TriCo Bancshares (TCBK) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: TCBKAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

TCBK AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

TriCo Bancshares is the bank holding company for Tri Counties Bank, providing commercial banking, lending, and treasury management across California. In the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, the company generated $426.2M in revenue with a net profit margin of 31.8% and diluted EPS of $4.17. The balance sheet carries $105.2M in cash and short-term investments against $77.1M in total debt.

Market cap
$1.66B
Revenue (TTM)
$426.2M
P/E
12.5x
fwd 12.1x
1Y return
31.5%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$58.67
12.7% vs last close

Bull case

  • Trailing twelve-month operating margin stands at 43.2%, outperforming the US-listed Financial Services median of 37.7%.
  • Quarterly net income expanded 26.2% year-over-year in the period ended June 30, 2026.
  • The balance sheet maintains net cash of $28.2M with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.06 as of June 30, 2026.

Bear case

  • The forward P/E ratio of 12.1x and price-to-sales ratio of 3.9x trade at a premium to the US-listed Financial Services peer medians of 10.8x and 3.2x.
  • Annual net income of $121.6M in FY2025 remains only modestly higher than the $117.7M recorded in FY2021.
  • Analyst consensus expects next fiscal year revenue growth to slow to 4.0%.

What TriCo Bancshares does

Established in 1975 and headquartered in Chico, California, TriCo Bancshares serves as the bank holding company for Tri Counties Bank. The company provides a comprehensive suite of financial services to individuals and businesses, including demand, savings, and time deposits. Its lending operations span small business loans, residential and commercial real estate mortgages, consumer loans, agricultural loans, and real estate construction loans. In addition, it provides treasury management services, safe deposit boxes, and independent financial and broker-dealer services. Tri Counties Bank operates through 61 traditional branches, 7 in-store branches, and 7 loan production offices across 31 California counties.

Growth and profitability

Annual revenue grew from $334.9M in FY2021 to $533.3M in FY2025, representing a 5-year revenue CAGR of 11.0%. Over the same period, annual net income moved from $117.7M in FY2021 to $121.6M in FY2025, with EPS increasing from $3.94 to $3.71 after bottoming at $3.46 in FY2024. Operating margin moderated from 48.9% in FY2021 to 31.7% in FY2025, before improving to 43.2% for the trailing twelve months. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue expanded 10.4% year-over-year, and quarterly earnings grew 26.2% year-over-year.

TCBK income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, TriCo Bancshares held $105.2M in cash and short-term investments and $77.1M in total debt, resulting in a net cash position of $28.2M. Shareholders' equity stood at $1.34B out of $9.93B in total assets, yielding a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.06 and a current ratio of 10.22. In FY2025, operating cash flow reached $133.3M and free cash flow was $127.9M after $5.4M in capital expenditures. Capital returns during FY2025 included $45.0M in dividends paid and $32.0M in share buybacks.

TCBK balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

TriCo Bancshares trades at a trailing P/E of 12.5x and a forward P/E of 12.1x, compared to medians of 12.1x and 10.8x, respectively, for its US-listed Financial Services peers. Its price-to-sales multiple is 3.9x, above the peer group median of 3.2x, while its price-to-book ratio is 1.2x. Over the past year, TCBK shares appreciated 31.5%, outperforming the S&P 500 return of 16.8%. Over a 5-year span, the stock's 38.7% gain trails the S&P 500 return of 83.0%.

TCBK key metrics →

TCBK dividend

TriCo Bancshares pays a quarterly dividend, supported by a 34-year track record of consecutive payments. The annualized forward payout is $1.44 per share, translating to a dividend yield of 2.77% as of October 16, 2026. The dividend has grown at an annualized rate of 9.4% over five years, supported by a payout ratio of 34.5%. The last ex-dividend date was September 11, 2026.

TCBK dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage consists of 1 Strong Buy, 0 Buy, and 5 Hold ratings. The mean price target of $58.67 implies 12.7% upside relative to the closing price of $52.04 on October 16, 2026. Analysts project full-year EPS of $4.29 on revenue of $450.4M for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026. For the following fiscal year, consensus models EPS of $4.37 and revenue of $468.4M. The company beat EPS estimates in each of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is October 22, 2026.

TCBK forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Annual operating margin compressed from 48.9% in FY2021 to 31.7% in FY2025.
  • Consensus estimates project full-year FY2026 revenue of $450.4M, which would be below the $533.3M reported in FY2025.
  • Over a 5-year period, the stock's 38.7% return has lagged the S&P 500 return of 83.0%.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this TCBK AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of TriCo Bancshares (TCBK). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: TCBK income statement, TCBK balance sheet, TCBK key metrics, TCBK analyst forecast, TCBK chart. See the TCBK stock overview for the latest quote and news.

TCBK AI stock analysis FAQ

What is TriCo Bancshares' dividend yield and payout ratio?

TriCo Bancshares offers an annualized forward dividend of $1.44 per share, resulting in a 2.77% dividend yield as of October 16, 2026. This payout is supported by a payout ratio of 34.5% and a 34-year history of uninterrupted dividend payments.

How does TCBK's valuation compare to other financial firms?

TCBK trades at a trailing P/E of 12.5x and a forward P/E of 12.1x, compared to medians of 12.1x and 10.8x among its US-listed Financial Services peers. Its price-to-book ratio is 1.2x and its price-to-sales ratio is 3.9x.

How much debt does TriCo Bancshares have?

As of June 30, 2026, the company carried $77.1M in total debt against $105.2M in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net cash of $28.2M and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.06.

What are analysts forecasting for TCBK's earnings and price?

Analysts hold a mean price target of $58.67, implying 12.7% upside from the October 16, 2026 close of $52.04. Consensus estimates call for FY2026 EPS of $4.29, followed by $4.37 in the next fiscal year.

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