JAKKS Pacific, Inc. (JAKK) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: JAKKAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

JAKK AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

JAKKS Pacific, Inc. (JAKK) is a consumer cyclical company that develops and distributes toys, consumables, and costumes. The company delivered 16.9% quarterly revenue growth as of June 30, 2026, while holding net cash of $14.0M. Its stock has gained 53.6% over the past year, trading at a forward P/E of 8.1x.

Market cap
$326.5M
Revenue (TTM)
$584.2M
P/E
20.2x
fwd 8.1x
1Y return
53.6%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$28.50
-0.1% vs last close

Bull case

  • Quarterly revenue grew 16.9% year-over-year in the period ended June 30, 2026, signaling a potential top-line recovery from FY2025.
  • Forward valuation is relatively low at 8.1x earnings and 7.5x EV/EBITDA, compared to peer group medians of 14.1x and 11.1x.
  • Balance sheet risk is mitigated by a net cash position of $14.0M and a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.19 as of June 30, 2026.

Bear case

  • Annual revenue contracted 17.4% in FY2025 to $570.7M, and net income declined to $9.9M from $33.9M in FY2024.
  • Trailing twelve-month operating margin is slightly negative at -0.1%, with latest quarterly earnings dropping 62.5% year-over-year.
  • The dividend payout ratio is elevated at 83.3% following negative FY2025 free cash flow of -$1.1M.

What JAKKS Pacific does

Headquartered in Santa Monica, California, JAKKS Pacific, Inc. develops, produces, markets, and distributes toys, consumables, electronics, and related products. It operates through two primary segments: Toys/Consumer Products and Costumes. The Toys/Consumer Products segment features action figures, toy vehicles, dolls, infant and preschool products, role play items, furniture, and seasonal outdoor toys based on proprietary brands and entertainment licenses. The Costumes segment supplies Halloween and everyday dress-up costumes and accessories for all ages. Distribution takes place through internal sales teams, independent representatives, and partnerships with major retail chains, toy stores, department stores, and specialty retailers.

Growth and profitability

JAKKS Pacific grew annual revenue from $621.1M in FY2021 to a peak of $796.2M in FY2022 before declining to $711.6M in FY2023, $691.0M in FY2024, and $570.7M in FY2025. This generated a 5-year revenue CAGR of 2.0% from FY2020 to FY2025. Operating margins compressed from 8.3% in FY2023 to 5.7% in FY2024 and 2.5% in FY2025, with net income falling to $9.9M in FY2025. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $584.2M with a net profit margin of 2.8% and an operating margin of -0.1%. In the quarter ended June 30, 2026, revenue grew 16.9% year-over-year, while earnings dropped 62.5%.

JAKK income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, JAKKS Pacific held $60.6M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $46.6M, resulting in net cash of $14.0M. Its current ratio stood at 1.72, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.19 on shareholders' equity of $247.9M. In FY2025, the company generated $8.5M in operating cash flow while free cash flow was -$1.1M. Cash allocation in FY2025 included $9.6M for capital expenditures, $5.7M for share buybacks, and $11.2M in dividends paid.

JAKK balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At $28.53, JAKKS Pacific has a market capitalization of $326.5M and an enterprise value of $266.6M. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 20.2x, which is above the 18.0x median of its US-listed Consumer Cyclical peers. However, its forward P/E of 8.1x and EV/EBITDA of 7.5x sit below peer group medians of 14.1x and 11.1x, respectively. The stock trades at a price-to-sales multiple of 0.6x compared to 0.7x for peers. Over the past year, the stock returned 53.6%, outpacing the 16.8% return of the S&P 500.

JAKK key metrics →

JAKK dividend

JAKKS Pacific pays a quarterly dividend with an annual forward dividend of $1.00 per share, representing a dividend yield of 3.51%. The dividend payout ratio stands at 83.3%, and the company has paid dividends for 2 consecutive years. The last ex-dividend date was August 28, 2026.

JAKK dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street analysts hold 1 Strong Buy and 1 Buy rating on the stock, with 0 Hold or Sell recommendations. The mean price target is $28.50, which is 0.1% below the last close of $28.53. For FY2026 ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $599.7M and EPS of $1.99, an increase of 22.8%. For FY2027, 2 analysts expect EPS to rise 64.1% to $3.27 on revenue of $651.2M. The company beat EPS estimates in 2 of the past 4 quarters, with the next earnings date scheduled for October 22, 2026.

JAKK forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Operating cash flow declined to $8.5M in FY2025 from $38.9M in FY2024, leading to negative free cash flow of -$1.1M.
  • The stock displays higher volatility than the broader market, as reflected by a beta of 1.31.
  • Quarterly earnings performance has been mixed, with EPS beats in only 2 of the last 4 quarters.
  • Total share count increased 24.8% over the past 5 years, creating dilution risk for equity holders.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this JAKK AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of JAKKS Pacific, Inc. (JAKK). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: JAKK income statement, JAKK balance sheet, JAKK key metrics, JAKK analyst forecast, JAKK chart. See the JAKK stock overview for the latest quote and news.

JAKK AI stock analysis FAQ

Does JAKKS Pacific pay a dividend?

Yes, JAKKS Pacific pays a quarterly dividend with an annual forward payout of $1.00 per share, yielding 3.51%. The payout ratio is 83.3%, and the company has maintained consecutive dividend payments for 2 years.

What is JAKKS Pacific's net cash or debt position?

As of June 30, 2026, the company held $60.6M in cash and short-term investments and $46.6M in total debt. This results in a net cash position of $14.0M and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.19.

What are analysts forecasting for JAKK's earnings?

Analysts expect EPS of $1.99 for FY2026, representing 22.8% growth, on revenue of $599.7M. For FY2027, consensus estimates project EPS of $3.27 on revenue of $651.2M.

How has JAKK stock performed compared to the S&P 500?

Over the past 1 year, JAKK gained 53.6%, outperforming the S&P 500's return of 16.8%. Over a 5-year span, JAKK returned 163.0% compared to 83.0% for the S&P 500.

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