AG Mortgage Investment Trust, Inc. (MITT) AI Stock Analysis
MITT AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchAG Mortgage Investment Trust, Inc. (NYSE: MITT) is a residential mortgage REIT managing non-qualifying loans, agency securities, and commercial investments. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $81.9M with an EPS of $0.74, while FY2025 revenue stood at $472.7M. The stock trades at a price-to-book of 0.6x and carries a forward dividend yield of 17.91%.
- Market cap
- $170.5M
- Revenue (TTM)
- $81.9M
- P/E
- 7.2x fwd 6.4x
- 1Y return
- -13.4% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $8.58 60.1% vs last close
Bull case
- The stock trades at a price-to-book ratio of 0.6x and a forward P/E of 6.4x, both lower than the US-listed Real Estate peer medians.
- Analysts maintain a mean price target of $8.58, which is 60.1% above the last closing price of $5.36.
- The company offers an annual forward dividend yield of 17.91% and has maintained payouts for 16 consecutive years.
Bear case
- Total debt reached $7.34B against $61.6M in cash as of June 30, 2026, leading to a debt-to-equity ratio of 13.45.
- The share count increased 66.5% over the past five years, creating substantial dilution.
- The stock has declined 30.2% year-to-date and sits 23.7% below its 200-day moving average.
What AG Mortgage Investment does
AG Mortgage Investment Trust, Inc. is a residential mortgage real estate investment trust founded in 2011 and based in New York. The company manages a diversified portfolio that includes non-qualifying mortgage loans, government-sponsored entity non-owner occupied loans, re/non-performing loans, land-related financing, and agency residential mortgage-backed securities, alongside commercial investments. Operating as a REIT, it distributes at least 90% of its taxable income to shareholders annually to maintain exemption from federal corporate income taxes, focusing on portfolio diversification and risk management.
Growth and profitability
Between FY2021 and FY2025, revenue expanded from $99.8M to $472.7M, including 50.4% growth in FY2024 and 14.4% in FY2025. Gross margin was 94.7% in FY2025, with an operating margin of 96.9%. Annual net income shifted from a loss of -$53.1M in FY2022 to profits of $53.8M in FY2023, $55.7M in FY2024, and $48.7M in FY2025, producing FY2025 EPS of $0.86. Free cash flow was $59.6M in FY2025. For the trailing twelve months ending June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $81.9M with a profit margin of 53.7%, while latest quarterly revenue grew 53.7% year-over-year and quarterly earnings declined 15.5%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, cash and short-term investments totaled $61.6M against total debt of $7.34B, leaving net debt at $7.28B. Total assets were $7.94B, and shareholders' equity was $546.0M, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 13.45 and a current ratio of 0.64. In FY2025, the company generated $59.6M in operating cash flow and used $45.7M for dividends paid, while its share count increased 66.5% over five years.
Valuation and performance
MITT trades at a trailing P/E of 7.2x and a forward P/E of 6.4x, both below the median of its US-listed Real Estate peers (21.6x trailing and 23.5x forward). Its EV/EBITDA stands at 7.0x compared to the peer median of 14.7x, and its price-to-book ratio is 0.6x. Over the past year, the stock fell 13.4%, trailing the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%, and is down 30.2% year-to-date.
MITT dividend
MITT pays a quarterly dividend with an annualized forward payout of $0.96 per share, representing a dividend yield of 17.91%. Its payout ratio is 96.9%. The company has paid dividends for 16 consecutive years, posting a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 56.7%, with its last ex-dividend date on September 30, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street analysts hold 3 Strong Buy, 2 Buy, and 1 Hold ratings on the stock. The mean price target is $8.58, representing 60.1% upside compared to the last close of $5.36. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $83.9M and EPS of $1.05, representing 21.7% EPS growth. MITT beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, with the next earnings release scheduled for November 3, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- A current ratio of 0.64 highlights limited short-term liquidity relative to existing obligations.
- The dividend payout ratio stands at 96.9%, leaving minimal earnings cushion.
- A high beta of 1.79 indicates greater price volatility compared to the broader market.
- Earnings growth in the latest quarter ending June 30, 2026, fell 15.5% year-over-year.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this MITT AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of AG Mortgage Investment Trust, Inc. (MITT). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: MITT income statement, MITT balance sheet, MITT key metrics, MITT analyst forecast, MITT chart. See the MITT stock overview for the latest quote and news.
MITT AI stock analysis FAQ
What is MITT's dividend yield and payout schedule?
MITT pays a quarterly dividend with an annualized forward payout of $0.96 per share, delivering a dividend yield of 17.91%.
What are analysts forecasting for MITT's earnings?
For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $1.05 on revenue of $83.9M, followed by an EPS estimate of $1.21 in the next fiscal year.
How leveraged is AG Mortgage Investment Trust?
As of June 30, 2026, MITT held $7.34B in total debt and $61.6M in cash, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 13.45 and net debt of $7.28B.
When is MITT's next earnings report?
The company's next earnings date is scheduled for November 3, 2026.