Progress Software Corporation (PRGS) AI Stock Analysis
PRGS AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchProgress Software Corporation (PRGS) develops, deploys, and manages enterprise business software. Over the trailing twelve months, the company generated $999.9M in revenue with an operating margin of 22.0%. Progress Software carries $1.15B in net debt and trades at a trailing price-to-earnings multiple of 18.8x.
- Market cap
- $1.67B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $999.9M
- P/E
- 18.8x fwd 6.5x
- 1Y return
- -9.0% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $56.20 37.6% vs last close
Bull case
- Progress Software generated $229.5M in free cash flow in FY2025, backed by $235.2M in operating cash flow.
- The stock trades at a forward P/E of 6.5x, below the median of its US-listed Technology peers of 18.8x.
- Analysts maintain a mean price target of $56.20, representing 37.6% upside from the October 16, 2026 closing price of $40.84.
Bear case
- Total debt of $1.27B significantly exceeds cash and short-term investments of $113.7M, leaving net debt at $1.15B and debt-to-equity at 2.39.
- For the quarter ended August 31, 2026, revenue fell 1.5% year-over-year.
- PRGS shares returned -9.0% over the trailing one-year period, underperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%.
What Progress Software does
Progress Software Corporation provides software products for developing, deploying, and managing business applications. Its flagship OpenEdge platform supports mission-critical business application development and deployment. The company also offers Chef for DevOps and DevSecOps automation, along with developer tools such as .NET and JavaScript user interface components, reporting, and automated testing utilities. Through Kemp LoadMaster, Progress delivers application delivery and security load balancing solutions. Other offerings include MOVEit for managed file transfer, DataDirect for secure data connectivity, WhatsUp Gold for network infrastructure monitoring, and Flowmon for network security and visibility across hybrid cloud environments.
Growth and profitability
Between FY2021 and FY2025, revenue grew from $531.3M to $977.8M, reflecting a five-year revenue CAGR of 17.2%. In FY2025, revenue expanded 29.8% to $977.8M, while net income was $73.1M with a net margin of 7.5%, compared to $78.4M and a 14.8% net margin in FY2021. Gross margin shifted from 85.2% in FY2021 to 80.8% in FY2025. In the trailing twelve months ended August 31, 2026, revenue totaled $999.9M with an operating margin of 22.0%. In the latest quarter ended August 31, 2026, quarterly revenue fell 1.5% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings grew 25.0%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of August 31, 2026, Progress Software held $113.7M in cash and short-term investments and $1.27B in total debt, resulting in net debt of $1.15B. The company reported a current ratio of 0.80 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.39, with shareholders' equity of $530.0M against $2.30B in total assets. In FY2025, operating cash flow reached $235.2M and free cash flow was $229.5M. Capital allocation in FY2025 included $5.7M in capital expenditures, $105.2M in share buybacks, and $786,000 in dividends paid.
Valuation and performance
At the last close of $40.84 on October 16, 2026, Progress Software had a market capitalization of $1.67B and an enterprise value of $2.89B. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 18.8x and a forward P/E of 6.5x, below the median of its US-listed Technology peers at 28.1x and 18.8x, respectively. Its EV-to-EBITDA multiple of 9.0x is also below the peer median of 16.6x. Over the trailing year, PRGS returned -9.0% compared to a 16.8% return for the S&P 500 (SPY), and over five years returned -15.3% versus 83.0% for the index.
What analysts expect
Wall Street analyst ratings comprise 4 Strong Buy ratings and 1 Hold rating, with no Buy, Sell, or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $56.20, which is 37.6% above the last close of $40.84. For the fiscal year ending November 30, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $1.05B and EPS of $6.20, representing an 8.3% EPS growth estimate. Over the last 4 quarters, Progress Software exceeded EPS estimates in all 4 quarters.
Key risks and what to watch
- The company's current ratio was 0.80 as of August 31, 2026, indicating short-term obligations exceed liquid assets.
- Net margin contracted from 14.8% in FY2021 to 7.5% in FY2025.
- Short interest represents 16.9% of the float, reflecting elevated short positioning among market participants.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this PRGS AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Progress Software Corporation (PRGS). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: PRGS income statement, PRGS balance sheet, PRGS key metrics, PRGS analyst forecast, PRGS chart. See the PRGS stock overview for the latest quote and news.
PRGS AI stock analysis FAQ
What are analysts forecasting for Progress Software's revenue and earnings?
For the fiscal year ending November 30, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $1.05B and EPS of $6.20. For the following fiscal year, 5 analysts project revenue of $1.28B and EPS of $7.18.
How leveraged is Progress Software's balance sheet?
As of August 31, 2026, Progress Software had $1.27B in total debt and $113.7M in cash, leading to net debt of $1.15B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.39.
How do Progress Software's valuation multiples compare to peers?
PRGS trades at an EV-to-EBITDA of 9.0x and a forward P/E of 6.5x, both below the median of its US-listed Technology peers of 16.6x and 18.8x, respectively.
What is the consensus analyst target for PRGS stock?
The mean price target is $56.20, which is 37.6% above the October 16, 2026 closing price of $40.84, with 4 Strong Buy ratings and 1 Hold rating.