NL Industries, Inc. (NL) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: NLAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

NL AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

NL Industries, Inc. (NYSE: NL) manufactures locking mechanisms and marine component products through its subsidiary CompX International Inc. In the trailing twelve months, the company generated $161.8M in revenue with an operating margin of 15.4%, but posted a net loss with an EPS of -$0.52. Its balance sheet shows strong liquidity, supported by $105.6M in net cash and a current ratio of 9.02.

Market cap
$324.2M
Revenue (TTM)
$161.8M
P/E
—
fwd 26.2x
1Y return
20.4%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$6.00
-9.5% vs last close

Bull case

  • The company maintains a strong liquidity position with $105.6M in net cash and a current ratio of 9.02 as of June 30, 2026.
  • The stock trades at an EV to EBITDA multiple of 2.6x, well below the US-listed Industrials peer median of 13.9x.
  • In the latest quarter ending June 30, 2026, quarterly earnings grew 2421.0% year-over-year while quarterly revenue increased 8.0%.

Bear case

  • In FY2025, free cash flow dropped to -$40.1M, and operating cash flow declined to -$36.4M.
  • The dividend payout ratio stands at 175.0% following a trailing twelve months net loss with an EPS of -$0.52.
  • The single analyst tracking the company sets a mean price target of $6.00, reflecting 9.5% downside from the last close of $6.63.

What NL Industries does

NL Industries, Inc., operating through its subsidiary CompX International Inc., manufactures and distributes mechanical and electronic cabinet locks and other locking mechanisms across the United States and globally. Its security products include disc tumbler locks, pin tumbler mechanisms, CompX eLock, and StealthLock for applications like mailboxes, medical cabinetry, and vending machines. The company also produces original equipment and aftermarket parts for performance and ski/wakeboard boats, such as stainless steel exhaust headers, gauges, controls, trim tabs, and steering wheels. Additionally, NL Industries offers insurance brokerage and risk management services, supplying original equipment manufacturers and distribution channels.

Growth and profitability

From FY2020 to FY2025, revenue achieved a 5-year CAGR of 6.7%. Revenue rose 22.9% in FY2021 to $140.8M, reached $166.6M in FY2022, and declined 3.2% in FY2023 to $161.3M. In FY2024, revenue fell 9.5% to $145.9M, while operating margin reached 26.0% and net income was $67.2M. In FY2025, revenue increased 8.5% to $158.3M, but operating margin dropped to 6.0% and net income turned to -$37.8M. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue was $161.8M with an operating margin of 15.4% and an EPS of -$0.52. For the latest quarter ending June 30, 2026, revenue grew 8.0% year-over-year while quarterly earnings grew 2421.0%.

NL income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, NL Industries held $107.0M in cash and short-term investments alongside total debt of $1.4M, leaving net cash at $105.6M. Shareholders' equity was $363.0M out of $470.6M in total assets, yielding a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.00 and a current ratio of 9.02. In FY2025, operating cash flow was -$36.4M and free cash flow was -$40.1M after $3.7M in capital expenditures. Cash outflows also included $27.9M in dividends paid.

NL balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At a last close of $6.63, NL Industries has an enterprise value of $233.8M and a market cap of $324.2M. Its EV to EBITDA multiple is 2.6x, compared to the median of 13.9x for its US-listed Industrials peers. The forward P/E ratio is 26.2x versus the peer median of 17.2x, with a price-to-book ratio of 0.9x and a price-to-sales ratio of 2.0x. Over the past year, the stock rose 20.4%, outperforming the S&P 500 return of 16.8%, but its 5-year return of 61.4% trailed the S&P 500 return of 83.0%.

NL key metrics →

NL dividend

NL Industries pays a quarterly dividend totaling an annual forward payout of $0.40 per share, delivering a dividend yield of 6.03%. The company has paid dividends for 7 consecutive years and generated a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 28.9%. In FY2025, dividends paid were $27.9M, leading to a payout ratio of 175.0%. Its last ex-dividend date was September 3, 2026.

NL dividend history →

What analysts expect

One analyst covers the company, projecting next fiscal year EPS of $0.87, representing estimated EPS growth of 53.8%, alongside a revenue estimate of $0. The mean price target is $6.00, which sits 9.5% below the last close of $6.63. Over the last four quarters, the company recorded 0 EPS beats. The next earnings date is scheduled for November 5, 2026.

NL forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Annual net income is volatile, dropping from $67.2M in FY2024 to -$37.8M in FY2025.
  • Dividends paid of $27.9M in FY2025 occurred despite negative free cash flow of -$40.1M.
  • Insiders own 83.0% of shares, concentrating control and leaving institutional ownership at 12.7%.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this NL AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of NL Industries, Inc. (NL). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: NL income statement, NL balance sheet, NL key metrics, NL analyst forecast, NL chart. See the NL stock overview for the latest quote and news.

NL AI stock analysis FAQ

What does NL Industries do?

NL Industries manufactures mechanical and electronic cabinet locking mechanisms and marine products through its subsidiary CompX International Inc., and also provides insurance brokerage and risk management services.

What is NL Industries' dividend yield?

NL Industries offers an annual forward dividend of $0.40 per share, which equates to a dividend yield of 6.03% as of October 16, 2026.

How much cash and debt does NL Industries have?

As of June 30, 2026, NL Industries held $107.0M in cash and short-term investments and $1.4M in total debt, giving it $105.6M in net cash.

When is the next earnings release for NL Industries?

The company's next earnings date is November 5, 2026.

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