Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. (EVLV) AI Stock Analysis
EVLV AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchEvolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. (EVLV) provides AI-based touchless security screening systems, including Evolv Express and Evolv Edge. The company generated $171.4M in trailing twelve-month revenue, but operating margin stands at -21.4% and net margin is -3.0%. Over the past year, the stock declined 48.5%, trailing the broader market.
- Market cap
- $748.3M
- Revenue (TTM)
- $171.4M
- P/E
- — fwd 43.3x
- 1Y return
- -48.5% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $9.85 136.8% vs last close
Bull case
- Revenue increased 40.5% in FY2025 to $145.9M and climbed 34.4% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026.
- Operating cash flow reached positive $18.7M in FY2025 after being -$30.9M in FY2024.
- All 5 covering analysts rate the company a Strong Buy, with a mean price target of $9.85 compared to the $4.16 share price.
Bear case
- The company remains unprofitable, recording net income of -$33.1M in FY2025 and trailing twelve-month net margin of -3.0%.
- Free cash flow was negative in FY2025 at -$12.7M due to $31.4M in capital expenditures.
- Valuation multiples remain elevated relative to the median of US-listed Industrials peers, including a forward P/E of 43.3x versus 17.2x.
What Evolv Technologies does
Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. specializes in artificial intelligence-based touchless security screening systems. Based in Waltham, Massachusetts, its flagship product is Evolv Express, which detects firearms, improvised explosive devices, and tactical knives as people walk through at a normal pace. The company also offers Evolv Insights, an analytics platform providing data on visitor flow, arrival curves, detection effectiveness, and alarm statistics. Additionally, its Evolv Edge system identifies non-metallic explosive devices, firearms, and tactical knives without requiring visitors to empty their pockets. Its systems are deployed across government facilities, entertainment venues, transportation hubs, and corporate campuses.
Growth and profitability
Revenue increased from $23.4M in FY2021 to $145.9M in FY2025, representing a 5-year revenue CAGR of 98.1% from FY2020 to FY2025. In FY2025, revenue grew 40.5% year-over-year, gross margin reached 51.6%, and operating margin improved to -30.7% from -79.2% in FY2024. Net income was -$33.1M in FY2025 compared to -$54.0M in FY2024. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue totaled $171.4M with an operating margin of -21.4% and net income yielding an EPS of -$0.03. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 34.4% year-over-year.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Evolv held $62.6M in cash and short-term investments and $41.6M in total debt, resulting in net cash of $21.1M. The company reported a current ratio of 1.18 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.35, with shareholders' equity at $118.9M. In FY2025, operating cash flow turned positive at $18.7M, while capital expenditures were $31.4M, resulting in free cash flow of -$12.7M. Over the last 5 years, share count increased by 11.2%.
Valuation and performance
EVLV closed at $4.16 on October 16, 2026, giving it a market capitalization of $748.3M and an enterprise value of $864.6M. The stock trades at a forward P/E of 43.3x, compared to the median of 17.2x for US-listed Industrials peers. Its price-to-sales multiple is 4.4x versus the peer median of 1.5x, and EV-to-EBITDA is 34.1x versus the peer median of 13.9x. EVLV's 1-year return is -48.5%, trailing the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%.
What analysts expect
Consensus ratings include 5 Strong Buy recommendations and no Buy, Hold, Sell, or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $9.85, which is 136.8% above the last close of $4.16. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $182.4M and EPS of -$0.08. For the next fiscal year, 3 analysts project revenue of $218.9M, representing 20.0% growth, with EPS of -$0.04. The company beat EPS estimates in 2 of the last 4 quarters, and the next earnings date is November 10, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- The stock has a beta of 1.74 and is down 41.9% year-to-date, reflecting high price volatility.
- Cash and short-term investments of $62.6M could face pressure if free cash flow remains negative, following -$12.7M in FY2025.
- Short interest represents 5.9% of the float as of October 16, 2026.
- Operating margin was -21.4% over the trailing twelve months, showing that operations are not yet profitable.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this EVLV AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. (EVLV). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: EVLV income statement, EVLV balance sheet, EVLV key metrics, EVLV analyst forecast, EVLV chart. See the EVLV stock overview for the latest quote and news.
EVLV AI stock analysis FAQ
What products does Evolv Technologies offer?
Evolv Technologies offers Evolv Express, an AI-based system that screens individuals for firearms, IEDs, and tactical knives at normal walking speed. It also provides Evolv Edge for detecting concealed threats without emptying pockets, and Evolv Insights, an analytics tool tracking visitor flow and detection metrics.
Does EVLV pay a dividend?
EVLV does not pay a dividend. The company directs capital toward operations, including $31.4M in capital expenditures in FY2025.
What is EVLV's financial position regarding debt and cash?
As of June 30, 2026, Evolv had $62.6M in cash and short-term investments alongside $41.6M in total debt, giving it a net cash position of $21.1M. Its current ratio was 1.18.
When is Evolv Technologies reporting its next earnings?
Evolv Technologies is scheduled to report its next earnings on November 10, 2026.