Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. (LW) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: LWAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

LW AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. (LW) is a global producer and distributor of value-added frozen potato products. While the company achieved a 5-year revenue CAGR of 12.5% through FY2026, its net income declined from $1.01B in FY2023 to $290.0M in FY2026. The balance sheet carries $3.93B in total debt against $166.3M in cash and short-term investments.

Market cap
$7.38B
Revenue (TTM)
$6.62B
P/E
29.3x
fwd 14.7x
1Y return
-15.0%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$56.00
4.5% vs last close

Bull case

  • Lamb Weston delivered $540.2M in free cash flow and $942.9M in operating cash flow in FY2026.
  • The company's EV/EBITDA multiple of 10.2x sits below the US-listed Consumer Defensive peer median of 11.7x.
  • Analyst estimates forecast EPS growth of 7.0% to $3.22 in FY2027 and an additional 9.7% growth to $3.53 in FY2028.

Bear case

  • Quarterly earnings fell 54.3% year-over-year in the period ended August 31, 2026.
  • Annual net income dropped from $1.01B in FY2023 to $290.0M in FY2026 as operating margin compressed to 8.9%.
  • Net debt stands at $3.76B, with total debt of $3.93B exceeding shareholders' equity of $1.81B.

What Lamb Weston does

Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. specializes in the production, distribution, and global marketing of value-added frozen potato products. The company operates across four distinct segments: Global, Foodservice, Retail, and Other. It offers frozen potatoes, commercial ingredients, and appetizers under its flagship Lamb Weston brand, customer labels, and brands such as Grown in Idaho and Alexia. Beyond frozen potatoes, the company is also involved in the vegetable and dairy sectors. It serves grocery stores, mass merchants, club stores, specialty retailers, restaurants, educational institutions, and convenience stores worldwide through an extensive distribution network.

Growth and profitability

Between FY2022 and FY2026, Lamb Weston expanded annual revenue from $4.10B to $6.61B, reflecting a 5-year CAGR of 12.5%. However, profitability contracted over the same span. Gross margin fell from a high of 27.3% in FY2024 to 20.6% in FY2026, while operating margin declined from 16.5% to 8.9%. Net income decreased from $725.5M in FY2024 to $357.2M in FY2025 and $290.0M in FY2026. In the latest quarter ended August 31, 2026, quarterly revenue growth was 0.7% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings declined 54.3%. TTM revenue stood at $6.62B with an operating margin of 9.5% and a net profit margin of 3.9%.

LW income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of August 31, 2026, Lamb Weston held $166.3M in cash and short-term investments compared to $3.93B in total debt, resulting in net debt of $3.76B. Shareholders' equity was $1.81B, and total assets stood at $7.32B. The company maintained a current ratio of 1.45 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.17. Operating cash flow reached $942.9M in FY2026, generating free cash flow of $540.2M after capital expenditures of $402.7M. Capital allocation in FY2026 included $207.5M paid in dividends and $122.8M used for share buybacks.

LW balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Lamb Weston trades at a trailing P/E of 29.3x and a forward P/E of 14.7x, compared to medians of 18.6x and 14.3x for its US-listed Consumer Defensive peers. Its enterprise value to EBITDA ratio is 10.2x, below the peer median of 11.7x, while its price-to-sales ratio of 1.1x is above the peer median of 0.7x. Over the past year, Lamb Weston delivered a return of -15.0%, trailing the S&P 500 return of 16.8%. Over five years, the stock gained 5.0% compared to an 83.0% return for the S&P 500.

LW key metrics →

LW dividend

Lamb Weston pays a quarterly dividend with an annualized forward payout of $1.52 per share, representing a dividend yield of 2.84%. The company has paid dividends for 10 consecutive years and delivered a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 10.0%. Its payout ratio stands at 50.2%, and the last ex-dividend date was November 6, 2026.

LW dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage includes 2 Strong Buy, 2 Buy, and 8 Hold ratings, with no Sell or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $56.00, representing 4.5% upside from the last close of $53.59. For the fiscal year ending May 31, 2027, consensus estimates project EPS of $3.22 on revenue of $6.61B. For the following fiscal year, 11 analysts estimate EPS of $3.53 on revenue of $6.75B. The company beat EPS estimates in all of the last 4 quarters.

LW forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Total debt of $3.93B versus cash of $166.3M creates a high debt-to-equity ratio of 2.17.
  • Operating margin has contracted from 16.5% in FY2024 to 8.9% in FY2026 and 9.5% on a TTM basis.
  • Trailing revenue growth has decelerated to 0.7% year-over-year in the latest quarter and 2.5% in FY2026.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this LW AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. (LW). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: LW income statement, LW balance sheet, LW key metrics, LW analyst forecast, LW chart. See the LW stock overview for the latest quote and news.

LW AI stock analysis FAQ

What is Lamb Weston's dividend yield and payout schedule?

Lamb Weston offers an annual forward dividend of $1.52, which corresponds to a 2.84% yield. It is paid quarterly with a payout ratio of 50.2%.

What are analysts' price targets and ratings for LW?

Analysts maintain a mean price target of $56.00, which is 4.5% above the last closing price of $53.59. The consensus includes 4 Buy-equivalent ratings and 8 Hold ratings.

How leveraged is Lamb Weston's balance sheet?

As of August 31, 2026, Lamb Weston carried $3.93B in total debt and $166.3M in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net debt of $3.76B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.17.

How has LW performed compared to the S&P 500?

LW shares fell 15.0% over the trailing one-year period while the S&P 500 gained 16.8%. Over a five-year horizon, LW gained 5.0% versus an 83.0% return for the index.

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