Lockheed Martin Corporation (LMT) AI Stock Analysis
LMT AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchLockheed Martin Corporation is an aerospace and defense company providing advanced technology systems across aeronautics, missiles, rotary systems, and space. For the trailing twelve months, the company generated $77.01B in revenue with a net profit margin of 8.2%. Its shares trade at a trailing P/E of 20.3x and offer a forward dividend yield of 2.61%.
- Market cap
- $127.42B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $77.01B
- P/E
- 20.3x fwd 16.2x
- 1Y return
- 14.8% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $618.86 12.1% vs last close
Bull case
- Lockheed Martin grew quarterly earnings by 443.8% year-over-year in the latest quarter ending June 30, 2026.
- The company returned substantial capital to shareholders in FY2025, distributing $3.13B in dividends and repurchasing $3.00B of its shares.
- Valuation multiples sit at a discount relative to the sector, with a forward P/E of 16.2x compared to the median of its S&P 500 Industrials peers of 20.7x.
Bear case
- Net income declined from $6.32B in FY2021 to $5.02B in FY2025 as operating margins narrowed from 13.6% to 10.3%.
- Lockheed Martin carries total debt of $20.54B against $3.79B in cash, producing a high debt-to-equity ratio of 2.34.
- Long-term top-line expansion has been modest, reflecting a five-year revenue compound annual growth rate of just 2.8%.
What Lockheed Martin does
Lockheed Martin Corporation researches, designs, develops, manufactures, integrates, and sustains advanced technology systems, products, and services across four operating segments. Its Aeronautics segment builds combat aircraft, air mobility aircraft, and unmanned air vehicles. The Missiles and Fire Control segment provides air and missile defense systems, tactical missiles, precision strike weapons, and logistics support. Rotary and Mission Systems delivers military and commercial helicopters, surface ships, naval and land missile defense, radar systems, cyber solutions, and simulation training. The Space segment designs and manufactures satellites, space transportation systems, and strategic defense systems.
Growth and profitability
Between FY2020 and FY2025, Lockheed Martin delivered a revenue compound annual growth rate of 2.8%. Annual revenue rose from $67.04B in FY2021 to $75.06B in FY2025, despite a 1.6% decline in FY2022. Net income decreased from $6.32B in FY2021 to $5.02B in FY2025, with operating margin compressing from 13.6% to 10.3%. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $77.01B with an operating margin of 12.0% and a net profit margin of 8.2%. In the latest quarter ending June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 10.5% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings expanded by 443.8%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Lockheed Martin held $3.79B in cash and short-term investments against $20.54B in total debt, resulting in net debt of $16.75B. The company recorded a current ratio of 1.19 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.34 on shareholders' equity of $8.77B. In FY2025, operating cash flow stood at $8.56B and free cash flow reached $6.91B. Capital allocation during FY2025 included $1.65B in capital expenditures, $3.00B deployed to share buybacks, and $3.13B paid in dividends, contributing to a 15.7% reduction in share count over five years.
Valuation and performance
Lockheed Martin trades at a trailing P/E of 20.3x and a forward P/E of 16.2x, both below the median of its S&P 500 Industrials peers of 28.5x and 20.7x, respectively. Its enterprise value-to-EBITDA multiple is 13.8x compared to the peer median of 17.7x, and its price-to-sales multiple is 1.7x against the peer median of 3.3x. The stock has a PEG ratio of 1.02 and a price-to-book ratio of 14.2x. Over the past year, Lockheed Martin gained 14.8%, trailing the S&P 500 return of 16.8%, while its five-year return of 72.6% sits below the S&P 500 return of 83.0%.
LMT dividend
Lockheed Martin pays a quarterly dividend with a forward annualized payout of $14.40 per share, representing a 2.61% dividend yield. The dividend is supported by a payout ratio of 50.9%. The company has paid dividends for 43 consecutive years and achieved a five-year annualized dividend growth rate of 6.4%. Its last ex-dividend date is recorded as December 1, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage includes 8 Strong Buy, 2 Buy, 12 Hold, 0 Sell, and 1 Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $618.86, representing a 12.1% upside from the last close of $552.09. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $30.42 on revenue of $80.99B. For the next fiscal year, 19 analysts project EPS of $32.73 and revenue of $85.60B. Lockheed Martin has beaten EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings date scheduled for October 22, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- The company's net debt of $16.75B and debt-to-equity ratio of 2.34 leave the balance sheet leveraged.
- Operating margin contracted to 10.3% in FY2025 compared to 13.6% in FY2021, highlighting potential profit margin pressure.
- The five-year stock return of 72.6% lagged the broader S&P 500 benchmark gain of 83.0%.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this LMT AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Lockheed Martin Corporation (LMT). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: LMT income statement, LMT balance sheet, LMT key metrics, LMT analyst forecast, LMT chart. See the LMT stock overview for the latest quote and news.
LMT AI stock analysis FAQ
What is Lockheed Martin's forward dividend yield and payout ratio?
Lockheed Martin offers a forward dividend yield of 2.61% based on an annualized payout of $14.40 per share, with a payout ratio of 50.9%.
When is Lockheed Martin's next earnings report?
The company's next earnings date is scheduled for October 22, 2026.
How does Lockheed Martin's valuation compare to its industrial peers?
Lockheed Martin trades at a forward P/E of 16.2x and an EV/EBITDA of 13.8x, both lower than the median of its S&P 500 Industrials peers of 20.7x and 17.7x, respectively.
What are Wall Street analysts forecasting for Lockheed Martin's earnings?
Analysts forecast an EPS of $30.42 for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, and project an EPS of $32.73 on $85.60B in revenue for the following fiscal year.