Core & Main, Inc. (CNM) AI Stock Analysis
CNM AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchCore & Main, Inc. is a leading US industrial distributor of water, wastewater, storm drainage, and fire protection systems. The company delivered $7.70B in trailing twelve-month revenue with an operating margin of 10.6%. Over the past year, the stock fell 19.2% amid moderating top-line expansion, while analysts hold a mean price target of $54.54.
- Market cap
- $7.74B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $7.70B
- P/E
- 17.3x fwd 17.2x
- 1Y return
- -19.2% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $54.54 29.9% vs last close
Bull case
- Consensus estimates project 36.5% EPS growth to $3.16 for the fiscal year ending January 31, 2027, backed by 4 consecutive quarters of earnings beats.
- Free cash flow generation remained strong at $604.0M in FY2026, supporting $155.0M in buybacks that helped lower share count by 20.9% over 5 years.
- The stock trades at an EV/EBITDA of 11.0x and trailing P/E of 17.3x, both below the US-listed Industrials medians of 13.9x and 24.8x.
Bear case
- Annual revenue growth slowed markedly to 2.8% in FY2026 from 11.0% in FY2025 and 37.4% in FY2022.
- Net debt stands at $2.44B with total debt of $2.75B relative to $312.0M in cash, leading to a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.35.
- The stock declined 19.2% over the trailing year, underperforming the S&P 500 benchmark gain of 16.8%.
What Core & Main does
Core & Main, Inc. specializes in distributing products and services for water, wastewater, storm drainage, and fire protection systems across the United States. Serving municipalities, private water companies, and professional contractors, the company caters to municipal, non-residential, and residential markets. Its product catalog includes pipes, valves, hydrants, and fittings, alongside storm drainage systems such as retention basins, inline drains, and geosynthetics. It also provides fire protection products, fabrication services, and advanced metering solutions including smart meters, installation, and utility software. Founded in 1874 and based in St. Louis, Missouri, the company supports the maintenance, repair, replacement, and construction of essential public infrastructure.
Growth and profitability
Core & Main increased revenue from $5.00B in FY2022 to $7.65B in FY2026, recording a 5-year revenue compound annual growth rate of 16.0%. Annual top-line growth decelerated from 37.4% in FY2022 to 2.8% in FY2026, though net income reached $441.0M with a 5.8% net margin. Operating margin closed FY2026 at 9.5%, down from 11.7% in FY2023. Over the trailing twelve months ended July 31, 2026, revenue stood at $7.70B with an operating margin of 10.6% and diluted EPS of $2.43. For the latest quarter ended July 31, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 2.5% year-over-year while quarterly earnings expanded 9.2%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of July 31, 2026, Core & Main held $312.0M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $2.75B, resulting in net debt of $2.44B. Shareholders' equity was $2.03B, producing a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.35 and a current ratio of 2.47. In FY2026, operating cash flow reached $650.0M and free cash flow stood at $604.0M. The company deployed cash toward $46.0M in capital expenditures and $155.0M in share buybacks during FY2026, contributing to a 20.9% reduction in share count over 5 years.
Valuation and performance
Core & Main trades at a trailing P/E of 17.3x and an EV/EBITDA of 11.0x, compared to medians of 24.8x and 13.9x for its US-listed Industrials peers. Its forward P/E of 17.2x matches the peer median of 17.2x, while its price-to-sales multiple of 1.0x sits below the peer median of 1.5x. The company holds an enterprise value of $10.32B and a market cap of $7.74B. Over the past year, CNM shares dropped 19.2%, underperforming the S&P 500 (SPY), which gained 16.8%.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage consists of 5 Strong Buy, 2 Buy, 6 Hold, and 1 Sell ratings. The mean price target of $54.54 implies 29.9% upside from the October 16, 2026 closing price of $41.99. For the fiscal year ending January 31, 2027, consensus estimates project EPS of $3.16, representing 36.5% growth, on revenue of $7.84B. Core & Main beat EPS estimates in each of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings release is scheduled for December 8, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Quarterly revenue growth slowed to 2.5% in the period ended July 31, 2026, lagging the US-listed Industrials peer median quarterly growth of 9.1%.
- Total debt of $2.75B and net debt of $2.44B present potential refinancing and interest burdens against $2.03B in equity.
- Operating margin declined from 11.7% in FY2023 to 9.5% in FY2026, remaining beneath the peer median of 11.7%.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this CNM AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Core & Main, Inc. (CNM). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: CNM income statement, CNM balance sheet, CNM key metrics, CNM analyst forecast, CNM chart. See the CNM stock overview for the latest quote and news.
CNM AI stock analysis FAQ
Does Core & Main pay a dividend?
Core & Main does not pay a dividend. The company directs excess capital toward capital expenditures, which were $46.0M in FY2026, and share repurchases, which totaled $155.0M in FY2026.
What are analysts' price targets for CNM?
Analysts have established a mean price target of $54.54 for CNM. This represents a 29.9% upside compared to its closing price of $41.99 on October 16, 2026.
How much debt does Core & Main have?
As of July 31, 2026, Core & Main held $2.75B in total debt and $312.0M in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net debt of $2.44B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.35.
When is Core & Main's next earnings report?
The company's next earnings report is scheduled for December 8, 2026. For the current fiscal year ending January 31, 2027, analysts project full-year EPS of $3.16 on revenue of $7.84B.