Kodiak AI, Inc. (KDK) AI Stock Analysis
KDK AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchKodiak AI, Inc. (NASDAQ: KDK) develops autonomous vehicle technology and driver-as-a-service solutions for trucking and defense. Annual revenue dropped from $16.9M in FY2023 to $3.8M in FY2025, generating a net loss of -$585.5M in FY2025. Despite recent struggles, quarterly revenue grew 595.6% year-over-year in the period ended June 30, 2026, while the stock carries net cash of $103.3M.
- Market cap
- $270.8M
- Revenue (TTM)
- $7.2M
- P/E
- —
- 1Y return
- -83.4% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $10.50 677.8% vs last close
Bull case
- Quarterly revenue climbed 595.6% year-over-year in the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026.
- The balance sheet held net cash of $103.3M as of June 30, 2026, supported by a current ratio of 5.54.
- Wall Street analysts maintain a mean price target of $10.50, representing an upside of 677.8% over the last close of $1.35.
Bear case
- Revenue decreased at a 2-year CAGR of -52.7% between FY2023 and FY2025, dropping to $3.8M.
- Free cash flow burn expanded to -$116.5M in FY2025, driven by an operating cash flow loss of -$94.4M.
- Trailing twelve months operating margin stands at -1248.3%, reflecting heavy ongoing operational losses.
What Kodiak AI does
Kodiak AI, Inc. develops autonomous vehicle technology and related services for long-haul trucking, industrial trucking, and defense industries. Its flagship offering is Kodiak Driver, a virtual driver combining AI-powered software with modular, vehicle-agnostic hardware. The company also provides oversight and integration tools through Kodiak OnTime, delivers freight using autonomous trucks, and provides driver-as-a-service to customers. Additionally, Kodiak AI has a strategic collaboration with General Dynamics Land Systems to create autonomous ground vehicles for defense applications. Founded in 2018 and headquartered in Mountain View, California, the company had 341 employees as of October 16, 2026.
Growth and profitability
Kodiak AI experienced significant revenue contraction over recent fiscal years, falling from $16.9M in FY2023 to $14.9M in FY2024 and $3.8M in FY2025, reflecting a 2-year revenue CAGR of -52.7%. Operating margin worsened from -317.8% in FY2023 to -2966.2% in FY2025, while net income fell to -$585.5M alongside EPS of -$5.32. Research and development expenses increased each year, reaching $50.2M in FY2025. Over the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $7.2M with an operating margin of -1248.3%. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 595.6% year-over-year.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Kodiak AI held $151.1M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $47.8M, yielding net cash of $103.3M. Total assets were $194.4M and shareholders' equity was $34.3M, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.40 and a current ratio of 5.54. Cash flows remain negative, with operating cash flow of -$94.4M and free cash flow of -$116.5M in FY2025. Capital expenditures totaled $22.0M in FY2025.
Valuation and performance
Kodiak AI carries a market capitalization of $270.8M and an enterprise value of $496.6M. The stock trades at a price-to-sales multiple of 37.9x and an EV-to-revenue multiple of 69.4x, well above the 2.8x price-to-sales ratio for the median of its US-listed Technology peers. The shares have underperformed broader markets, falling 83.4% over the past year compared to a 16.8% gain for the S&P 500 (SPY). Over year-to-date 2026, the stock has declined 87.6%.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage on KDK consists of 7 Strong Buy ratings, 1 Buy, and 1 Hold. The mean price target is $10.50, which sits 677.8% above the October 16, 2026 closing price of $1.35. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts project revenue of $10.7M and an EPS of -$0.56. For the next fiscal year, 4 analysts estimate revenue of $33.0M and EPS of -$0.78. Kodiak AI recorded 0 EPS beats over the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings date scheduled for November 5, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Ongoing cash burn could pressure liquidity if free cash flow remains near the -$116.5M level recorded in FY2025.
- The company missed expectations in each of its past quarters, posting 0 EPS beats over the last 4 quarters.
- Stock momentum remains weak, trading 79.0% below its 200-day average and down 87.6% year-to-date.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this KDK AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Kodiak AI, Inc. (KDK). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: KDK income statement, KDK balance sheet, KDK key metrics, KDK analyst forecast, KDK chart. See the KDK stock overview for the latest quote and news.
KDK AI stock analysis FAQ
What does Kodiak AI do?
Kodiak AI, Inc. develops autonomous vehicle technology, including the Kodiak Driver virtual system and Kodiak OnTime integration software. It serves long-haul trucking, industrial, and defense customers with freight delivery and driver-as-a-service offerings.
Does Kodiak AI pay a dividend?
No, Kodiak AI does not pay a dividend.
What are analysts forecasting for Kodiak AI?
Analysts estimate FY2026 revenue of $10.7M and EPS of -$0.56. For FY2027, 4 analysts forecast revenue to reach $33.0M, with a consensus mean price target of $10.50.
How strong is Kodiak AI's balance sheet?
As of June 30, 2026, Kodiak AI held $151.1M in cash and short-term investments and $47.8M in total debt, leaving $103.3M in net cash with a current ratio of 5.54.