TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: TDGAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

TDG AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) is an aerospace and defense component manufacturer. Over the trailing twelve months, the company generated $10.01B in revenue with an operating margin of 46.0%. However, its balance sheet carries $30.71B in net debt, resulting in shareholders' equity of -$9.81B.

Market cap
$62.98B
Revenue (TTM)
$10.01B
P/E
34.6x
fwd 23.1x
1Y return
-8.8%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$1414.30
24.1% vs last close

Bull case

  • TransDigm maintained high profitability with an operating margin of 46.0% and a net profit margin of 21.3% over the trailing twelve months.
  • Quarterly revenue growth reached 22.5% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026, outpacing the peer median of 10.3%.
  • Analyst targets reflect potential upside, with a mean target of $1414.30 sitting 24.1% above the last closing price of $1139.34.

Bear case

  • The company carries significant financial leverage with total debt of $33.48B and shareholders' equity of -$9.81B as of June 30, 2026.
  • TransDigm trades at a valuation premium, including a trailing P/E of 34.6x compared to 28.4x for the median S&P 500 Industrials peer.
  • Stock performance has lagged the broader market over the trailing year, falling 8.8% while the S&P 500 gained 16.8%.

What TransDigm does

TransDigm Group Incorporated designs, manufactures, and supplies aircraft components globally across three segments: Power & Control, Airframe, and Non-aviation. Power & Control supplies mechanical and electro-mechanical actuators, ignition systems, pumps, valves, electric motors, generators, and power conditioning devices to engine suppliers, airlines, and military agencies. The Airframe segment produces engineered latching and locking devices, cockpit security systems, audio and antenna solutions, and safety restraints. The Non-aviation segment provides seat belts for ground transportation, actuators for space applications, and refueling systems for heavy equipment and energy sectors.

Growth and profitability

TransDigm grew annual revenue from $4.80B in FY2021 to $5.43B in FY2022, $6.58B in FY2023, $7.94B in FY2024, and $8.83B in FY2025, achieving a 5-year revenue CAGR of 11.6%. Net income expanded from $680.0M in FY2021 to $2.07B in FY2025, with net margin improving from 14.2% to 23.5%. Operating margin rose from 35.2% in FY2021 to 47.6% in FY2025. In the latest quarter ending June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 22.5% year-over-year while quarterly earnings grew 10.9%. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $10.01B with diluted EPS of $32.97 and an operating margin of 46.0%.

TDG income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, TransDigm held $2.77B in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $33.48B, leading to net debt of $30.71B and shareholders' equity of -$9.81B. Total assets stood at $26.75B and the current ratio was 3.02. In FY2025, operating cash flow reached $2.04B and free cash flow was $1.82B. During FY2025, the company deployed capital toward $222.0M in capital expenditures, $500.0M in share buybacks, and $9.63B in dividends paid, contributing to a 5-year share count change of -3.0%.

TDG balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

TransDigm shares closed at $1139.34 on October 16, 2026, representing a 1-year return of -8.8% compared to 16.8% for the S&P 500 (SPY). Over 5 years, the stock returned 115.4% versus 83.0% for the S&P 500. TransDigm carries a market cap of $62.98B and an enterprise value of $91.81B. It trades at a trailing P/E of 34.6x, above the median of its S&P 500 Industrials peers of 28.4x. Its forward P/E is 23.1x versus the peer median of 20.1x, and its EV-to-EBITDA is 18.2x compared to the peer median of 17.2x.

TDG key metrics →

What analysts expect

TransDigm is covered by Wall Street analysts with 9 Strong Buy, 3 Buy, and 11 Hold ratings, with 0 Sell or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $1414.30, which is 24.1% above the last close of $1139.34. For the current fiscal year ending September 30, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $10.53B and EPS of $41.28. The company has beaten EPS expectations in each of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 11, 2026.

TDG forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • A total debt burden of $33.48B results in net debt of $30.71B and shareholders' equity of -$9.81B.
  • TransDigm's trailing P/E of 34.6x and PEG ratio of 3.05 leave little room for operational shortfalls.
  • The stock remains 8.0% below its 200-day moving average and down 14.3% year-to-date, reflecting negative price momentum.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this TDG AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: TDG income statement, TDG balance sheet, TDG key metrics, TDG analyst forecast, TDG chart. See the TDG stock overview for the latest quote and news.

TDG AI stock analysis FAQ

What is TransDigm's current valuation?

TransDigm has a market capitalization of $62.98B and an enterprise value of $91.81B. It trades at a trailing P/E of 34.6x, a forward P/E of 23.1x, and an EV-to-EBITDA ratio of 18.2x.

How much debt does TransDigm carry?

As of June 30, 2026, TransDigm reported $33.48B in total debt and $2.77B in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net debt of $30.71B. This debt level contributes to shareholders' equity of -$9.81B.

What do analysts project for TDG earnings and revenue?

For the fiscal year ending September 30, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $10.53B and EPS of $41.28. For the following fiscal year, 20 analysts expect EPS to reach $48.65 on revenue of $11.74B.

When is TransDigm's next earnings release?

TransDigm's next earnings date is scheduled for November 11, 2026. The company has beaten EPS estimates in each of the past 4 quarters.

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