M in dividends paid, and $4.5M in share buybacks.

CRI balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

CRI trades at a trailing P/E of 5.9x and a forward P/E of 16.4x, compared to medians of 18.0x and 14.1x for its US-listed Consumer Cyclical peers. Its enterprise value-to-EBITDA stands at 4.7x, below the peer median of 11.1x, while its price-to-sales is 0.4x versus 0.7x for peers. Over the past year, the stock returned 6.3%, trailing the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%. Over five years, the stock is down 60.9%, underperforming the benchmark return of 83.0%.

CRI key metrics →

CRI dividend

Carter's pays an annual forward dividend of $1.00 per share, which corresponds to a dividend yield of 3.18% and a payout ratio of 31.2%. The dividend is distributed quarterly and has been paid for 14 consecutive years. The company's 5-year annualized dividend growth rate is 20.9%, with the most recent ex-dividend date on September 1, 2026.

CRI dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street analysts have 3 Strong Buy, 0 Buy, 4 Hold, and 1 Sell ratings on CRI. The mean price target is $40.57, representing a 29.0% premium over the last close of $31.45. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $2.97B and EPS of $3.23, implying an EPS decline of 6.9%. Carter's has beaten EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, and the next earnings date is October 26, 2026.

CRI forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Total debt of $1.18B exceeds the cash balance of $653.6M, resulting in net debt of $531.2M and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.15.
  • Full-year operating cash flow dropped from $298.8M in FY2024 to $122.3M in FY2025, lowering free cash flow to $68.6M.
  • The stock is trading 12.5% below its 200-day average, reflecting long-term underperformance with a 5-year return of -60.9%.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this CRI AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Carter's, Inc. (CRI). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: CRI income statement, CRI balance sheet, CRI key metrics, CRI analyst forecast, CRI chart. See the CRI stock overview for the latest quote and news.

CRI AI stock analysis FAQ

What is Carter's dividend yield and payment schedule?

Carter's pays an annual dividend of $1.00 per share, resulting in a dividend yield of 3.18%. The dividend is paid quarterly, with a payout ratio of 31.2% and a track record of 14 consecutive years of payments.

How does Carter's valuation compare to its peer group?

Carter's trades at an EV/EBITDA of 4.7x and a trailing P/E of 5.9x, both below the US-listed Consumer Cyclical peer medians of 11.1x and 18.0x, respectively. However, its forward P/E of 16.4x is higher than the peer median of 14.1x.

What are analysts forecasting for Carter's earnings and revenue?

For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $2.97B and EPS of $3.23. For the following fiscal year, 8 analysts project revenue to reach $3.01B and EPS to rise to $3.55.

When is Carter's next earnings report?

Carter's is scheduled to report its next financial results on October 26, 2026. The company has beaten EPS expectations in 3 of the last 4 quarters.

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