Shake Shack Inc. (SHAK) AI Stock Analysis
SHAK AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchShake Shack Inc. operates and licenses fast-casual restaurants known for premium burgers, fries, and shakes across global markets. The company generated $1.55B in trailing twelve months revenue with a 5-year revenue CAGR of 22.6% through FY2025. However, profitability remains lean with a profit margin of 2.6%, and the stock trades at a trailing P/E of 73.7x after falling 25.0% over the past year.
- Market cap
- $2.99B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $1.55B
- P/E
- 73.7x fwd 41.7x
- 1Y return
- -25.0% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $80.50 15.0% vs last close
Bull case
- Five-year revenue expanded at a CAGR of 22.6% through FY2025, with annual revenue reaching $1.45B.
- The balance sheet maintains positive net cash of $44.8M with $308.0M in cash and short-term investments as of June 30, 2026.
- Analyst consensus sets a mean price target of $80.50, representing 15.0% upside from the recent close of $69.99.
Bear case
- The stock trades at an elevated trailing P/E of 73.7x, substantially higher than the peer median of 18.0x.
- Current fiscal year EPS is projected to decline 15.0% to $1.12, down from FY2025 EPS of $1.31.
- Quarterly earnings fell 9.8% year-over-year in the latest quarter ending June 30, 2026.
What Shake Shack does
Shake Shack Inc. is an operator and licensor of Shake Shack restaurants, catering to domestic and international markets. The company's Shacks specialize in premium hamburgers, hot dogs, chicken sandwiches, crinkle cut fries, shakes, frozen custard, and beverages including beer and wine. As of December 29, 2021, the company managed 369 Shacks worldwide, including 218 company-operated Shacks in the United States, 25 domestic licensed Shacks, and 126 international licensed Shacks. Founded in 2001 and headquartered in New York, New York, the company emphasizes premium ingredients and hospitality in the fast-casual dining industry.
Growth and profitability
Annual revenue expanded from $739.9M in FY2021 to $900.5M in FY2022, $1.09B in FY2023, $1.25B in FY2024, and reached $1.45B in FY2025, reflecting a 5-year revenue CAGR of 22.6%. Profitability turned positive over this timeframe, moving from a net loss of $4.6M in FY2021 and $21.2M in FY2022 to net income of $20.3M in FY2023, $10.2M in FY2024, and $45.7M in FY2025. In FY2025, operating margin improved to 5.9% while gross margin was 18.0%. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $1.55B with an operating margin of 5.1%. In the latest quarter, quarterly revenue grew 17.2% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings declined 9.8%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Shake Shack held $308.0M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $263.2M, resulting in net cash of $44.8M. Total assets reached $1.95B and shareholders' equity was $544.3M, yielding a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.48 and a current ratio of 1.67. In FY2025, the company generated $222.4M in operating cash flow and $56.5M in free cash flow, while directing $165.8M toward capital expenditures. Over five years, the share count increased by 7.0%.
Valuation and performance
Shake Shack trades at a trailing P/E of 73.7x and a forward P/E of 41.7x, both above the median of its US-listed Consumer Cyclical peers of 18.0x and 14.1x, respectively. Its price-to-sales multiple is 1.9x compared to the peer median of 0.7x, and its EV-to-EBITDA stands at 16.4x versus 11.1x. Over the past year, the stock fell 25.0%, trailing the S&P 500 return of 16.8%. Over a 5-year span, the stock declined 7.2%, compared to an 83.0% gain for the benchmark index.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage includes 12 Strong Buy, 3 Buy, 12 Hold, 0 Sell, and 1 Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target of $80.50 sits 15.0% above the last close of $69.99. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $1.65B and EPS of $1.12, representing an EPS decline of 15.0%. For the next fiscal year, 26 analysts project revenue to reach $1.89B with EPS rising 25.7% to $1.41. Shake Shack beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, with next earnings scheduled for October 29, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- With a beta of 1.68, the stock experiences substantially higher price volatility than the broader equity market.
- Short interest represents 10.9% of float, reflecting material skepticism among market participants.
- Capital expenditures were $165.8M in FY2025, which may constrain free cash flow expansion if reinvestment needs rise.
- The stock is down 25.0% over the trailing one-year period while the S&P 500 gained 16.8%.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this SHAK AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Shake Shack Inc. (SHAK). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: SHAK income statement, SHAK balance sheet, SHAK key metrics, SHAK analyst forecast, SHAK chart. See the SHAK stock overview for the latest quote and news.
SHAK AI stock analysis FAQ
Does Shake Shack Inc. pay a dividend?
No, Shake Shack Inc. does not currently pay a dividend, focusing cash flow on capital expenditures, which totaled $165.8M in FY2025.
When does Shake Shack report earnings next?
The company is scheduled to report its next earnings on October 29, 2026.
What are analysts forecasting for Shake Shack's full-year earnings?
For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $1.12 and revenue of $1.65B, followed by projected EPS of $1.41 and revenue of $1.89B the following year.
What is Shake Shack's debt position?
As of June 30, 2026, Shake Shack held $308.0M in cash and short-term investments and $263.2M in total debt, yielding a net cash position of $44.8M and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.48.