Napco Security Technologies, Inc. (NSSC) AI Stock Analysis
NSSC AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchNapco Security Technologies, Inc. (NSSC) develops and manufactures electronic security products, including access control, alarms, and video surveillance systems. In FY2026, the company generated $202.3M in revenue with a gross margin of 59.2% and free cash flow of $59.2M. The company maintains a conservative balance sheet with $132.4M in net cash and a current ratio of 4.90.
- Market cap
- $1.27B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $202.3M
- P/E
- 29.6x fwd 24.7x
- 1Y return
- -16.3% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $50.67 42.4% vs last close
Bull case
- Free cash flow expanded to $59.2M in FY2026, supported by $61.1M in operating cash flow and modest capital expenditures of $1.9M.
- The balance sheet is solid with $132.4M in net cash, only $5.2M in total debt, and a high current ratio of 4.90.
- Quarterly earnings grew 52.4% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026, alongside 10.0% quarterly revenue growth.
Bear case
- Napco trades at a forward P/E of 24.7x and a price-to-sales ratio of 6.3x, both higher than the US-listed Industrials peer medians of 17.2x and 1.5x.
- Annual net income declined from $49.8M in FY2024 to $43.4M in FY2025 and $43.0M in FY2026.
- The stock delivered a 1-year return of -16.3%, lagging behind the 16.8% gain of the S&P 500.
What Napco Security Technologies does
Headquartered in Amityville, New York, Napco Security Technologies, Inc. is a developer, manufacturer, and global supplier of electronic security products for commercial, residential, institutional, industrial, and governmental sectors. The company's portfolio encompasses access control systems, door-locking products, intrusion and fire alarm systems, and advanced video surveillance solutions. Its access control offerings feature identification readers, control panels, PC-based computing solutions, and electronically activated door-locking devices such as biometric and microprocessor-based locks. Napco also supplies automatic communicators, cellular communication devices, fire alarm control panels, and video management systems, alongside related peripheral equipment.
Growth and profitability
Napco expanded revenue from $143.6M in FY2022 to $202.3M in FY2026, representing a 5-year revenue CAGR of 7.1%. Over this span, gross margin improved from 41.2% in FY2022 to 59.2% in FY2026, while operating margin widened from 12.7% to 22.6%. Annual net income increased from $19.6M in FY2022 to $43.0M in FY2026, though it declined from $49.8M in FY2024 and $43.4M in FY2025. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 10.0% year-over-year, and quarterly earnings grew 52.4% year-over-year, supported by a trailing twelve months operating margin of 32.2%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Napco held $137.6M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $5.2M, yielding net cash of $132.4M. Its debt-to-equity ratio stood at 0.03, supported by a current ratio of 4.90 and shareholders' equity of $191.0M. Operating cash flow reached $61.1M in FY2026, funding capital expenditures of $1.9M to generate $59.2M in free cash flow. Napco deployed cash to pay $20.3M in dividends during FY2026, while its 5-year share count change was -2.7%.
Valuation and performance
Napco trades at a trailing P/E of 29.6x and a forward P/E of 24.7x, both above the median of its US-listed Industrials peers of 24.8x and 17.2x, respectively. Its enterprise value stands at $1.15B with an EV to EBITDA multiple of 18.1x, compared to the peer median of 13.9x, and a price-to-sales ratio of 6.3x versus the peer median of 1.5x. Over the past year, the stock fell 16.3%, trailing the S&P 500 return of 16.8%. Over five years, Napco returned 67.3% versus 83.0% for the S&P 500.
NSSC dividend
Napco pays a quarterly dividend with an annual forward payout of $0.61 per share, representing a dividend yield of 1.71%. The dividend payout ratio is 37.9%, and the company has paid dividends for 4 consecutive years. Its last ex-dividend date was September 11, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street analyst coverage includes 5 Strong Buy ratings, 1 Buy rating, and zero Hold, Sell, or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $50.67, representing a 42.4% upside compared to the last close of $35.57. For the fiscal year ending June 30, 2027, consensus estimates project EPS of $1.64 on revenue of $219.1M. Napco has beaten EPS estimates in each of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 2, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Revenue growth experienced volatility over recent years, dropping 3.8% in FY2025 before increasing 11.4% in FY2026.
- Napco carries a beta of 1.50 and trades 8.8% below its 200-day moving average.
- Short interest accounts for 6.9% of the float despite institutional ownership standing at 105.9%.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this NSSC AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Napco Security Technologies, Inc. (NSSC). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: NSSC income statement, NSSC balance sheet, NSSC key metrics, NSSC analyst forecast, NSSC chart. See the NSSC stock overview for the latest quote and news.
NSSC AI stock analysis FAQ
What does Napco Security Technologies do?
Napco Security Technologies, Inc. manufactures and sells electronic security hardware and software, including access control systems, intrusion and fire alarms, electronic door locks, and video surveillance systems.
What is Napco's dividend payout and yield?
Napco pays an annual forward dividend of $0.61 per share, which provides a 1.71% dividend yield with a payout ratio of 37.9%.
How much debt does Napco have?
As of June 30, 2026, Napco carried $5.2M in total debt and $137.6M in cash and short-term investments, resulting in a net cash position of $132.4M.
When is Napco's next earnings release?
Napco's next earnings date is scheduled for November 2, 2026, following 4 consecutive quarters of beating analyst EPS estimates.