The TJX Companies, Inc. (TJX) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: TJXAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

TJX AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

The TJX Companies, Inc. (TJX) is a major off-price apparel and home fashions retailer. In FY2026, the company generated $60.37B in revenue and $5.49B in net income, while delivering free cash flow of $4.92B. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $62.36B with an operating margin of 10.9%.

Market cap
$162.06B
Revenue (TTM)
$62.36B
P/E
27.3x
fwd 24.9x
1Y return
4.6%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$170.80
15.9% vs last close

Bull case

  • Diluted EPS increased from $2.70 in FY2022 to $4.88 in FY2026, supported by an operating margin expansion to 11.9%.
  • TJX produced $4.92B in free cash flow in FY2026 while returning $2.52B via share buybacks and $1.84B in dividends.
  • In the latest quarter ended July 31, 2026, quarterly earnings grew 23.6% year-over-year alongside 4 consecutive quarters of EPS beats.

Bear case

  • The stock trades at a forward P/E of 24.9x, above the median of its S&P 500 Consumer Cyclical peers at 15.6x.
  • TJX carries $14.32B in total debt and $8.31B in net debt as of July 31, 2026, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.34.
  • The stock has lagged broader benchmarks in the short term, returning -3.2% year-to-date and 4.6% over 1 year compared to 16.8% for the S&P 500.

What TJX does

The TJX Companies, Inc. operates as an off-price retailer of apparel and home fashions across four segments: Marmaxx, HomeGoods, TJX Canada, and TJX International. Its merchandise includes family apparel, footwear, accessories, and home goods such as furniture, rugs, lighting, and decorative items, alongside gourmet foods and pet supplies. As of February 23, 2022, TJX operated over 1,284 T.J. Maxx, 1,148 Marshalls, 850 HomeGoods, 59 Sierra, and 39 Homesense locations in the United States, plus e-commerce sites like tjmaxx.com. Internationally, it runs Winners, HomeSense, and Marshalls stores in Canada, as well as T.K. Maxx and Homesense stores across Europe and Australia.

Growth and profitability

TJX increased annual revenue from $48.55B in FY2022 to $60.37B in FY2026, delivering a 5-year revenue CAGR of 13.4% through FY2026. Gross margin expanded from 28.5% in FY2022 to 31.0% in FY2026, while operating margin rose from 9.8% to 11.9% over the same period. Net income climbed from $3.28B in FY2022 to $5.49B in FY2026, with diluted EPS expanding from $2.70 to $4.88. For the latest quarter ended July 31, 2026, revenue increased 5.4% year-over-year, and earnings grew 23.6% year-over-year.

TJX income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of July 31, 2026, TJX held $6.00B in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $14.32B, resulting in net debt of $8.31B. The company recorded a current ratio of 1.15 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.34 on shareholders' equity of $10.65B. For FY2026, operating cash flow stood at $6.87B. Capital expenditures were $1.96B, while capital returns included $2.52B in share buybacks and $1.84B in dividends paid, contributing to an 8.1% reduction in share count over 5 years.

TJX balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

TJX trades at a trailing P/E of 27.3x and a forward P/E of 24.9x, both at a premium to the median of its S&P 500 Consumer Cyclical peers, which stand at 19.7x and 15.6x, respectively. Its price-to-sales of 2.6x and EV/EBITDA of 16.2x also exceed the peer group medians of 2.0x and 13.2x. Over the past year, the stock returned 4.6%, trailing the SPY return of 16.8%. Over a 5-year horizon, TJX returned 146.1%, outperforming the SPY return of 83.0%.

TJX key metrics →

TJX dividend

TJX pays a quarterly dividend with a forward annualized payout of $1.92, representing a dividend yield of 1.30% and a payout ratio of 35.4%. The company has paid dividends for 40 consecutive years and delivered a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 48.3%. Its last ex-dividend date is November 12, 2026.

TJX dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage includes 14 Strong Buy, 4 Buy, and 4 Hold ratings, with zero Sell or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target of $170.80 implies 15.9% upside compared to the last close of $147.33. For the fiscal year ending January 31, 2027, consensus estimates project revenue of $64.03B and EPS of $5.25. TJX has beaten EPS estimates in each of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 18, 2026.

TJX forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • A debt-to-equity ratio of 1.34 and total debt of $14.32B require ongoing cash generation to manage obligations.
  • Quarterly revenue growth of 5.4% for the latest quarter lagged the median of its S&P 500 Consumer Cyclical peers of 6.5%.
  • With a PEG ratio of 2.57, valuation multiples leave limited room for slower-than-expected earnings expansion.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this TJX AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of The TJX Companies, Inc. (TJX). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: TJX income statement, TJX balance sheet, TJX key metrics, TJX analyst forecast, TJX chart. See the TJX stock overview for the latest quote and news.

TJX AI stock analysis FAQ

What is TJX's dividend yield and payout schedule?

TJX offers a forward annualized dividend of $1.92, which reflects a 1.30% dividend yield and a 35.4% payout ratio. Dividends are paid quarterly, and the company has paid dividends for 40 consecutive years.

How does TJX's valuation compare to its sector peers?

TJX trades at a trailing P/E of 27.3x and forward P/E of 24.9x, which sit above the median of its S&P 500 Consumer Cyclical peers of 19.7x and 15.6x. Its EV/EBITDA of 16.2x is also higher than the peer median of 13.2x.

How much cash and debt does TJX have?

As of July 31, 2026, TJX had $6.00B in cash and short-term investments and $14.32B in total debt, yielding net debt of $8.31B. The debt-to-equity ratio was 1.34.

When is TJX's next earnings report and what do analysts expect?

TJX's next earnings date is November 18, 2026. For the fiscal year ending January 31, 2027, analysts forecast full-year EPS of $5.25 and revenue of $64.03B.

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