Intuitive Machines, Inc. (LUNR) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: LUNRAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

LUNR AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Intuitive Machines, Inc. (LUNR) provides space products and services supporting lunar, orbital, and exploration missions. While trailing twelve-month revenue reached $490.1M supported by 309.8% quarterly year-over-year revenue growth in the quarter ended June 30, 2026, the company generated a net loss of -$83.3M in FY2025 and carries negative shareholders' equity of -$283.7M.

Market cap
$1.74B
Revenue (TTM)
$490.1M
P/E
—
1Y return
-8.9%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$29.00
169.0% vs last close

Bull case

  • Quarterly revenue surged 309.8% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026, reflecting accelerating delivery across space programs.
  • Wall Street sentiment remains optimistic with 9 Strong Buy ratings and a mean price target of $29.00 representing 169.0% upside.
  • Analyst estimates forecast significant top-line expansion to $919.8M in FY2026 and $1.17B in the subsequent fiscal year.

Bear case

  • Intuitive Machines reported negative shareholders' equity of -$283.7M and net debt of $62.4M as of June 30, 2026.
  • Free cash flow has remained consistently negative, recording -$56.0M in FY2025 and -$67.7M in FY2024.
  • The stock has declined 33.6% year-to-date and trades 46.5% below its 200-day moving average.

What Intuitive Machines does

Intuitive Machines, Inc., headquartered in Houston, Texas, designs and manufactures advanced space infrastructure and services. Established in 2013, the company supports both robotic and human exploration missions targeted toward the Moon, Mars, and beyond. Its operations are organized into four primary business units: Lunar Access Services, Orbital Services, Lunar Data Services, and Space Products and Infrastructure. Lunar Access Services manages lunar lander development and payload integration. Orbital Services assists satellite deployment and maintenance in Earth orbit. Lunar Data Services supplies data acquisition and analytics for lunar exploration, while Space Products and Infrastructure provides core hardware components and technologies for space missions.

Growth and profitability

Over five fiscal years from FY2020 to FY2025, revenue delivered a compound annual growth rate of 36.5%, moving from $72.5M in FY2021 to $210.1M in FY2025. Annual top-line performance has fluctuated, expanding 186.7% to $228.0M in FY2024 before contracting 7.9% in FY2025. Operating margins remained negative throughout the period, ending FY2025 at -41.5% alongside a net loss of -$83.3M and an EPS of -$0.42. For the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $490.1M with an operating margin of -18.1% and net profit margin of -26.6%. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 309.8% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings contracted 81.0%.

LUNR income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Intuitive Machines held $367.4M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $429.8M, resulting in net debt of $62.4M. Shareholders' equity was -$283.7M against total assets of $1.89B, with a current ratio of 1.66. Free cash flow has remained negative, recording -$56.0M in FY2025 alongside operating cash flow of -$14.3M. Capital allocation in FY2025 included capital expenditures of $41.7M and share buybacks of $20.7M, while share count expanded 797.5% over five years.

LUNR balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Intuitive Machines trades at an enterprise value of $2.52B and a market capitalization of $1.74B. Its price-to-sales ratio stands at 3.6x and EV-to-EBITDA is 21.0x, both trading at a premium to the median of its US-listed Industrials peers, which sit at 1.5x and 13.9x, respectively. The stock closed at $10.78 on October 16, 2026, down 33.6% year-to-date and 8.9% over the trailing one-year period, underperforming the S&P 500 benchmark return of 16.8% over the past year.

LUNR key metrics →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage consists of 9 Strong Buy ratings and 1 Sell rating. The mean price target of $29.00 indicates upside potential of 169.0% compared to the October 16, 2026 closing price of $10.78. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $919.8M and an EPS of -$0.59. For the next fiscal year, 3 analysts project revenue of $1.17B and an EPS of -$0.19. Intuitive Machines has beaten EPS estimates in 2 of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings release scheduled for November 12, 2026.

LUNR forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Persistent unprofitability is shown by trailing twelve-month profit margins of -26.6% and operating margins of -18.1%.
  • Short interest represents 27.6% of the float, creating potential volatility alongside a beta of 1.86.
  • Past dilution has been substantial, with total share count increasing 797.5% over the past 5 years.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this LUNR AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Intuitive Machines, Inc. (LUNR). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: LUNR income statement, LUNR balance sheet, LUNR key metrics, LUNR analyst forecast, LUNR chart. See the LUNR stock overview for the latest quote and news.

LUNR AI stock analysis FAQ

Does Intuitive Machines pay a dividend?

No, Intuitive Machines does not currently pay a dividend to shareholders.

When does Intuitive Machines report its next quarterly earnings?

The company is scheduled to report its next earnings on November 12, 2026.

What is the consensus analyst price target for LUNR?

The mean analyst price target is $29.00, which is 169.0% above the last closing price of $10.78.

How much debt and cash does Intuitive Machines have?

As of June 30, 2026, the company held $367.4M in cash and short-term investments against $429.8M in total debt, leaving net debt at $62.4M.

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