Mid Penn Bancorp, Inc. (MPB) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: MPBAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

MPB AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Mid Penn Bancorp, Inc. (MPB) is a bank holding company for Mid Penn Bank, offering commercial banking services across Pennsylvania. In FY2025, the company delivered revenue of $326.9M and net income of $56.2M, with a five-year revenue CAGR of 21.7%. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, operating margin stood at 40.0% with net cash of $807.9M.

Market cap
$913.1M
Revenue (TTM)
$263.5M
P/E
12.6x
fwd 11.1x
1Y return
38.4%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$41.00
13.8% vs last close

Bull case

  • Quarterly net earnings expanded by 286.4% year-over-year in the period ended June 30, 2026, supported by 44.7% quarterly revenue growth.
  • Mid Penn Bancorp maintains a conservative capital structure with $807.9M in net cash and a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.17.
  • FY2025 free cash flow reached $71.8M, comfortably covering the $18.2M paid in dividends with a conservative payout ratio of 28.6%.

Bear case

  • The company's outstanding share count expanded by 105.9% over five years, diluting long-term per-share metrics.
  • Annual revenue growth moderated to 6.6% in FY2025, and consensus estimates project full-year FY2026 revenue to fall to $297.5M from $326.9M in FY2025.
  • Mid Penn Bancorp trades at a trailing P/E of 12.6x and a price-to-sales multiple of 3.5x, both above the median of its US-listed Financial Services peers.

What Mid Penn Bancorp does

Mid Penn Bancorp, Inc. serves as the bank holding company for Mid Penn Bank, a commercial banking institution founded in 1868 and headquartered in Harrisburg, Pennsylvania. The company provides a comprehensive range of retail and commercial banking products to individuals, partnerships, non-profit organizations, and corporations. Its deposit offerings include checking, savings, money market accounts, certificates of deposit, and IRAs. Loan products include residential mortgages, home equity loans, commercial and consumer loans, lines of credit, construction loans, farm financing, community development loans, and public entity financing. It also provides cash management, online and telephone banking, automated teller services, and safe deposit boxes.

Growth and profitability

Revenue increased from $143.8M in FY2021 to $326.9M in FY2025, reflecting a 5-year CAGR of 21.7%, though annual revenue growth slowed to 6.6% in FY2025. Over the same span, net income rose from $29.3M to $56.2M, while EPS moved from $3.35 to $3.02. Gross margin was 61.5% in FY2025, down from 100.0% in FY2023, while operating margin expanded to 22.1%. Over the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue totaled $263.5M with an operating margin of 40.0% and a net profit margin of 25.9%. For the quarter ended June 30, 2026, revenue increased 44.7% year-over-year, and earnings grew 286.4%.

MPB income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Mid Penn Bancorp held $964.6M in cash and short-term investments against $156.7M in total debt, resulting in net cash of $807.9M. Shareholders' equity was $901.9M on total assets of $7.06B, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.17 and a current ratio of 0.17. In FY2025, operating cash flow reached $80.0M and free cash flow was $71.8M. Capital allocation in FY2025 included $8.2M in capital expenditures, $2.2M in share buybacks, and $18.2M paid in dividends.

MPB balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Mid Penn Bancorp trades at a trailing P/E of 12.6x and a forward P/E of 11.1x, slightly above the median of its US-listed Financial Services peers at 12.1x and 10.8x, respectively. Its price-to-sales ratio is 3.5x compared to the peer median of 3.2x, while price-to-book sits at 1.0x. Over the past year, the stock returned 38.4%, outperforming the S&P 500 return of 16.8%. Over five years, the stock gained 48.5%, trailing the S&P 500 return of 83.0%.

MPB key metrics →

MPB dividend

Mid Penn Bancorp pays a quarterly dividend with a forward annual rate of $0.92 per share, representing a 2.55% dividend yield. The company has paid dividends for 16 consecutive years, generating a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 2.6%. Its payout ratio stands at 28.6%, and the most recent ex-dividend date was August 3, 2026.

MPB dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage consists of 1 Strong Buy and 3 Buy ratings, with zero Hold, Sell, or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target of $41.00 implies an upside of 13.8% from the October 16, 2026 closing price of $36.04. Consensus estimates project FY2026 EPS of $3.31 on revenue of $297.5M, followed by FY2027 EPS of $3.86 on revenue of $325.7M. The bank has beaten earnings estimates in 2 of the trailing 4 quarters, with the next earnings release scheduled for October 28, 2026.

MPB forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • The current ratio is low at 0.17 as of June 30, 2026, which warrants attention regarding short-term balance sheet liquidity.
  • Gross margins compressed from 100.0% in FY2023 to 61.5% in FY2025, reflecting potential pressure on core funding costs.
  • Earnings execution has shown inconsistency, with EPS beating analyst expectations in only 2 of the past 4 quarters.
  • Return on equity for the trailing twelve months stands at 8.1%, accompanied by a return on assets of 1.0%.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this MPB AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Mid Penn Bancorp, Inc. (MPB). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: MPB income statement, MPB balance sheet, MPB key metrics, MPB analyst forecast, MPB chart. See the MPB stock overview for the latest quote and news.

MPB AI stock analysis FAQ

What dividend does Mid Penn Bancorp pay?

Mid Penn Bancorp pays an annual forward dividend of $0.92 per share in quarterly distributions, offering a yield of 2.55% with a payout ratio of 28.6%.

When does Mid Penn Bancorp report its next financial results?

The company's next earnings report is scheduled for October 28, 2026.

What is the consensus analyst price target for MPB?

The mean analyst price target is $41.00, which represents a 13.8% premium to the closing price of $36.04 on October 16, 2026.

How does Mid Penn Bancorp compare to its peer group valuation?

Mid Penn Bancorp trades at a trailing P/E of 12.6x and forward P/E of 11.1x, compared to the median of its US-listed Financial Services peers of 12.1x and 10.8x, respectively.

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