OPAL Fuels Inc. (OPAL) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: OPALAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

OPAL AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

OPAL Fuels Inc. (OPAL) produces renewable natural gas and builds alternative fuel infrastructure for commercial trucking fleets. The company achieved a 5-year revenue CAGR of 24.3% through FY2025, but carries total debt of $431.7M against cash of $91.4M as of June 30, 2026. Its stock closed at $1.56, having declined 39.1% over the past year.

Market cap
$272.5M
Revenue (TTM)
$339.9M
P/E
—
fwd 3.8x
1Y return
-39.1%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$3.13
100.6% vs last close

Bull case

  • OPAL Fuels has achieved steady top-line expansion, delivering a 5-year revenue CAGR of 24.3% from FY2020 through FY2025.
  • Analysts set a mean price target of $3.13, representing 100.6% upside over the last close of $1.56.
  • The stock trades at a forward P/E of 3.8x, well below the 17.2x median of its US-listed Industrials peers.

Bear case

  • Total debt stood at $431.7M as of June 30, 2026, creating a high debt-to-equity ratio of 16.38.
  • Capital expenditures of $70.7M in FY2025 contributed to negative annual free cash flow of -$34.2M.
  • Quarterly earnings dropped 41.3% year-over-year in the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026.

What OPAL Fuels does

OPAL Fuels Inc. produces and distributes renewable natural gas for heavy and medium-duty vehicle trucking fleets. It designs, develops, constructs, operates, and maintains fueling stations for fleets switching from diesel to natural gas. The company also specializes in designing, developing, and constructing hydrogen fueling stations to support alternative fueling technologies. In addition, OPAL Fuels generates and sells renewable electricity to utilities. Founded in 1998 and headquartered in White Plains, New York, the company operates across renewable fuel production, clean transportation infrastructure, and renewable power generation.

Growth and profitability

OPAL Fuels delivered a 5-year revenue CAGR of 24.3% from FY2020 to FY2025, expanding annual revenue from $166.1M in FY2021 to $349.0M in FY2025. Gross margin reached 30.4% in FY2025, while operating margin was 1.4% and net income totaled $14.8M. Over prior years, net income fluctuated from $210,000 in FY2021 to $29.9M in FY2023 and $11.0M in FY2024. In the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $339.9M with an operating margin of 2.1% and a net profit margin of 5.5%. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 3.7% year-over-year, but quarterly earnings declined 41.3%.

OPAL income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, OPAL Fuels held $91.4M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $431.7M, resulting in net debt of $340.3M. Total assets stood at $1.04B and shareholders' equity was $26.4M, establishing a debt-to-equity ratio of 16.38 and a current ratio of 1.82. During FY2025, the company generated $36.5M in operating cash flow. However, capital expenditures of $70.7M resulted in free cash flow of -$34.2M, while dividends paid totaled $10.5M.

OPAL balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At a last close of $1.56 on October 16, 2026, OPAL Fuels traded at a market capitalization of $272.5M and an enterprise value of $396.7M. The stock trades at a forward P/E of 3.8x, lower than the 17.2x median of its US-listed Industrials peers. Its price-to-sales ratio of 0.8x and EV/EBITDA of 13.7x also sit below the peer medians of 1.5x and 13.9x, respectively. Over the past year, OPAL declined 39.1%, while the S&P 500 gained 16.8%. Over five years, the stock fell 84.0% compared to an 83.0% gain for the index.

OPAL key metrics →

What analysts expect

Wall Street analysts cover OPAL Fuels with 2 Strong Buy, 2 Hold, and 1 Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $3.13, which is 100.6% above the last close of $1.56. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $361.4M and EPS of $1.83. For the following fiscal year, 1 analyst projects revenue of $408.9M and EPS of $2.04. OPAL has beaten EPS estimates in 2 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 5, 2026.

OPAL forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • High financial leverage is a key risk, as net debt reached $340.3M compared to shareholders' equity of only $26.4M as of June 30, 2026.
  • Short sellers hold 12.1% of the float, reflecting elevated market skepticism around the company's prospects.
  • Stock price momentum remains depressed, with shares trading 28.2% below their 200-day moving average and down 33.8% year-to-date.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this OPAL AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of OPAL Fuels Inc. (OPAL). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: OPAL income statement, OPAL balance sheet, OPAL key metrics, OPAL analyst forecast, OPAL chart. See the OPAL stock overview for the latest quote and news.

OPAL AI stock analysis FAQ

What does OPAL Fuels Inc. do?

OPAL Fuels Inc. produces and distributes renewable natural gas for heavy and medium-duty vehicle fleets. It also develops, constructs, and operates natural gas and hydrogen fueling stations, and sells renewable electricity to utilities.

What is OPAL Fuels' debt profile?

As of June 30, 2026, OPAL Fuels had total debt of $431.7M and cash and short-term investments of $91.4M, resulting in net debt of $340.3M. This corresponds to a debt-to-equity ratio of 16.38 on $26.4M in shareholders' equity.

What are analysts forecasting for OPAL stock?

Analysts maintain a mean price target of $3.13, which is 100.6% above the October 16, 2026 closing price of $1.56. For FY2026, analysts estimate revenue of $361.4M and EPS of $1.83.

Does OPAL Fuels generate positive free cash flow?

In FY2025, OPAL Fuels generated $36.5M in operating cash flow, but incurred $70.7M in capital expenditures, leading to free cash flow of -$34.2M. The company has posted negative free cash flow in each fiscal year from FY2021 through FY2025.

More Industrials AI stock analysis