Ferrovial SE (FER) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: FERAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

FER AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Ferrovial SE (FER) is a global infrastructure and urban services company operating across construction, toll roads, airports, and energy. Over the trailing twelve months, the company generated revenue of $9.86B with an operating margin of 10.4%. However, quarterly earnings fell 52.0% year-over-year in the latest quarter ending June 30, 2026, while total debt stood at $10.66B.

Market cap
$35.56B
Revenue (TTM)
$9.86B
P/E
27.1x
fwd 42.7x
1Y return
-20.1%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$73.89
49.5% vs last close

Bull case

  • Ferrovial generated free cash flow of $1.43B in FY2025, supported by steady expansion in operating margin to 10.0%.
  • Analyst consensus sets a mean price target of $73.89, implying 49.5% upside above the closing price of $49.41.
  • The trailing price-to-sales ratio of 3.6x stands well below the median of its Nasdaq-100 Industrials peers of 6.3x.

Bear case

  • Quarterly earnings declined 52.0% year-over-year in the latest quarter ending June 30, 2026.
  • The stock has declined 22.8% year-to-date and trades 23.7% below its 200-day moving average.
  • FER carries a high valuation on future profits with a forward P/E of 42.7x and a PEG ratio of 10.09.

What Ferrovial does

Ferrovial SE, headquartered in Amsterdam, the Netherlands, plans, constructs, finances, operates, and maintains transport infrastructure and urban services. Established in 1952, the company operates across four main segments: Construction, Toll Roads, Airports, and Energy Infrastructures and Mobility. It develops public and private infrastructure, operates toll roads, and manages airports across global markets. Additionally, Ferrovial invests in power transmission lines and renewable energy plants, while offering mobility solutions and waste management services, including operations in the Chilean mining industry. The company maintains an international workforce of 22,359 employees.

Growth and profitability

Ferrovial grew annual revenue from $6.91B in FY2021 to $9.63B in FY2025, recording a 5-year revenue CAGR of 8.1% from FY2020 to FY2025. Annual top-line growth moderated from 12.8% in FY2023 to 7.4% in FY2024 and 5.2% in FY2025. Operating margin expanded from 4.9% in FY2021 to 10.0% in FY2025. Net income was $3.24B in FY2024 before normalizing to $888.0M in FY2025, yielding a net margin of 9.2%. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $9.86B with an operating margin of 10.4% and diluted EPS of $1.82. In the quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 5.2% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings declined 52.0%.

FER income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Ferrovial held $3.86B in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $10.66B, resulting in net debt of $6.79B. Shareholders' equity was $5.72B and total assets were $27.22B, reflecting a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.86 and a current ratio of 1.20. In FY2025, the business generated $1.61B in operating cash flow and $1.43B in free cash flow. Capital allocation in FY2025 included capital expenditures of $187.0M, share buybacks of $501.0M, and dividends paid of $156.0M.

FER balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

With a market capitalization of $35.56B and enterprise value of $47.60B, FER trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 27.1x, below the median of its Nasdaq-100 Industrials peers of 32.4x. Its forward P/E of 42.7x trades at a premium to the peer median of 22.2x. The company's price-to-sales multiple of 3.6x and EV-to-EBITDA of 19.9x compare to peer medians of 6.3x and 20.3x, respectively. Over the past year, FER generated a return of -20.1%, trailing the SPY benchmark return of 16.8%, but its 5-year return of 88.5% outpaced SPY's return of 83.0%.

FER key metrics →

FER dividend

Ferrovial has paid dividends for 10 consecutive years, delivering a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 11.9%. The forward annual dividend is $1.29 per share, representing a dividend yield of 2.60% and a payout ratio of 71.2%. The last ex-dividend date was May 19, 2026.

FER dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage consists of 1 Strong Buy, 0 Buy, and 2 Hold ratings. The mean price target is $73.89, representing an upside of 49.5% relative to the last close of $49.41. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $10.12B and EPS of $1.05, representing EPS growth of 11.2%. For the following fiscal year, 2 analysts project revenue of $10.61B and EPS of $1.18.

FER forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Net debt stood at $6.79B as of June 30, 2026, leading to an elevated debt-to-equity ratio of 1.86.
  • Ferrovial's operating margin of 10.4% over the trailing twelve months lags the peer median of 22.8%.
  • A dividend payout ratio of 71.2% reduces retained earnings available for debt repayment or corporate reinvestment.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this FER AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Ferrovial SE (FER). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: FER income statement, FER balance sheet, FER key metrics, FER analyst forecast, FER chart. See the FER stock overview for the latest quote and news.

FER AI stock analysis FAQ

What dividend does Ferrovial SE pay?

Ferrovial pays an annual forward dividend of $1.29 per share, corresponding to a dividend yield of 2.60%. The company has paid dividends for 10 consecutive years and has a payout ratio of 71.2%.

What is Ferrovial's net debt position?

As of June 30, 2026, Ferrovial held $3.86B in cash and short-term investments and $10.66B in total debt, resulting in net debt of $6.79B.

What are analysts forecasting for FER's earnings?

Analysts expect EPS of $1.05 on revenue of $10.12B for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026. For the following fiscal year, 2 analysts project EPS of $1.18 on revenue of $10.61B.

How has FER stock performed compared to the broader market?

Over the past 1 year, FER returned -20.1% compared to a 16.8% gain for SPY. Over a 5-year period, FER returned 88.5% compared to 83.0% for SPY.

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