EMCOR Group, Inc. (EME) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: EMEAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

EME AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

EMCOR Group, Inc. (EME) provides electrical and mechanical construction and facilities services across the United States and the United Kingdom. In FY2025, revenue increased 16.6% to $16.99B, with net income reaching $1.27B. As of June 30, 2026, the company held a net cash position of $382.5M and generated trailing twelve month revenue of $18.60B.

Market cap
$31.83B
Revenue (TTM)
$18.60B
P/E
22.5x
fwd 19.8x
1Y return
5.2%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$1033.29
43.2% vs last close

Bull case

  • EMCOR expanded diluted EPS from $7.06 in FY2021 to $25.89 in FY2025, supported by operating margin improvement from 5.4% to 10.1%.
  • In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 19.8% YoY and quarterly earnings grew 34.8% YoY.
  • The company maintains a strong balance sheet with $382.5M in net cash as of June 30, 2026, and generated $1.19B in free cash flow during FY2025.

Bear case

  • The stock is down 7.4% versus its 200-day average and trades below its 52-week high of $951.96.
  • Trailing twelve month operating margin of 10.6% remains below the median of its S&P 500 Industrials peers of 17.9%.
  • EMCOR underperformed the broader market over the past 1 year, returning 5.2% compared to 16.8% for the S&P 500.

What EMCOR does

EMCOR Group, Inc. provides electrical and mechanical construction and facilities services across the United States and the United Kingdom. The company designs, integrates, installs, operates, and maintains critical infrastructure, including electrical power systems, lighting, energy solutions, and process instrumentation. Its mechanical capabilities include HVAC, refrigeration, plumbing, piping, fire protection, and water treatment systems. EMCOR also offers site-based operations, facility management, outage support, and mobile maintenance to commercial, government, utility, and industrial clients, alongside services such as indoor air quality management, steel fabrication, and crane and rigging.

Growth and profitability

EMCOR generated a 5-year revenue CAGR of 14.1% from FY2020 to FY2025. Annual revenue grew from $9.90B in FY2021 to $11.08B in FY2022, $12.58B in FY2023, $14.57B in FY2024, and $16.99B in FY2025. Operating margin expanded steadily from 5.4% in FY2021 to 10.1% in FY2025, while net margin improved from 3.9% to 7.5%. Over this period, net income rose from $383.5M to $1.27B, lifting EPS from $7.06 to $25.89. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue growth was 19.8% YoY and quarterly earnings growth reached 34.8% YoY, contributing to trailing twelve month revenue of $18.60B and EPS of $32.12.

EME income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, EMCOR held $924.4M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $541.9M, resulting in net cash of $382.5M. Total assets stood at $10.16B and shareholders' equity was $4.08B, supported by a current ratio of 1.28 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.13. In FY2025, operating cash flow was $1.30B and free cash flow was $1.19B. Capital deployment in FY2025 included $112.8M for capital expenditures, $586.3M for share buybacks, and $45.0M for dividends.

EME balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At a last close price of $721.66 on October 16, 2026, EMCOR carried a market capitalization of $31.83B and an enterprise value of $32.78B. The stock traded at a trailing P/E of 22.5x and a forward P/E of 19.8x, both below the median of its S&P 500 Industrials peers of 28.5x and 20.7x, respectively. Its price-to-sales of 1.7x and EV/EBITDA of 15.2x also sat below peer medians of 3.3x and 17.7x. Over the past 1 year, the stock returned 5.2% compared to 16.8% for the S&P 500, but outperformed over 5 years with a 530.6% return against 83.0% for the index.

EME key metrics →

EME dividend

EMCOR pays an annualized forward dividend of $1.60 per share, representing a dividend yield of 0.22% and a payout ratio of 5.4%. The company distributes dividends on a quarterly schedule and has paid dividends for 16 consecutive years. Over the past 5 years, dividend growth annualized at 25.6%. The company's last ex-dividend date was October 15, 2026.

EME dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage consists of 7 Strong Buy and 3 Hold recommendations. The mean price target of $1033.29 represents an upside of 43.2% from the last close of $721.66. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $20.34B and EPS of $32.99, indicating 27.5% EPS growth. For the following fiscal year, 10 analysts project revenue of $22.60B and EPS of $37.37. EMCOR has beaten EPS estimates in each of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings date scheduled for October 29, 2026.

EME forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Free cash flow declined from $1.33B in FY2024 to $1.19B in FY2025, alongside a decrease in operating cash flow from $1.41B to $1.30B.
  • Projected EPS growth is expected to decelerate from 27.5% in the current fiscal year to 13.3% in the next fiscal year.
  • With a beta of 1.12, the stock exhibits higher price volatility than the broader equity market.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this EME AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of EMCOR Group, Inc. (EME). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: EME income statement, EME balance sheet, EME key metrics, EME analyst forecast, EME chart. See the EME stock overview for the latest quote and news.

EME AI stock analysis FAQ

Does EMCOR Group pay a dividend?

Yes, EMCOR pays a quarterly dividend with an annualized forward rate of $1.60 per share, offering a dividend yield of 0.22%. The company has paid dividends for 16 consecutive years and maintains a payout ratio of 5.4%.

What are Wall Street analysts' price targets for EME?

The mean analyst price target for EMCOR is $1033.29, which implies an upside of 43.2% compared to its last close of $721.66. Out of 10 ratings, 7 analysts rate the stock a Strong Buy and 3 rate it a Hold.

How has EMCOR performed relative to its peers on valuation?

EMCOR trades at a trailing P/E of 22.5x and an EV/EBITDA of 15.2x, both below the median of its S&P 500 Industrials peers at 28.5x and 17.7x, respectively. Its price-to-sales ratio is 1.7x versus the peer median of 3.3x.

When does EMCOR report earnings next?

EMCOR is scheduled to report its next earnings on October 29, 2026. The company has beaten EPS estimates in each of the trailing 4 quarters.

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