Embraer S.A. (EMBJ) AI Stock Analysis
EMBJ AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchEmbraer S.A. (EMBJ) is a global aerospace manufacturer producing commercial, defense, and executive aircraft. The company generated $44.13B in trailing twelve months revenue with an operating margin of 13.0%. Over the past year, the stock gained 23.0% compared to a 16.8% return for the S&P 500.
- Market cap
- $12.87B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $44.13B
- P/E
- 29.3x fwd 19.9x
- 1Y return
- 23.0% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $94.73 31.0% vs last close
Bull case
- Embraer achieved a five-year revenue CAGR of 16.2% between FY2020 and FY2025.
- Quarterly earnings grew 113.9% year-over-year in the latest quarter ended September 30, 2026.
- Analyst consensus points to a mean price target of $94.73, representing 31.0% upside above the last close.
Bear case
- Net income fell from $2.18B in FY2024 to $1.93B in FY2025 as operating margin declined to 8.0%.
- Total debt reached $13.37B as of September 30, 2026, leaving the company with $2.21B in net debt.
- The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 29.3x, commanding a premium over the US-listed Industrials peer median of 24.8x.
What Embraer does
Embraer S.A. designs, develops, manufactures, and sells aircraft and systems worldwide. It operates through Commercial Aviation, Defense & Security, Executive Aviation, Services & Support, and Other segments. Commercial Aviation develops, produces, and sells commercial jets, while Executive Aviation develops and sells executive jets. Defense & Security produces military aircraft, integrated information systems, communications, and surveillance equipment. Services & Support offers flight operations, maintenance, aircraft modification, materials management, and training programs. The Other segment supplies structural parts, hydraulic systems, agricultural crop-spraying aircraft, and develops electrical vertical takeoff and landing vehicles (eVTOLs).
Growth and profitability
Embraer expanded revenue from $22.67B in FY2021 to $41.50B in FY2025, delivering a five-year revenue CAGR of 16.2% from FY2020 to FY2025. After posting net income of -$274.8M in FY2021 and -$991.8M in FY2022, net income rose to $806.1M in FY2023, $2.18B in FY2024, and $1.93B in FY2025. Gross margin was 17.5% and operating margin was 8.0% in FY2025. In the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $44.13B with a net profit margin of 5.3%. For the quarter ended September 30, 2026, revenue increased 10.4% year-over-year and quarterly earnings grew 113.9%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of September 30, 2026, Embraer held $11.16B in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $13.37B, resulting in net debt of $2.21B. The company recorded a current ratio of 1.44 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.75 on shareholders' equity of $17.88B. In FY2025, operating cash flow reached $4.76B and free cash flow was $2.11B. Capital allocation during FY2025 included $2.65B in capital expenditures, $1.02B in share buybacks, and $129.3M in dividends paid.
Valuation and performance
Embraer trades at a trailing P/E of 29.3x and a forward P/E of 19.9x, above the median of its US-listed Industrials peers of 24.8x and 17.2x, respectively. Its enterprise value to EBITDA ratio is 16.1x compared to the peer median of 13.9x. However, its price-to-sales ratio is 0.3x, below the peer median of 1.5x. Over the past year, EMBJ gained 23.0%, outpacing the S&P 500 return of 16.8%. Over five years, the stock returned 289.5% versus 83.0% for the S&P 500.
EMBJ dividend
Embraer pays a quarterly dividend with an annual forward payout of $0.95, representing a dividend yield of 1.31%. The company maintains a payout ratio of 25.9% and has paid dividends for 2 consecutive years. The most recent ex-dividend date was September 23, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street analysts hold 9 Strong Buy, 5 Buy, and 1 Hold ratings on EMBJ, with no Sell or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $94.73, which is 31.0% above the last close of $72.34. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project EPS of $3.23 on revenue of $8.62B. Over the last four quarters, Embraer beat EPS estimates 2 times. The next earnings date is November 3, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Capital expenditures stood at $2.65B in FY2025, taking up more than half of the $4.76B in operating cash flow.
- Free cash flow dropped from $2.50B in FY2024 to $2.11B in FY2025.
- Embraer met or exceeded quarterly EPS expectations in only 2 of the last 4 quarters.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this EMBJ AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Embraer S.A. (EMBJ). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: EMBJ income statement, EMBJ balance sheet, EMBJ key metrics, EMBJ analyst forecast, EMBJ chart. See the EMBJ stock overview for the latest quote and news.
EMBJ AI stock analysis FAQ
Does Embraer pay a dividend?
Yes, Embraer pays a quarterly dividend with a forward annual payout of $0.95, yielding 1.31% with a payout ratio of 25.9%.
What is Embraer's current valuation multiple?
Embraer trades at a trailing P/E of 29.3x, a forward P/E of 19.9x, and an EV/EBITDA multiple of 16.1x.
How much cash and debt does Embraer hold?
As of September 30, 2026, Embraer had $11.16B in cash and short-term investments and $13.37B in total debt, which equals $2.21B in net debt.
What are analysts forecasting for Embraer's earnings?
Analysts expect EPS of $3.23 for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, reflecting projected annual EPS growth of 133.7%.