AECOM (ACM) AI Stock Analysis
ACM AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchAECOM (ACM) is a global infrastructure consulting firm providing planning, design, and construction management across commercial and government sectors. In FY2025, the company delivered revenue of $16.14B and net income of $561.8M, though its latest quarter saw revenue decline 14.2% year-over-year. The stock has dropped 54.3% over the past year, trading at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 20.8x.
- Market cap
- $7.59B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $15.39B
- P/E
- 20.8x fwd 9.6x
- 1Y return
- -54.3% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $84.33 43.1% vs last close
Bull case
- Analyst sentiment remains favorable with 11 Buy or Strong Buy ratings and an average price target of $84.33, representing 43.1% upside from the recent price.
- Valuation multiples are discounted relative to the sector, with a forward P/E of 9.6x versus the US-listed Industrials peer median of 17.2x.
- For the next fiscal year, consensus projections model earnings per share expanding 56.4% to $6.27 alongside an 8.7% rise in revenue to $16.66B.
Bear case
- Top-line growth has decelerated, with revenue falling 14.2% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026.
- The trailing twelve-month operating margin turned negative to -1.8%, trailing the sector peer median operating margin of 11.7%.
- Shareholder returns have lagged broad markets, dropping 54.3% over the past year while the S&P 500 gained 16.8%.
What AECOM does
AECOM provides comprehensive infrastructure consulting services worldwide across three segments: Americas, International, and AECOM Capital. The company offers planning, consulting, architectural and engineering design, construction and program management, as well as investment and development services for commercial and government clients. It also engages in real estate investment and development, alongside construction services for building, energy, and infrastructure projects. These operations support vital sectors including transportation, water management, government facilities, environmental stewardship, and energy production. Headquartered in Dallas, Texas, the firm was incorporated in 1980 and rebranded from AECOM Technology Corporation to AECOM in January 2015.
Growth and profitability
AECOM expanded revenue from $13.34B in FY2021 to $16.14B in FY2025, recording a 5-year revenue compound annual growth rate of 4.0%. Over the same period, gross margin improved from 6.0% to 7.5%, while operating margin rose from 4.7% to 6.4%. Net income reached $561.8M in FY2025, yielding an earnings per share of $5.26, up from $2.83 in FY2021. Free cash flow stood at $684.9M in FY2025 following operating cash flow of $821.6M. For the trailing twelve months, revenue was $15.39B with an operating margin of -1.8% and a profit margin of 1.9%. In the quarter ended June 30, 2026, revenue fell 14.2% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings grew 28.5%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, AECOM reported cash and short-term investments of $762.02B against total debt of $3.33B, resulting in net cash of $758.69B. Shareholders' equity was $2.19B, total assets reached $12.03B, the current ratio stood at 1.06, and the debt-to-equity ratio was 1.52. During FY2025, capital expenditures required $136.7M. The company directed capital back to shareholders through $388.4M in share buybacks and $133.6M in dividends paid, contributing to an 11.1% reduction in share count over 5 years.
Valuation and performance
At $58.94, AECOM has a market capitalization of $7.59B and an enterprise value of $10.10B. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 20.8x and a forward P/E of 9.6x, below the median of its US-listed Industrials peers of 24.8x and 17.2x, respectively. Its enterprise value-to-EBITDA ratio is 10.9x versus the peer median of 13.9x, and its price-to-sales multiple is 0.5x compared to the peer median of 1.5x. Over the past year, the stock fell 54.3%, while the S&P 500 (SPY) returned 16.8%.
ACM dividend
AECOM pays a quarterly dividend with an annualized forward payout of $1.24 per share, providing a dividend yield of 2.10%. The company maintains a payout ratio of 33.2% and has paid dividends for 5 consecutive years. Its most recent ex-dividend date occurred on October 14, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street analysts covering AECOM maintain 9 Strong Buy, 2 Buy, and 2 Hold ratings, with no Sell or Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target is $84.33, implying 43.1% upside compared to the last close of $58.94. For the fiscal year ending September 30, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $15.32B and earnings per share of $4.01, representing an EPS decline of 23.8%. AECOM beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 17, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Revenue momentum faces headwinds as full-year FY2026 revenue is expected to drop to $15.32B from $16.14B in FY2025.
- Operating profitability remains depressed, reflected in a trailing twelve-month operating margin of -1.8%.
- Near-term earnings are projected to contract 23.8% in FY2026 to an estimated $4.01 per share.
- Short interest represents 5.8% of the public float, indicating negative sentiment among some market participants.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this ACM AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of AECOM (ACM). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: ACM income statement, ACM balance sheet, ACM key metrics, ACM analyst forecast, ACM chart. See the ACM stock overview for the latest quote and news.
ACM AI stock analysis FAQ
What is AECOM's current dividend yield?
AECOM offers a forward dividend yield of 2.10% based on an annual dividend of $1.24 per share. It has paid dividends for 5 consecutive years and has a payout ratio of 33.2%.
What is the consensus analyst target price for ACM?
The mean analyst price target is $84.33, which is 43.1% above the closing price of $58.94 on October 16, 2026. The stock has 9 Strong Buy, 2 Buy, and 2 Hold ratings.
When does AECOM report its next financial results?
AECOM is scheduled to report its next earnings results on November 17, 2026. In the last four quarters, the company exceeded EPS expectations in 3 quarters.
How does AECOM's valuation compare to its peers?
AECOM trades at a forward P/E of 9.6x and an EV/EBITDA of 10.9x, both below the US-listed Industrials medians of 17.2x and 13.9x, respectively.