Watsco, Inc. (WSO-B) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: WSO-BAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

WSO-B AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Watsco, Inc. (WSO-B) is an industrial distributor of air conditioning, heating, and refrigeration equipment and supplies across 671 locations. Over the trailing twelve months, the company posted $7.28B in revenue with an operating margin of 10.9% and a net profit margin of 6.5%. The stock offers a forward annual dividend of $13.20 per share, which represents a 4.59% dividend yield.

Market cap
$11.72B
Revenue (TTM)
$7.28B
P/E
24.4x
fwd 21.2x
1Y return
-26.2%
S&P 500 20.4%
Avg. target
—

Bull case

  • Watsco provides an attractive 4.59% forward dividend yield backed by 42 consecutive years of dividend distributions.
  • The balance sheet carries low leverage with net debt of only $71.1M and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.18 as of June 30, 2026.
  • The business generated substantial free cash flow of $535.1M in FY2025 to fund capital returns and operations.

Bear case

  • Full-year revenue fell 5.0% in FY2025 to $7.24B, while net income declined to $497.0M from $536.3M in FY2024.
  • The company recorded 0 EPS beats over the past four quarters, and latest quarterly earnings fell 11.7% year-over-year.
  • Watsco shares dropped 26.2% over the trailing 12 months, trailing the S&P 500 benchmark gain of 20.4%.

What Watsco does

Founded in 1945 and based in Miami, Florida, Watsco, Inc. distributes air conditioning, heating, refrigeration equipment, and related parts and supplies through its subsidiaries. Its product line encompasses residential ducted and ductless air conditioners, gas, electric, and oil furnaces, commercial HVAC systems, and specialized equipment. Watsco also supplies replacement parts such as compressors, motors, and evaporator coils, as well as supplies including thermostats, insulation materials, refrigerants, ductwork, and plumbing supplies. Serving contractors and dealers across residential and light commercial replacement and new construction markets, Watsco operates 671 locations across the United States, Canada, Mexico, and Puerto Rico, and exports to Latin America and the Caribbean Basin.

Growth and profitability

Watsco grew revenue from $6.28B in FY2021 to a peak of $7.62B in FY2024 before revenue fell 5.0% to $7.24B in FY2025. Over the five years from FY2020 to FY2025, revenue achieved a CAGR of 7.4%. Net income dropped from $601.2M in FY2022 to $497.0M in FY2025, with EPS declining from $14.21 to $10.43 over the same timeframe. FY2025 gross margin stood at 28.0% while operating margin settled at 9.6%. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue was $7.28B with EPS of $11.67. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue increased 2.1% year-over-year while quarterly earnings fell 11.7%.

WSO-B income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Watsco held $464.2M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $535.3M, resulting in net debt of $71.1M. The company maintains solid liquidity with a current ratio of 3.20, total assets of $5.08B, and shareholders' equity of $2.99B, alongside a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.18. Operating cash flow reached $569.6M in FY2025, yielding free cash flow of $535.1M. Capital allocation was directed toward $473.8M in dividends paid, $34.5M in capital expenditures, and $3.7M in share buybacks.

WSO-B balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At $287.50 on October 12, 2026, Watsco had a market capitalization of $11.72B and an enterprise value of $13.50B. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 24.4x, slightly below the 24.8x median of its US-listed Industrials peers, while its forward P/E of 21.2x and EV/EBITDA of 19.3x exceed peer medians of 17.2x and 13.9x, respectively. Watsco's price-to-sales multiple is 1.6x against the peer median of 1.5x. Over the past year, Watsco shares dropped 26.2%, underperforming the 20.4% gain of the S&P 500 (SPY).

WSO-B key metrics →

WSO-B dividend

Watsco pays a quarterly dividend with a forward annual rate of $13.20, representing a 4.59% dividend yield. The company has paid dividends for 42 consecutive years with an annualized 5-year dividend growth rate of 11.1%. Its payout ratio is 3.2%, and the last ex-dividend date was October 16, 2026.

WSO-B dividend history →

What analysts expect

Consensus estimates project Watsco's revenue to reach $7.56B for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026. For the subsequent fiscal year, analysts forecast revenue of $8.00B, implying 5.8% annual revenue growth. Over the last four quarters, the company recorded 0 EPS beats. No consensus ratings or price targets are reported.

WSO-B forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Quarterly earnings fell 11.7% in the quarter ended June 30, 2026, even though revenue grew 2.1%.
  • Multiples trade at a premium to peers, including an EV/EBITDA of 19.3x compared to the US-listed Industrials median of 13.9x.
  • Operating margin narrowed from 11.4% in FY2022 to 9.6% in FY2025, indicating potential vulnerability to cost pressures.
  • The stock trades 8.8% below its 200-day average and close to its 52-week low of $285.84.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 12, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this WSO-B AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Watsco, Inc. (WSO-B). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 12, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: WSO-B income statement, WSO-B balance sheet, WSO-B key metrics, WSO-B analyst forecast, WSO-B chart. See the WSO-B stock overview for the latest quote and news.

WSO-B AI stock analysis FAQ

What is Watsco's dividend yield and dividend record?

Watsco pays a forward annual dividend of $13.20 per share, delivering a 4.59% yield. The company has maintained an uninterrupted dividend payment record for 42 consecutive years, growing payouts at an 11.1% annualized rate over five years.

What are analysts forecasting for Watsco's revenue?

Analysts forecast revenue of $7.56B for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026. For the next fiscal year, consensus estimates anticipate revenue of $8.00B, representing 5.8% revenue growth.

How strong is Watsco's balance sheet?

As of June 30, 2026, Watsco held $464.2M in cash and short-term investments against $535.3M in total debt, resulting in net debt of $71.1M. Its debt-to-equity ratio is 0.18 and its current ratio stands at 3.20.

How has WSO-B stock performed relative to the market?

Watsco shares fell 26.2% over the trailing 1-year period and 13.0% year-to-date, underperforming the S&P 500 return of 20.4% over the past year. Over five years, the stock is up 19.4% compared to a 91.9% return for the S&P 500.

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