Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) AI Stock Analysis
SPCX AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchSpace Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) designs, manufactures, and launches reusable rockets and operates the Starlink satellite broadband network. The company generated trailing twelve month revenue of $23.04B with quarterly revenue growth of 91.9% as of June 30, 2026. However, it reported a net margin of -26.4% in FY2025 alongside an enterprise value to EBITDA multiple of 501.7x.
- Market cap
- $1.92T
- Revenue (TTM)
- $23.04B
- P/E
- — fwd 200.0x
- 1Y return
- — S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $222.71 52.5% vs last close
Bull case
- Quarterly revenue expanded 91.9% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026.
- The balance sheet maintains substantial liquidity with $100.01B in cash and short-term investments and net cash of $60.65B.
- Consensus estimates project fiscal year 2027 revenue to reach $117.08B, reflecting 158.2% annual growth.
Bear case
- Free cash flow reached -$13.95B in FY2025 due to substantial capital expenditures of $20.74B.
- The stock trades at an elevated enterprise value to EBITDA ratio of 501.7x compared to the median of its Nasdaq-100 Industrials peers of 19.9x.
- SpaceX recorded a net loss of -$4.94B and an operating margin of -13.9% in FY2025.
What SpaceX does
Space Exploration Technologies Corp., known as SpaceX, designs, manufactures, and launches reusable rockets and spacecraft. Its Space segment delivers launch services for commercial and government customers using Falcon 9 and Falcon Heavy rockets, while developing the Starship launch system and Dragon spacecraft for crewed and cargo missions. The Connectivity segment operates Starlink, a low Earth orbit satellite broadband network providing internet connectivity globally. Additionally, the company operates computing infrastructure, products for consumers and enterprises, and the X social platform. Founded in 2002 in Starbase, Texas, its shares trade under ticker SPCX.
Growth and profitability
Annual revenue expanded from $10.39B in FY2023 to $14.02B in FY2024, representing growth of 34.9%, before reaching $18.67B in FY2025 with 33.2% growth. Across these periods, the two-year revenue compound annual growth rate stood at 34.1%. Gross margin expanded from 41.2% in FY2023 to 42.9% in FY2024 and 49.4% in FY2025. Operating margin shifted from 4.9% in FY2023 to 5.3% in FY2024, but declined to -13.9% in FY2025 as research and development expenses rose to $8.64B. Net income moved from -$4.63B in FY2023 to $791.0M in FY2024, followed by -$4.94B in FY2025. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue totaled $23.04B with quarterly revenue growth of 91.9%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, cash and short-term investments stood at $100.01B against total debt of $39.36B, resulting in net cash of $60.65B. Liquidity remains supported by a current ratio of 5.12, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.31 on shareholders' equity of $127.22B. Operating cash flow generated $6.79B in FY2025, but capital expenditures of $20.74B drove free cash flow to -$13.95B. The company also deployed $1.12B toward share buybacks in FY2025.
Valuation and performance
The stock trades at a market cap of $1.92T and an enterprise value of $1.90T. Multiples sit well above industry medians, with a forward P/E of 200.0x compared to the median of its Nasdaq-100 Industrials peers of 22.2x. Its price-to-sales of 83.5x and EV-to-EBITDA of 501.7x also trade at premiums to the peer medians of 6.1x and 19.9x, respectively. As of October 16, 2026, the stock closed at $146.03, between its 52-week low of $104.83 and 52-week high of $225.64, while the S&P 500 (SPY) returned 16.8% over the past year.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage consists of 22 Strong Buy, 8 Buy, 5 Hold, 0 Sell, and 3 Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target is $222.71, indicating potential upside of 52.5% compared to the October 16, 2026 closing price of $146.03. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project EPS of $0.10 on revenue of $45.34B. For the following fiscal year, 23 analysts expect EPS of $2.12 on revenue of $117.08B. The company is scheduled to report its next earnings on November 3, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Heavy capital intensity could pressure liquidity if capital expenditures exceed the $20.74B spent in FY2025.
- Valuation multiples remain elevated, as the forward P/E multiple of 200.0x prices in significant operational execution.
- Operating profitability remains negative with a trailing twelve month operating margin of -1.8%.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this SPCX AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: SPCX income statement, SPCX balance sheet, SPCX key metrics, SPCX analyst forecast, SPCX chart. See the SPCX stock overview for the latest quote and news.
SPCX AI stock analysis FAQ
Does SpaceX (SPCX) pay a dividend?
SpaceX does not pay a dividend. The company directs capital into business expansion, including $20.74B in capital expenditures in FY2025.
What is SpaceX's revenue growth rate?
SpaceX grew revenue by 33.2% in FY2025 to $18.67B, posting a two-year CAGR of 34.1% from FY2023. In the quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 91.9% year-over-year.
How much cash and debt does SpaceX carry?
As of June 30, 2026, SpaceX held $100.01B in cash and short-term investments alongside $39.36B in total debt, resulting in a net cash balance of $60.65B.
What is the consensus analyst price target for SPCX?
The mean price target from analysts is $222.71, which sits 52.5% above the October 16, 2026 closing price of $146.03.