Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. (STRL) AI Stock Analysis
STRL AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchSterling Infrastructure, Inc. (NASDAQ: STRL) delivers transportation, e-infrastructure, and building solutions across the United States. The company generated trailing twelve month revenue of $3.44B and achieved a 90.1% year-over-year revenue expansion in its latest quarter ended June 30, 2026. STRL maintains net cash of $127.6M with a trailing twelve month return on equity of 40.0%.
- Market cap
- $12.98B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $3.44B
- P/E
- 30.6x fwd 19.6x
- 1Y return
- 17.5% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $836.71 97.2% vs last close
Bull case
- Revenue expanded 90.1% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026, while quarterly earnings surged 116.5%.
- The balance sheet carries $127.6M in net cash with a conservative debt-to-equity ratio of 0.25.
- Trailing twelve month return on equity reached 40.0%, supporting strong capital efficiency.
Bear case
- The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 30.6x and an EV to EBITDA of 22.1x, each above the US-listed Industrials peer medians of 24.8x and 13.9x.
- At the last close of $424.36, the shares sat 22.6% below their 200-day moving average and well off the 52-week high of $1005.68.
- A beta of 1.86 reflects significantly higher price volatility than the broader equity market.
What Sterling Infrastructure does
Headquartered in The Woodlands, Texas, Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. operates across the transportation, e-infrastructure, and building solutions markets. Originally established in 1955, the firm rebranded from Sterling Construction Company, Inc. in June 2022. It constructs and rehabilitates infrastructure projects such as highways, roads, bridges, airports, ports, light rail, and water and drainage systems for transportation departments and regional authorities. The company also provides site improvement services for clients in e-commerce, data center, distribution, warehousing, and energy sectors. Additionally, it offers residential and commercial concrete foundation services for home builders and developers.
Growth and profitability
Sterling Infrastructure expanded its annual revenue from $1.41B in FY2021 to $2.49B in FY2025, delivering a 5-year revenue CAGR of 15.2% from FY2020 to FY2025. Gross margin widened from 14.4% in FY2021 to 23.0% in FY2025, while operating margin rose from 7.6% to 16.6% over the same period. Net income climbed from $62.6M in FY2021 to $290.2M in FY2025, bringing diluted EPS to $10.70. Free cash flow totaled $362.7M in FY2025. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $3.44B with an operating margin of 20.1% and EPS of $13.88. In the quarter ended June 30, 2026, revenue increased 90.1% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings grew 116.5%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Sterling Infrastructure held $464.5M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $336.8M, resulting in net cash of $127.6M. Shareholders' equity stood at $1.36B against total assets of $3.19B. The company recorded a current ratio of 1.11 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.25. During FY2025, operating cash flow was $440.0M, capital expenditures were $77.3M, and share buybacks totaled $74.2M. The 5-year share count change was 4.7%.
Valuation and performance
STRL trades at a trailing P/E of 30.6x and a forward P/E of 19.6x, compared to the median of its US-listed Industrials peers of 24.8x and 17.2x, respectively. Its enterprise value to EBITDA ratio is 22.1x versus the peer median of 13.9x, and its price-to-sales multiple is 3.8x against a peer median of 1.5x. Over the past 1 year, STRL returned 17.5% compared to 16.8% for the S&P 500 (SPY). Over 5 years, the stock returned 1737.1% versus 83.0% for SPY. At its last close of $424.36 on October 16, 2026, the stock traded 22.6% below its 200-day average.
What analysts expect
All 8 analysts covering STRL rate the stock a StrongBuy. The mean price target is $836.71, representing an upside of 97.2% from the last close of $424.36. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project EPS of $20.03 on revenue of $4.12B. For the following fiscal year, analysts expect EPS of $25.84 on revenue of $5.02B. Sterling Infrastructure beat EPS estimates in each of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is October 28, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- The stock has traded between a 52-week low of $281.57 and a 52-week high of $1005.68, showing substantial price swings alongside a beta of 1.86.
- The current ratio stood at 1.11 as of June 30, 2026, indicating tight working capital coverage.
- Free cash flow moderated from $416.1M in FY2024 to $362.7M in FY2025 despite revenue growth.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this STRL AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. (STRL). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: STRL income statement, STRL balance sheet, STRL key metrics, STRL analyst forecast, STRL chart. See the STRL stock overview for the latest quote and news.
STRL AI stock analysis FAQ
What were Sterling Infrastructure's latest quarterly growth rates?
For the quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 90.1% year-over-year, and quarterly earnings grew 116.5% year-over-year.
What is the consensus price target for STRL stock?
The mean analyst price target is $836.71, which stands 97.2% above the last closing price of $424.36 on October 16, 2026.
Does Sterling Infrastructure pay a dividend?
Sterling Infrastructure does not pay a regular dividend based on its reported data, allocating capital instead toward $77.3M of capex and $74.2M of share buybacks in FY2025.
How much debt does Sterling Infrastructure have?
As of June 30, 2026, the company held total debt of $336.8M against $464.5M in cash and short-term investments, resulting in a net cash position of $127.6M.