Comfort Systems USA, Inc. (FIX) AI Stock Analysis
FIX AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchComfort Systems USA, Inc. (FIX) provides mechanical and electrical contracting services across the United States. Revenue reached $11.23B over the trailing twelve months, supported by 50.3% year-over-year quarterly revenue growth in the period ended June 30, 2026. The company maintains a net cash position of $1.53B and achieved a return on equity of 55.3%.
- Market cap
- $50.65B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $11.23B
- P/E
- 35.4x fwd 26.0x
- 1Y return
- 71.9% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $2198.88 52.8% vs last close
Bull case
- Quarterly revenue grew 50.3% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026, while quarterly earnings expanded 91.9%.
- The balance sheet maintains $1.53B in net cash and a conservative debt-to-equity ratio of 0.10.
- Free cash flow reached $1.03B in FY2025, alongside an annualized 5-year dividend growth rate of 35.6%.
Bear case
- The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 35.4x, above the median of its S&P 500 Industrials peers of 28.4x.
- Shares trade 9.5% below their 200-day moving average and carry an elevated beta of 1.66.
- The stock remains below its 52-week high of $2073.99 following a pullback to its last close of $1439.07.
What Comfort Systems does
Comfort Systems USA, Inc. provides mechanical and electrical services throughout the United States. Its services include installation, renovation, maintenance, repair, and replacement across mechanical, electrical, and plumbing (MEP) systems. The company specializes in the design, engineering, integration, and commissioning of heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems, plumbing, piping and controls, off-site construction, electrical solutions, monitoring technologies, and fire protection systems. Operating across commercial, industrial, and institutional sectors, Comfort Systems USA serves building owners, developers, general contractors, architects, consulting engineers, and property managers.
Growth and profitability
Between FY2021 and FY2025, Comfort Systems USA expanded annual revenue from $3.07B to $9.10B, recording a 5-year revenue CAGR of 26.1%. Over that timeframe, net income increased from $143.3M to $1.02B, lifting net margin from 4.7% to 11.2%. Gross margin improved from 18.3% in FY2021 to 24.1% in FY2025, while operating margin expanded from 6.1% to 14.4%. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, revenue rose 50.3% year-over-year and quarterly earnings grew 91.9%. Trailing twelve months revenue totaled $11.23B with diluted EPS of $40.64.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Comfort Systems USA held $1.85B in cash and short-term investments alongside $328.0M in total debt, resulting in net cash of $1.53B. Shareholders' equity was $3.22B, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.10 and a current ratio of 1.21. In FY2025, the company generated $1.19B in operating cash flow and $1.03B in free cash flow. Capital deployment in FY2025 included $154.9M for capital expenditures, $216.0M for share buybacks, and $68.8M for dividends.
Valuation and performance
At a last close of $1439.07, Comfort Systems USA trades at a trailing P/E of 35.4x and a forward P/E of 26.0x, above the median of its S&P 500 Industrials peers of 28.4x and 20.1x. Its EV to EBITDA multiple is 27.8x compared to the peer median of 17.2x, while price-to-sales of 4.5x compares to 3.1x for peers. Over the past year, the stock returned 71.9% versus 16.8% for the S&P 500. Over five years, the stock returned 1727.2% against 83.0% for the S&P 500.
FIX dividend
Comfort Systems USA pays a quarterly dividend with an annualized forward payout of $3.60, representing a dividend yield of 0.25%. The dividend has been paid for 22 consecutive years, supported by a payout ratio of 7.4%. Over the past five years, the dividend grew at an annualized rate of 35.6%. The company's last ex-dividend date was August 13, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street analysts cover the stock with 9 Strong Buy ratings, 0 Buy ratings, and 1 Hold rating. The mean price target is $2198.88, which is 52.8% above the last close of $1439.07. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $12.99B and EPS of $49.03. The company beat EPS estimates in all 4 of its last 4 quarters. The next earnings date is October 22, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- A beta of 1.66 indicates the stock exhibits higher price sensitivity than the broader market.
- Consensus estimates expect EPS growth to slow from 69.8% in FY2026 to 22.8% in FY2027.
- Working capital management remains critical as the company operates with a current ratio of 1.21.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this FIX AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Comfort Systems USA, Inc. (FIX). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: FIX income statement, FIX balance sheet, FIX key metrics, FIX analyst forecast, FIX chart. See the FIX stock overview for the latest quote and news.
FIX AI stock analysis FAQ
Does Comfort Systems USA pay a dividend?
Yes, Comfort Systems USA pays a quarterly dividend of $3.60 per share annually, yielding 0.25%. It has paid dividends for 22 consecutive years with a 7.4% payout ratio.
What are analysts forecasting for FIX earnings?
Analysts project EPS of $49.03 for FY2026, representing 69.8% growth, and EPS of $60.22 for FY2027, representing 22.8% growth. Consensus revenue estimates stand at $12.99B for FY2026 and $15.46B for FY2027.
How does Comfort Systems USA's valuation compare to its peers?
Comfort Systems USA trades at a forward P/E of 26.0x and an EV to EBITDA ratio of 27.8x. Both multiples trade at a premium to the median of its S&P 500 Industrials peers of 20.1x and 17.2x, respectively.
What is the cash and debt position of FIX?
As of June 30, 2026, the company held $1.85B in cash and short-term investments and $328.0M in total debt, giving it $1.53B in net cash. Its debt-to-equity ratio stood at 0.10.