Pool Corporation (POOL) AI Stock Analysis
POOL AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchPool Corporation is a wholesale distributor of swimming pool supplies, equipment, and outdoor leisure products. Over the trailing twelve months, the company generated $5.39B in revenue with an operating margin of 15.1%. With a forward dividend yield of 3.01% and an annual forward payout of $5.20, the stock has dropped 39.0% over the past year.
- Market cap
- $6.27B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $5.39B
- P/E
- 15.8x fwd 17.1x
- 1Y return
- -39.0% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $205.75 19.2% vs last close
Bull case
- The company's trailing twelve month return on equity reached 31.2%, accompanied by an operating margin of 15.1%.
- Analyst targets indicate potential upside, with a mean price target of $205.75 standing 19.2% above the last closing price of $172.57.
- Dividends have increased at an annualized rate of 16.7% over the past 5 years, backed by 23 consecutive years of payments and an annual forward payout of $5.20.
Bear case
- Annual net income declined from $748.5M in FY2022 to $406.4M in FY2025 as revenue fell from $6.18B to $5.29B.
- The stock has fallen 59.0% over the past 5 years and 39.0% over the past year, trailing the S&P 500 one-year return of 16.8%.
- Short interest remains elevated, with short percent of float standing at 11.9%.
What Pool does
Established in 1993 and headquartered in Covington, Louisiana, Pool Corporation distributes swimming pool supplies, equipment, and leisure products across North America, Europe, and Australia. The company operates a network of 410 sales centers serving pool builders, retailers, service businesses, and landscape contractors. Its maintenance offerings include chemicals, cleaning supplies, and accessories. Pool Corp also supplies replacement equipment such as filters, heaters, pumps, and lighting systems. In addition, it distributes packaged pool kits, hot tubs, fiberglass pools, concrete, plumbing fixtures, decorative surfaces, irrigation systems, professional lawn care equipment, and commercial facility products.
Growth and profitability
Pool Corporation grew revenue from $5.30B in FY2021 to a peak of $6.18B in FY2022, before sales contracted to $5.54B in FY2023, $5.31B in FY2024, and $5.29B in FY2025. This reflects a 5-year revenue CAGR of 6.1% from FY2020 to FY2025. Operating margin shifted from 15.7% in FY2021 and 16.6% in FY2022 down to 11.0% in FY2025, while net income declined from $748.5M in FY2022 to $406.4M in FY2025. Diluted EPS fell from $18.40 in FY2022 to $10.72 in FY2025. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 2.2% year-over-year, supporting trailing twelve month revenue of $5.39B.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Pool Corporation held $28.8M in cash and short-term investments against $1.70B in total debt, resulting in net debt of $1.67B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.35. The current ratio stood at 2.67 alongside shareholders' equity of $1.26B. In FY2025, the company generated $365.9M in operating cash flow and $309.5M in free cash flow. Cash deployment in FY2025 included $56.3M in capital expenditures, $184.9M in dividends paid, and $346.3M spent on share buybacks, which helped reduce the share count by 10.2% over five years.
Valuation and performance
At a closing price of $172.57 on October 16, 2026, Pool Corporation trades at a trailing P/E of 15.8x and a forward P/E of 17.1x, compared to medians of 24.8x and 17.2x for US-listed Industrials. Its enterprise value of $8.26B represents an EV/EBITDA multiple of 12.9x, below the peer group median of 13.9x. The stock has underperformed the broader market, falling 39.0% over the past year and 59.0% over five years, whereas the S&P 500 returned 16.8% and 83.0% over the same respective periods.
POOL dividend
Pool Corporation pays a quarterly dividend with an annual forward dividend of $5.20, representing a dividend yield of 3.01% and a payout ratio of 46.2%. The company has paid dividends for 23 consecutive years, achieving a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 16.7%. Its last ex-dividend date was August 13, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage consists of 5 Strong Buy, 0 Buy, 9 Hold, 1 Sell, and 0 Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $205.75, representing an upside of 19.2% over the last close of $172.57. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $10.98 and revenue of $5.44B. The company beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, with the next earnings date set for October 22, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Total debt of $1.70B against cash and short-term investments of $28.8M creates a net debt burden of $1.67B.
- Quarterly revenue growth of 2.2% year-over-year lags the US-listed Industrials peer group median growth of 9.1%.
- Free cash flow decreased from $828.1M in FY2023 to $309.5M in FY2025, potentially limiting flexibility for capital allocation.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this POOL AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Pool Corporation (POOL). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: POOL income statement, POOL balance sheet, POOL key metrics, POOL analyst forecast, POOL chart. See the POOL stock overview for the latest quote and news.
POOL AI stock analysis FAQ
What is Pool Corporation's dividend yield and payout schedule?
Pool Corporation offers a forward dividend yield of 3.01% with an annual dividend of $5.20 paid quarterly. The company maintains a payout ratio of 46.2% and has paid dividends for 23 consecutive years.
How do POOL's valuation multiples compare to its industry peers?
POOL trades at a trailing P/E of 15.8x and an EV/EBITDA of 12.9x, both below the US-listed Industrials medians of 24.8x and 13.9x, respectively. Its forward P/E of 17.1x is slightly below the peer median of 17.2x.
What are analysts forecasting for POOL's revenue and earnings?
For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project EPS of $10.98 on revenue of $5.44B. In the following fiscal year, analysts forecast EPS of $11.74 on revenue of $5.62B.
How much debt does Pool Corporation have on its balance sheet?
As of June 30, 2026, Pool Corporation reported $1.70B in total debt and $28.8M in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net debt of $1.67B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.35.