Shoe Station Group Inc. (SHOE) AI Stock Analysis
SHOE AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchShoe Station Group Inc. (SHOE) is a US footwear retailer operating retail stores, online, and via mobile app. Over the trailing twelve months, the company generated $1.11B in revenue with a net profit margin of 2.2% and EPS of $0.88. In the latest quarter ended July 31, 2026, quarterly revenue fell 7.2% year-over-year while quarterly earnings dropped 67.1%.
- Market cap
- $374.0M
- Revenue (TTM)
- $1.11B
- P/E
- 15.6x fwd 15.4x
- 1Y return
- -29.0% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $15.00 9.0% vs last close
Bull case
- The company pays a forward dividend yield of 4.94% backed by a 50.0% payout ratio and 15 consecutive years of payments.
- Valuation multiples remain discounted to peers, including a price-to-sales ratio of 0.3x and an EV/EBITDA of 8.2x versus peer medians of 0.7x and 11.1x.
- Analyst estimates for next fiscal year project EPS to rebound 70.4% to $1.44 alongside 2.4% revenue growth to $1.13B.
Bear case
- In the latest quarter ended July 31, 2026, earnings fell 67.1% year-over-year while revenue dropped 7.2%.
- Shoe Station Group achieved 0 EPS beats over the last 4 quarters, and analysts project current fiscal year EPS to fall 55.6% to $0.84.
- Short interest represents 52.6% of float following a 1-year share price decline of 29.0%.
What Shoe Station does
Shoe Station Group Inc., formerly known as Shoe Carnival, Inc. until June 2026, retails footwear across the United States. Founded in 1978 and headquartered in Fort Mill, South Carolina, the company employs 2,300 people. Its product catalog includes shoes, sneakers, heels, sandals, boots, work and safety shoes, and athletic footwear, alongside accessories for men, women, and kids. Shoe Station Group distributes products through physical store locations, online platforms, and a mobile application.
Growth and profitability
Between FY2022 and FY2026, annual revenue declined from $1.33B to $1.14B, delivering a 5-year compound annual growth rate of 3.1% from FY2021 to FY2026. Annual gross margin narrowed from 39.6% in FY2022 to 36.6% in FY2026, while operating margin fell from 15.6% to 5.9%. Annual net income dropped from $154.9M in FY2022 to $52.3M in FY2026, with EPS sliding from $5.41 to $1.90. Over the trailing twelve months ended July 31, 2026, revenue stood at $1.11B with an operating margin of 2.7%. In the latest quarter, revenue declined 7.2% year-over-year and earnings dropped 67.1%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of July 31, 2026, Shoe Station Group held $118.0M in cash and short-term investments, with total assets of $1.17B and shareholders' equity of $676.8M. The company maintains a current ratio of 4.04. In FY2026, operating cash flow was $71.3M and free cash flow reached $26.6M. Capital allocation during FY2026 included $44.7M in capital expenditures and $16.7M paid in dividends, while the 5-year share count change was -4.8%.
Valuation and performance
At a market capitalization of $374.0M and enterprise value of $579.5M, Shoe Station Group trades at a trailing P/E of 15.6x, below the 18.0x median of its US-listed Consumer Cyclical peers. Its forward P/E of 15.4x compares to the peer median of 14.1x. The stock carries an EV/EBITDA multiple of 8.2x against the peer median of 11.1x, and a price-to-sales multiple of 0.3x versus the peer median of 0.7x. Over the past year, the shares fell 29.0%, underperforming the 16.8% return for the S&P 500.
SHOE dividend
Shoe Station Group offers a forward annual dividend of $0.68 per share, representing a dividend yield of 4.94% with a payout ratio of 50.0%. Dividends are distributed quarterly and have been paid for 15 consecutive years, with an annualized 5-year dividend growth rate of 27.3%. The most recent ex-dividend date occurred on October 6, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage consists of 1 Strong Buy, 0 Buy, and 2 Hold recommendations. The mean price target of $15.00 implies an upside of 9.0% over the last close of $13.76. Analysts did not record any EPS beats over the last 4 quarters. For the current fiscal year ending January 31, 2027, consensus estimates project EPS of $0.84 on revenue of $1.11B, representing an EPS decline of 55.6%. The next earnings release is scheduled for November 19, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Trailing operating margin compressed to 2.7% compared to the US-listed Consumer Cyclical peer median of 8.8%.
- Annual free cash flow declined from $69.5M in FY2025 to $26.6M in FY2026.
- The stock carries a high short interest of 52.6% of float and a beta of 1.36.
- Long-term total return has lagged broader markets, with a 5-year return of -52.3% versus 83.0% for the S&P 500.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this SHOE AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Shoe Station Group Inc. (SHOE). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: SHOE income statement, SHOE balance sheet, SHOE key metrics, SHOE analyst forecast, SHOE chart. See the SHOE stock overview for the latest quote and news.
SHOE AI stock analysis FAQ
What was the previous company name of Shoe Station Group Inc.?
The company was formerly known as Shoe Carnival, Inc. before changing its name to Shoe Station Group Inc. in June 2026.
What is the dividend yield and payment history for SHOE?
SHOE provides an annual dividend of $0.68 per share, which equals a 4.94% yield with a 50.0% payout ratio. The company has paid dividends for 15 consecutive years and increased them at an annualized rate of 27.3% over the past 5 years.
How does SHOE valuation compare to its peer group?
SHOE trades at a trailing P/E of 15.6x and EV/EBITDA of 8.2x, below the US-listed Consumer Cyclical peer medians of 18.0x and 11.1x. Its price-to-book ratio is 0.5x, and price-to-sales is 0.3x.
When is the next earnings report date for SHOE?
The company's next earnings report date is scheduled for November 19, 2026. For the current fiscal year ending January 31, 2027, analysts project revenue of $1.11B and EPS of $0.84.